Simplify Analytics
← Data Explorer

Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

core.prediction_snapshots

One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

613 rowsCSV — whole table, not this view

Sources in this table

as_ofto
column equals (exact text)
sort
chart against as_of
reset
active:category = Politics×sorted by as_of ↑×
asset_idtextas_of ↑datemarkettextoutcometextcategorytextresolves_attimestamp with time zonemid_pricenumericbest_bidnumericbest_asknumericspreadnumerictotal_liquiditynumericbook_tstimestamp with time zonelast_pricenumericvolumenumericunusual_scorenumericseen_viatextsourcetextendpointtextrequest_paramsjsonbvintage_tstimestamp with time zoneretrieved_attimestamp with time zone
998624084800916908187125803907393722693880743269959570345…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-21 19:590.9350000.9300000.9400000.010000306830.162026-09-14 18:320.93000014918.79810.590877unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"99862408480091690818712580390739372269388074326995957034508591909408581976106"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
971077701875876835068156269748881633246228369880140330220…2026-09-14Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?NoPolitics2026-06-29 20:000.9500000.9400000.9600000.020000563513.532026-09-14 18:320.9500007978.13950.120000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"97107770187587683506815626974888163324622836988014033022064807674186740440043"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
970509217404161929963898066937425756081113288191854931631…2026-09-14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the S…NoPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.8750000.8700000.8800000.0100005398590.932026-09-14 18:320.8700002522621.60714.372248unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"97050921740416192996389806693742575608111328819185493163189880975611314813724"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
949094972047914222189533269894338488040637872598538898451…2026-09-14Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.7975000.7940000.8010000.00700013181616.812026-09-14 18:320.79400021510.98100.687345unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"94909497204791422218953326989433848804063787259853889845128791095089809741999"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
919981947261369276324504834246140128906914465092627504521…2026-09-14Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September…NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:550.9870000.9860000.9880000.0020001875379.822026-09-14 18:320.98800046191.56220.120000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91998194726136927632450483424614012890691446509262750452187052878486812367191"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
917430962400008281527885718568527360130152811774137593239…2026-09-14Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9905000.9900000.9910000.0010005797195.922026-09-14 18:320.9910008357.72230.120000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91743096240000828152788571856852736013015281177413759323948075481950472145047"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
904645066021363507677847067831895067278279517569415780154…2026-09-14Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9335000.9330000.9340000.001000214834.402026-09-14 18:320.94900011008.39290.362963unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"90464506602136350767784706783189506727827951756941578015494993747105229931522"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
890464555071734997565252070477518833781914095052903114895…2026-09-14Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz bet…NoPolitics2026-09-13 19:590.9495000.9310000.9680000.03700086267.522026-09-14 18:320.93000014111.32260.222222unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"89046455507173499756525207047751883378191409505290311489587600504516758912800"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
889129265334939884277192916989476881540427209583106323165…2026-09-14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the…YesPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.0075000.0070000.0080000.00100028511397.322026-09-14 18:320.00800023517.95583.921905unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"88912926533493988427719291698947688154042720958310632316541141466409683822293"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
880953920883800189888111289050566854206816842477002442212…2026-09-14Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elec…NoPolitics2026-09-19 20:000.9095000.9090000.9100000.001000331894.362026-09-14 18:320.90900010670.75961.940399unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"88095392088380018988811128905056685420681684247700244221273733002608971216833"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
877129206732522975092001510453910152624490557648806599077…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.3450000.3400000.3500000.0100002510834.882026-09-14 18:320.3400009079.64462.408889unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"87712920673252297509200151045391015262449055764880659907762503287643101055970"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
865296202871211191411713694886296708980339823000447091102…2026-09-14Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to Se…YesPolitics2026-09-15 12:000.2350000.2300000.2400000.01000055537.982026-09-14 18:320.24000025508.36414.080000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86529620287121119141171369488629670898033982300044709110262344635337180284727"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
860112292879503650435191178520416146517674558893246821126…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.6310000.6270000.6350000.00800018919238.992026-09-14 18:320.6260005907.17161.317778unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
838837340927581334036618189606374018289865425944236527455…2026-09-14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?YesPolitics2026-09-07 19:590.9425000.9370000.9480000.011000335941.262026-09-14 18:320.95100032636.71531.240952unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"83883734092758133403661818960637401828986542594423652745565198052267379022496"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
837834894546594208076797235748400326600023267100451238655…2026-09-14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.1750000.1700000.1800000.0100004997095.492026-09-14 18:320.1800009006.32291.450370unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"83783489454659420807679723574840032660002326710045123865554753994450797728825"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
834382159788561801458728058213909198406214350871041318486…2026-09-14Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.7200000.7000000.7400000.0400004410.372026-09-14 18:320.67000017897.05500.899221unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"8343821597885618014587280582139091984062143508710413184869540112147713995559"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
824518776291711202158630957865362129942237799595235544686…2026-09-14Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.5150000.5100000.5200000.010000407601.562026-09-14 18:320.53000017819.22322.675932unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"82451877629171120215863095786536212994223779959523554468642312484613145998263"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
814704650806561500884828862983567836210628029191100967630…2026-09-14Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the…NoPolitics2026-09-15 20:00—0.999000——27284301.562026-09-14 18:320.99900077887.78430.857143unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"81470465080656150088482886298356783621062802919110096763062861781139262816347"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
814559954595877758213114204886657589906815946151130795188…2026-09-14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?YesPolitics2026-09-30 16:290.9895000.9870000.9920000.005000146145.472026-09-14 18:320.98700011015.94790.222564unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"81455995459587775821311420488665758990681594615113079518876286804187992055554"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
794073683123256426491296632810215051369749191237850621851…2026-09-14Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats i…YesPolitics2026-09-12 20:00—0.999000——127093.562026-09-14 18:330.9990006362.44510.033568unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"79407368312325642649129663281021505136974919123785062185108115301590083588838"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
790856282012811224818835785948115945922608242523730597970…2026-09-14Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?NoPolitics2026-04-29 20:000.9435000.9430000.9440000.001000991143.272026-09-14 18:330.94100010320.84410.028189unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"79085628201281122481883578594811594592260824252373059797032000397035131450743"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
789070047415782903829219194483768472055726980880458675997…2026-09-14Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?NoPolitics2026-09-14 19:590.9975000.9970000.9980000.001000206461.702026-09-14 18:320.99700013795.46791.482574unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"7890700474157829038292191944837684720557269808804586759979391214043839466430"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
786323950833106707343152055020612496023190696539159323201…2026-09-14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.6350000.6300000.6400000.0100001995184.602026-09-14 18:320.64000040321.44360.225820unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"78632395083310670734315205502061249602319069653915932320155846460019107676757"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
777376030497043714019851430302035511306245207849258154732…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.6550000.6500000.6600000.0100002509740.502026-09-14 18:320.66000014028.88731.460952unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"77737603049704371401985143030203551130624520784925815473217168646825527075459"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
759490790723005116356036002065672277387031608559005477780…2026-09-14US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.4050000.4000000.4100000.010000675880.552026-09-14 18:320.4000007279.40791.025116unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"75949079072300511635603600206567227738703160855900547778099294726738851616000"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
741952205861292373492588031790826345422845035383200006379…2026-09-14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the…NoPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.9925000.9920000.9930000.00100028511397.322026-09-14 18:320.992000328920.70860.983857unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"74195220586129237349258803179082634542284503538320000637909015632982564961602"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
740765688468667141425038470267607027135556437780387902204…2026-09-14Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8550000.8500000.8600000.0100002775277.992026-09-14 18:320.8500006651.25450.153257unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"74076568846866714142503847026760702713555643778038790220454009063912340064073"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
736219880206384639899751465585761631088358740412345817490…2026-09-14Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.4850000.4800000.4900000.010000404468.562026-09-14 18:320.48000011684.29641.320000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"73621988020638463989975146558576163108835874041234581749056831089553559830214"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
733235589739108047748976128926669728895843930926410187299…2026-09-14Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?YesPolitics2026-09-18 23:590.8900000.8700000.9100000.040000119295.712026-09-14 18:320.8800006203.56442.482646unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"73323558973910804774897612892666972889584393092641018729960853480391859765967"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
730563024980408563549639986990576937229430271615903444732…2026-09-14Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9625000.9620000.9630000.00100013354002.712026-09-14 18:300.96300010995.69012.806916unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"7305630249804085635496399869905769372294302716159034447326228509068694952392"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
694986485568188058349458951986700723447215101278306606680…2026-09-14Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to Se…NoPolitics2026-09-15 12:000.3350000.3300000.3400000.01000048478.532026-09-14 18:310.3300009997.93183.960000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"69498648556818805834945895198670072344721510127830660668063083785228750351236"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
694146134655431366360774186239195771903000925636070848554…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-14 19:590.9975000.9970000.9980000.001000263355.362026-09-14 18:310.99800029883.93741.960101unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"69414613465543136636077418623919577190300092563607084855456415038243186412684"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
688818401091142455217972750255962569283846132511084298084…2026-09-14Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?NoPolitics2026-09-12 20:000.9340000.9290000.9390000.010000131961.782026-09-14 18:320.9280005048.59420.268490unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"68881840109114245521797275025596256928384613251108429808491092208111156621485"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
676188477881608354275335053977961720108459466423472965578…2026-09-14Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sw…YesPolitics2026-09-12 20:000.8750000.8700000.8800000.010000280422.242026-09-14 18:320.880000132661.71541.254906unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"6761884778816083542753350539779617201084594664234729655783875952381923983097"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
639152872719406880648701729914364897755875413354573703553…2026-09-14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.3550000.3500000.3600000.010000502740.282026-09-14 18:320.3500005046.92780.640000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"63915287271940688064870172991436489775587541335457370355314489349033951709373"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
638425290687100057161693253803154703590477497866107786473…2026-09-14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …YesPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.8750000.8700000.8800000.0100006744433.822026-09-14 18:300.8700001343760.12496.706374unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"63842529068710005716169325380315470359047749786610778647370693404952498013178"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
619623807350458713513525639477460371897673980699607764550…2026-09-14Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in …NoPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.7625000.7620000.7630000.001000493952.162026-09-14 18:320.76200011186.17730.412083unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61962380735045871351352563947746037189767398069960776455040567750304235670037"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
619560485363314289163847070597824802415581416085257056714…2026-09-14Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.1350000.1300000.1400000.010000159903.932026-09-14 18:320.1400006360.44870.656667unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61956048536331428916384707059782480241558141608525705671477344792920313779730"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
582122695178968840153384697752946899762026824309718829049…2026-09-14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.9745000.9720000.9770000.005000258968.782026-09-14 18:320.97200010488.03740.584086unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"58212269517896884015338469775294689976202682430971882904931336575860619991827"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
578762142969530407059149543522197424236289121736534094226…2026-09-14Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the nex…NoPolitics2027-04-29 20:000.8990000.8970000.9010000.004000425760.722026-09-14 18:320.8970008794.24310.493827unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57876214296953040705914954352219742423628912173653409422651199206441027151468"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
577481380850227197603457723100407038485673778224001328420…2026-09-14Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the …YesPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.0025000.0020000.0030000.00100027623249.092026-09-14 18:320.00200011443.90073.977143unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57748138085022719760345772310040703848567377822400132842014290209986511882046"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
572162725645295484646864636912368119919560322012937867903…2026-09-14Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9695000.9690000.9700000.0010005127626.552026-09-14 18:330.9690008440.27340.006887unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57216272564529548464686463691236811991956032201293786790337952253964682584376"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
564659332200820228357008170639461746359097255077344162485…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.8550000.8500000.8600000.0100001759598.602026-09-14 18:320.85000019137.70281.023030unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"56465933220082022835700817063946174635909725507734416248556389304448520396318"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
561528276087598523186850800805695987623853689664331506391…2026-09-14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the S…YesPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.1250000.1200000.1300000.0100005398596.032026-09-14 18:300.120000325729.414012.957143unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"5615282760875985231868508008056959876238536896643315063916840237042205273721"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
551597227614180130441264142766806022703180008416906896848…2026-09-14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …YesPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.3650000.3600000.3700000.0100001995171.842026-09-14 18:320.3700006191.59520.520000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"55159722761418013044126414276680602270318000841690689684819994448621694923050"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
551337802515919133770431646071004302666890163620451140238…2026-09-14Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8450000.8400000.8500000.010000487320.122026-09-14 18:310.8400005954.40280.349885unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"5513378025159191337704316460710043026668901636204511402381351948151562535480"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
545359399362524949902377235799883362379103362810082918083…2026-09-14Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.7800000.7700000.7900000.020000208472.932026-09-14 18:320.79000010974.95831.304609unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54535939936252494990237723579988336237910336281008291808351435211825298252708"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
540572489883630359741431801948090827930110925108994000873…2026-09-14Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Ru…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9905000.9900000.9910000.00100022450236.122026-09-14 18:330.9900005674.56130.013482unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54057248988363035974143180194809082793011092510899400087326333477908849736030"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
523348780188146859725470148750091600547171201711003480696…2026-09-14Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in …YesPolitics2026-09-12 20:00—0.999000——125646.832026-09-14 18:320.9990005853.21520.146801unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"52334878018814685972547014875009160054717120171100348069688980422350429906466"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
502305252920113973616660321285575666878111844985156935639…2026-09-14Trump out as President by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.9950000.9940000.9960000.0020001241089.342026-09-14 18:330.99500025177.07690.126727unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"50230525292011397361666032128557566687811184498515693563902400561445822555625"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32