iv_term_regime_days
SIGNED RUN LENGTH: sign is the state, magnitude is how long it has held. +3 means a third consecutive backwardated session; -12 means twelve in contango. One number rather than two because the pair is never read apart - a duration without its state is meaningless, and DESIGN.md:159 asks for 'contango/backwardation state AND consecutive days in it'. A slope of exactly zero counts as contango, the commoner state; it has not occurred in 9,250 symbol-days.
value
+5
1y percentile
53.9%
3y percentile
53.9%
all percentile
53.9%
robust z
0.07
rank 1y
43.4%
n
241
2025-09-25241 obs2026-09-18
Every symbol at 2026-09-18
39 of 39 with a reading on or before 2026-09-18. Each row is that name against its own history — core.metric_context(), one query for all of them — not a rank among them.
| symbol | value | 1y pct ↓ | 3y pct | 1y rank | robust z | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU | +5 | 53.9% | 53.9% | 43.4% | 0.07 | 241 |
| ORCL | -6 | 45.6% | 45.6% | 53.8% | -0.10 | 241 |
| AVGO | -11 | 40.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -0.24 | 241 |
| IWM | -6 | 40.0% | 40.0% | 48.4% | -0.34 | 241 |
| XLV | -4 | 38.6% | 38.6% | 57.8% | -0.34 | 241 |
| XLE | -2 | 34.0% | 34.0% | 52.0% | -0.51 | 241 |
| MRVL | -7 | 28.2% | 28.2% | 45.7% | -0.37 | 241 |
| NVDA | -16 | 27.4% | 27.4% | 41.8% | -0.61 | 241 |
| DELL | -12 | 22.2% | 22.2% | 42.2% | -0.75 | 241 |
| XLU | -12 | 22.0% | 22.0% | 56.0% | -1.21 | 241 |
| PANW | -12 | 21.8% | 21.8% | 37.0% | -0.67 | 241 |
| CRWD | -16 | 20.5% | 20.5% | 36.9% | -0.86 | 241 |
| DE | -21 | 17.4% | 17.4% | 27.9% | -0.96 | 241 |
| DIA | -36 | 13.9% | 13.9% | 38.8% | -1.59 | 241 |
| XOM | -17 | 11.2% | 11.2% | 34.7% | -1.52 | 241 |
| CAT | -32 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 16.7% | -1.30 | 241 |
| AAPL | -35 | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.6% | -1.17 | 241 |
| MSFT | -35 | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | -1.17 | 241 |
| XLK | -31 | 7.1% | 7.1% | 23.9% | -3.78 | 241 |
| SMH | -30 | 6.6% | 6.6% | 15.6% | -2.47 | 241 |
| XLP | -33 | 6.6% | 6.6% | 20.8% | -3.37 | 241 |
| PLTR | -33 | 6.4% | 6.4% | 12.9% | -1.35 | 241 |
| AMZN | -35 | 6.2% | 6.2% | 12.1% | -1.17 | 241 |
| META | -36 | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | -1.17 | 241 |
| XLI | -35 | 6.2% | 6.2% | 25.5% | -4.32 | 241 |
| SPY | -36 | 5.8% | 5.8% | 21.3% | -1.95 | 241 |
| INTC | -32 | 3.7% | 3.7% | 11.3% | -1.90 | 241 |
| XLY | -32 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 9.3% | -3.78 | 241 |
| GOOG | -41 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.5% | -1.39 | 241 |
| QQQ | -35 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 4.2% | -3.37 | 241 |
| SNDK | -31 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.4% | -2.16 | 241 |
| XLF | -36 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | -3.48 | 241 |
| SPCX | -28 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | -1.78 | 66 |
| CRSR | -30 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | -3.91 | 239 |
| AMD | -31 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | -1.78 | 241 |
| LMT | -40 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | -2.56 | 241 |
| SOXX | -30 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | -3.08 | 241 |
| STX | -30 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | -2.32 | 241 |
| WDC | -31 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | -2.40 | 241 |
Provenance
- Source
- core.metric_daily
- Cadence
- daily, XNYS sessions
- Read by
- DESIGN.md:159's "consecutive days in it", and the resolution base rates that ask what followed a backwardation flip
- Point-in-time
- RESTATED — values change as corporate actions arrive. Each row's vintage_ts records when it was computed.