Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

core.prediction_snapshots

One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

759 rowsCSV — whole table, not this view

Sources in this table

uw_predictions759 rowsexportable

active:endpoint = /api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity×sorted by as_of ↑×

asset_idtext	as_of ↑date	markettext	outcometext	categorytext	resolves_attimestamp with time zone	mid_pricenumeric	best_bidnumeric

998624084800916908187125803907393722693880743269959570345…	2026-09-14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-09-21 19:59	0.935000	0.930000	0.940000	0.010000	306830.16	2026-09-14 18:32	0.930000	14918.7981	0.590877	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"99862408480091690818712580390739372269388074326995957034508591909408581976106"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
971077701875876835068156269748881633246228369880140330220…	2026-09-14	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	Politics	2026-06-29 20:00	0.950000	0.940000	0.960000	0.020000	563513.53	2026-09-14 18:32	0.950000	7978.1395	0.120000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
970509217404161929963898066937425756081113288191854931631…	2026-09-14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the S…	No	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	0.875000	0.870000	0.880000	0.010000	5398590.93	2026-09-14 18:32	0.870000	2522621.6071	4.372248	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"97050921740416192996389806693742575608111328819185493163189880975611314813724"}
964668730158312118324843609936891427216117752161356597162…	2026-09-14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	Finance	2026-09-30 23:59	0.951500	0.951000	0.952000	0.001000	1694627.22	2026-09-14 18:32	0.951000	42242.4836	0.247018	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
949094972047914222189533269894338488040637872598538898451…	2026-09-14	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.797500	0.794000	0.801000	0.007000	13181616.81	2026-09-14 18:32	0.794000	21510.9810	0.687345	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"94909497204791422218953326989433848804063787259853889845128791095089809741999"}
919981947261369276324504834246140128906914465092627504521…	2026-09-14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September…	No	Politics	2026-09-30 19:55	0.987000	0.986000	0.988000	0.002000	1875379.82	2026-09-14 18:32	0.988000	46191.5622	0.120000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"91998194726136927632450483424614012890691446509262750452187052878486812367191"}
919489933790667506036363084442152945389645504745752279412…	2026-09-14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	No	Finance	2026-09-30 23:59	0.975500	0.975000	0.976000	0.001000	1665378.65	2026-09-14 18:32	0.975000	50965.3955	0.181538	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
917430962400008281527885718568527360130152811774137593239…	2026-09-14	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.990500	0.990000	0.991000	0.001000	5797195.92	2026-09-14 18:32	0.991000	8357.7223	0.120000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
904645066021363507677847067831895067278279517569415780154…	2026-09-14	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.933500	0.933000	0.934000	0.001000	214834.40	2026-09-14 18:32	0.949000	11008.3929	0.362963	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
890464555071734997565252070477518833781914095052903114895…	2026-09-14	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz bet…	No	Politics	2026-09-13 19:59	0.949500	0.931000	0.968000	0.037000	86267.52	2026-09-14 18:32	0.930000	14111.3226	0.222222	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"89046455507173499756525207047751883378191409505290311489587600504516758912800"}
889129265334939884277192916989476881540427209583106323165…	2026-09-14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	0.007500	0.007000	0.008000	0.001000	28511397.32	2026-09-14 18:32	0.008000	23517.9558	3.921905	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"88912926533493988427719291698947688154042720958310632316541141466409683822293"}
880953920883800189888111289050566854206816842477002442212…	2026-09-14	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elec…	No	Politics	2026-09-19 20:00	0.909500	0.909000	0.910000	0.001000	331894.36	2026-09-14 18:32	0.909000	10670.7596	1.940399	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"88095392088380018988811128905056685420681684247700244221273733002608971216833"}
877129206732522975092001510453910152624490557648806599077…	2026-09-14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-10-31 19:59	0.345000	0.340000	0.350000	0.010000	2510834.88	2026-09-14 18:32	0.340000	9079.6446	2.408889	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
865296202871211191411713694886296708980339823000447091102…	2026-09-14	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to Se…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-15 12:00	0.235000	0.230000	0.240000	0.010000	55537.98	2026-09-14 18:32	0.240000	25508.3641	4.080000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"86529620287121119141171369488629670898033982300044709110262344635337180284727"}
861696285480389960883557370425791124139023517457431911390…	2026-09-14	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market …	No	Finance	2026-09-30 19:59	0.843000	0.838000	0.848000	0.010000	2561382.56	2026-09-14 18:32	0.841000	5021.0518	0.810351	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"86169628548038996088355737042579112413902351745743191139025173124156572670231"}
860112292879503650435191178520416146517674558893246821126…	2026-09-14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-31 18:59	0.631000	0.627000	0.635000	0.008000	18919238.99	2026-09-14 18:32	0.626000	5907.1716	1.317778	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
857798513793417764583300368515481143811760939532025428635…	2026-09-14	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	Finance	2026-12-08 19:00	0.880000	0.870000	0.890000	0.020000	230708.65	2026-09-14 18:32	0.880000	6928.9755	0.798291	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
857235160700777308831059090493880615970491732816132019100…	2026-09-14	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	Finance	2027-06-30 20:00	0.425000	0.420000	0.430000	0.010000	82794.05	2026-09-14 18:31	0.410000	6128.9994	1.020000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
838837340927581334036618189606374018289865425944236527455…	2026-09-14	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-07 19:59	0.942500	0.937000	0.948000	0.011000	335941.26	2026-09-14 18:32	0.951000	32636.7153	1.240952	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
837834894546594208076797235748400326600023267100451238655…	2026-09-14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.175000	0.170000	0.180000	0.010000	4997095.49	2026-09-14 18:32	0.180000	9006.3229	1.450370	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
834382159788561801458728058213909198406214350871041318486…	2026-09-14	Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-12-31 18:59	0.720000	0.700000	0.740000	0.040000	4410.37	2026-09-14 18:32	0.670000	17897.0550	0.899221	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
824518776291711202158630957865362129942237799595235544686…	2026-09-14	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-30 23:59	0.515000	0.510000	0.520000	0.010000	407601.56	2026-09-14 18:32	0.530000	17819.2232	2.675932	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
814704650806561500884828862983567836210628029191100967630…	2026-09-14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the…	No	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	—	0.999000	—	—	27284301.56	2026-09-14 18:32	0.999000	77887.7843	0.857143	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"81470465080656150088482886298356783621062802919110096763062861781139262816347"}
814559954595877758213114204886657589906815946151130795188…	2026-09-14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-30 16:29	0.989500	0.987000	0.992000	0.005000	146145.47	2026-09-14 18:32	0.987000	11015.9479	0.222564	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
794073683123256426491296632810215051369749191237850621851…	2026-09-14	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats i…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-12 20:00	—	0.999000	—	—	127093.56	2026-09-14 18:33	0.999000	6362.4451	0.033568	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"79407368312325642649129663281021505136974919123785062185108115301590083588838"}
790856282012811224818835785948115945922608242523730597970…	2026-09-14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	Politics	2026-04-29 20:00	0.943500	0.943000	0.944000	0.001000	991143.27	2026-09-14 18:33	0.941000	10320.8441	0.028189	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
789070047415782903829219194483768472055726980880458675997…	2026-09-14	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	Politics	2026-09-14 19:59	0.997500	0.997000	0.998000	0.001000	206461.70	2026-09-14 18:32	0.997000	13795.4679	1.482574	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
786323950833106707343152055020612496023190696539159323201…	2026-09-14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …	No	Politics	2026-10-28 19:59	0.635000	0.630000	0.640000	0.010000	1995184.60	2026-09-14 18:32	0.640000	40321.4436	0.225820	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"78632395083310670734315205502061249602319069653915932320155846460019107676757"}
777376030497043714019851430302035511306245207849258154732…	2026-09-14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-10-31 19:59	0.655000	0.650000	0.660000	0.010000	2509740.50	2026-09-14 18:32	0.660000	14028.8873	1.460952	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
759490790723005116356036002065672277387031608559005477780…	2026-09-14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.405000	0.400000	0.410000	0.010000	675880.55	2026-09-14 18:32	0.400000	7279.4079	1.025116	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
741952205861292373492588031790826345422845035383200006379…	2026-09-14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the…	No	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	0.992500	0.992000	0.993000	0.001000	28511397.32	2026-09-14 18:32	0.992000	328920.7086	0.983857	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"74195220586129237349258803179082634542284503538320000637909015632982564961602"}
740765688468667141425038470267607027135556437780387902204…	2026-09-14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.855000	0.850000	0.860000	0.010000	2775277.99	2026-09-14 18:32	0.850000	6651.2545	0.153257	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
736219880206384639899751465585761631088358740412345817490…	2026-09-14	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	Politics	2026-09-30 23:59	0.485000	0.480000	0.490000	0.010000	404468.56	2026-09-14 18:32	0.480000	11684.2964	1.320000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
733235589739108047748976128926669728895843930926410187299…	2026-09-14	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-18 23:59	0.890000	0.870000	0.910000	0.040000	119295.71	2026-09-14 18:32	0.880000	6203.5644	2.482646	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
730563024980408563549639986990576937229430271615903444732…	2026-09-14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.962500	0.962000	0.963000	0.001000	13354002.71	2026-09-14 18:30	0.963000	10995.6901	2.806916	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
711994909579240418867354111619572767777786859915364155267…	2026-09-14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	Finance	2026-09-30 23:59	0.715000	0.711000	0.719000	0.008000	521136.14	2026-09-14 18:32	0.710000	64508.8089	0.811324	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
694986485568188058349458951986700723447215101278306606680…	2026-09-14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to Se…	No	Politics	2026-09-15 12:00	0.335000	0.330000	0.340000	0.010000	48478.53	2026-09-14 18:31	0.330000	9997.9318	3.960000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"69498648556818805834945895198670072344721510127830660668063083785228750351236"}
694146134655431366360774186239195771903000925636070848554…	2026-09-14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-09-14 19:59	0.997500	0.997000	0.998000	0.001000	263355.36	2026-09-14 18:31	0.998000	29883.9374	1.960101	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
688818401091142455217972750255962569283846132511084298084…	2026-09-14	Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	No	Politics	2026-09-12 20:00	0.934000	0.929000	0.939000	0.010000	131961.78	2026-09-14 18:32	0.928000	5048.5942	0.268490	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
676188477881608354275335053977961720108459466423472965578…	2026-09-14	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sw…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-12 20:00	0.875000	0.870000	0.880000	0.010000	280422.24	2026-09-14 18:32	0.880000	132661.7154	1.254906	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"6761884778816083542753350539779617201084594664234729655783875952381923983097"}
639152872719406880648701729914364897755875413354573703553…	2026-09-14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	Politics	2026-12-31 18:59	0.355000	0.350000	0.360000	0.010000	502740.28	2026-09-14 18:32	0.350000	5046.9278	0.640000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
638425290687100057161693253803154703590477497866107786473…	2026-09-14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …	Yes	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	0.875000	0.870000	0.880000	0.010000	6744433.82	2026-09-14 18:30	0.870000	1343760.1249	6.706374	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"63842529068710005716169325380315470359047749786610778647370693404952498013178"}
630283026420228182855147388100408918213908530857243229957…	2026-09-14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	Finance	2026-09-30 23:59	0.285000	0.281000	0.289000	0.008000	521136.14	2026-09-14 18:32	0.281000	7380.3751	2.023405	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
622278478531323029432702918801560608806962262451080224857…	2026-09-14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	Yes	Finance	2026-09-30 23:59	0.730000	0.720000	0.740000	0.020000	763561.47	2026-09-14 18:32	0.750000	7882.2978	0.600000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
619623807350458713513525639477460371897673980699607764550…	2026-09-14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in …	No	Politics	2026-10-03 20:00	0.762500	0.762000	0.763000	0.001000	493952.16	2026-09-14 18:32	0.762000	11186.1773	0.412083	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"61962380735045871351352563947746037189767398069960776455040567750304235670037"}
619560485363314289163847070597824802415581416085257056714…	2026-09-14	Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-30 23:59	0.135000	0.130000	0.140000	0.010000	159903.93	2026-09-14 18:32	0.140000	6360.4487	0.656667	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
582122695178968840153384697752946899762026824309718829049…	2026-09-14	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-30 19:59	0.974500	0.972000	0.977000	0.005000	258968.78	2026-09-14 18:32	0.972000	10488.0374	0.584086	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity
578762142969530407059149543522197424236289121736534094226…	2026-09-14	Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the nex…	No	Politics	2027-04-29 20:00	0.899000	0.897000	0.901000	0.004000	425760.72	2026-09-14 18:32	0.897000	8794.2431	0.493827	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"57876214296953040705914954352219742423628912173653409422651199206441027151468"}
577481380850227197603457723100407038485673778224001328420…	2026-09-14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the …	Yes	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	0.002500	0.002000	0.003000	0.001000	27623249.09	2026-09-14 18:32	0.002000	11443.9007	3.977143	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"57748138085022719760345772310040703848567377822400132842014290209986511882046"}
572162725645295484646864636912368119919560322012937867903…	2026-09-14	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.969500	0.969000	0.970000	0.001000	5127626.55	2026-09-14 18:33	0.969000	8440.2734	0.006887	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity