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Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

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One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

613 rowsCSV — whole table, not this view

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asset_idtextas_of ↑datemarkettextoutcometextcategorytextresolves_attimestamp with time zonemid_pricenumericbest_bidnumericbest_asknumericspreadnumerictotal_liquiditynumericbook_tstimestamp with time zonelast_pricenumericvolumenumericunusual_scorenumericseen_viatextsourcetextendpointtextrequest_paramsjsonbvintage_tstimestamp with time zoneretrieved_attimestamp with time zone
998624084800916908187125803907393722693880743269959570345…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-21 19:590.9350000.9300000.9400000.010000306830.162026-09-14 18:320.93000014918.79810.590877unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"99862408480091690818712580390739372269388074326995957034508591909408581976106"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
971077701875876835068156269748881633246228369880140330220…2026-09-14Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?NoPolitics2026-06-29 20:000.9500000.9400000.9600000.020000563513.532026-09-14 18:320.9500007978.13950.120000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"97107770187587683506815626974888163324622836988014033022064807674186740440043"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
970509217404161929963898066937425756081113288191854931631…2026-09-14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the S…NoPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.8750000.8700000.8800000.0100005398590.932026-09-14 18:320.8700002522621.60714.372248unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"97050921740416192996389806693742575608111328819185493163189880975611314813724"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
964668730158312118324843609936891427216117752161356597162…2026-09-14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9515000.9510000.9520000.0010001694627.222026-09-14 18:320.95100042242.48360.247018unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"96466873015831211832484360993689142721611775216135659716230744624514485341911"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
949094972047914222189533269894338488040637872598538898451…2026-09-14Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.7975000.7940000.8010000.00700013181616.812026-09-14 18:320.79400021510.98100.687345unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"94909497204791422218953326989433848804063787259853889845128791095089809741999"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
919981947261369276324504834246140128906914465092627504521…2026-09-14Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September…NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:550.9870000.9860000.9880000.0020001875379.822026-09-14 18:320.98800046191.56220.120000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91998194726136927632450483424614012890691446509262750452187052878486812367191"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
919489933790667506036363084442152945389645504745752279412…2026-09-14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9755000.9750000.9760000.0010001665378.652026-09-14 18:320.97500050965.39550.181538unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91948993379066750603636308444215294538964550474575227941265783859080165323026"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
917430962400008281527885718568527360130152811774137593239…2026-09-14Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9905000.9900000.9910000.0010005797195.922026-09-14 18:320.9910008357.72230.120000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91743096240000828152788571856852736013015281177413759323948075481950472145047"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
890464555071734997565252070477518833781914095052903114895…2026-09-14Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz bet…NoPolitics2026-09-13 19:590.9495000.9310000.9680000.03700086267.522026-09-14 18:320.93000014111.32260.222222unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"89046455507173499756525207047751883378191409505290311489587600504516758912800"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
880953920883800189888111289050566854206816842477002442212…2026-09-14Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elec…NoPolitics2026-09-19 20:000.9095000.9090000.9100000.001000331894.362026-09-14 18:320.90900010670.75961.940399unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"88095392088380018988811128905056685420681684247700244221273733002608971216833"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
861696285480389960883557370425791124139023517457431911390…2026-09-14Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market …NoFinance2026-09-30 19:590.8430000.8380000.8480000.0100002561382.562026-09-14 18:320.8410005021.05180.810351unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86169628548038996088355737042579112413902351745743191139025173124156572670231"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
857235160700777308831059090493880615970491732816132019100…2026-09-14Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?NoFinance2027-06-30 20:000.4250000.4200000.4300000.01000082794.052026-09-14 18:310.4100006128.99941.020000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"85723516070077730883105909049388061597049173281613201910087943908235778734129"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
834382159788561801458728058213909198406214350871041318486…2026-09-14Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.7200000.7000000.7400000.0400004410.372026-09-14 18:320.67000017897.05500.899221unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"8343821597885618014587280582139091984062143508710413184869540112147713995559"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
814704650806561500884828862983567836210628029191100967630…2026-09-14Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the…NoPolitics2026-09-15 20:00—0.999000——27284301.562026-09-14 18:320.99900077887.78430.857143unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"81470465080656150088482886298356783621062802919110096763062861781139262816347"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
790856282012811224818835785948115945922608242523730597970…2026-09-14Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?NoPolitics2026-04-29 20:000.9435000.9430000.9440000.001000991143.272026-09-14 18:330.94100010320.84410.028189unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"79085628201281122481883578594811594592260824252373059797032000397035131450743"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
789070047415782903829219194483768472055726980880458675997…2026-09-14Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?NoPolitics2026-09-14 19:590.9975000.9970000.9980000.001000206461.702026-09-14 18:320.99700013795.46791.482574unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"7890700474157829038292191944837684720557269808804586759979391214043839466430"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
786323950833106707343152055020612496023190696539159323201…2026-09-14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.6350000.6300000.6400000.0100001995184.602026-09-14 18:320.64000040321.44360.225820unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"78632395083310670734315205502061249602319069653915932320155846460019107676757"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
777376030497043714019851430302035511306245207849258154732…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.6550000.6500000.6600000.0100002509740.502026-09-14 18:320.66000014028.88731.460952unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"77737603049704371401985143030203551130624520784925815473217168646825527075459"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
741952205861292373492588031790826345422845035383200006379…2026-09-14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the…NoPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.9925000.9920000.9930000.00100028511397.322026-09-14 18:320.992000328920.70860.983857unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"74195220586129237349258803179082634542284503538320000637909015632982564961602"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
740765688468667141425038470267607027135556437780387902204…2026-09-14Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8550000.8500000.8600000.0100002775277.992026-09-14 18:320.8500006651.25450.153257unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"74076568846866714142503847026760702713555643778038790220454009063912340064073"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
736219880206384639899751465585761631088358740412345817490…2026-09-14Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.4850000.4800000.4900000.010000404468.562026-09-14 18:320.48000011684.29641.320000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"73621988020638463989975146558576163108835874041234581749056831089553559830214"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
730563024980408563549639986990576937229430271615903444732…2026-09-14Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9625000.9620000.9630000.00100013354002.712026-09-14 18:300.96300010995.69012.806916unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"7305630249804085635496399869905769372294302716159034447326228509068694952392"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
694986485568188058349458951986700723447215101278306606680…2026-09-14Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to Se…NoPolitics2026-09-15 12:000.3350000.3300000.3400000.01000048478.532026-09-14 18:310.3300009997.93183.960000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"69498648556818805834945895198670072344721510127830660668063083785228750351236"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
694146134655431366360774186239195771903000925636070848554…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-14 19:590.9975000.9970000.9980000.001000263355.362026-09-14 18:310.99800029883.93741.960101unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"69414613465543136636077418623919577190300092563607084855456415038243186412684"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
688818401091142455217972750255962569283846132511084298084…2026-09-14Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?NoPolitics2026-09-12 20:000.9340000.9290000.9390000.010000131961.782026-09-14 18:320.9280005048.59420.268490unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"68881840109114245521797275025596256928384613251108429808491092208111156621485"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
639152872719406880648701729914364897755875413354573703553…2026-09-14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.3550000.3500000.3600000.010000502740.282026-09-14 18:320.3500005046.92780.640000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"63915287271940688064870172991436489775587541335457370355314489349033951709373"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
630283026420228182855147388100408918213908530857243229957…2026-09-14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.2850000.2810000.2890000.008000521136.142026-09-14 18:320.2810007380.37512.023405unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"63028302642022818285514738810040891821390853085724322995706281952487897762762"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
619623807350458713513525639477460371897673980699607764550…2026-09-14Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in …NoPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.7625000.7620000.7630000.001000493952.162026-09-14 18:320.76200011186.17730.412083unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61962380735045871351352563947746037189767398069960776455040567750304235670037"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
578762142969530407059149543522197424236289121736534094226…2026-09-14Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the nex…NoPolitics2027-04-29 20:000.8990000.8970000.9010000.004000425760.722026-09-14 18:320.8970008794.24310.493827unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57876214296953040705914954352219742423628912173653409422651199206441027151468"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
572162725645295484646864636912368119919560322012937867903…2026-09-14Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9695000.9690000.9700000.0010005127626.552026-09-14 18:330.9690008440.27340.006887unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57216272564529548464686463691236811991956032201293786790337952253964682584376"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
564659332200820228357008170639461746359097255077344162485…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.8550000.8500000.8600000.0100001759598.602026-09-14 18:320.85000019137.70281.023030unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"56465933220082022835700817063946174635909725507734416248556389304448520396318"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
551337802515919133770431646071004302666890163620451140238…2026-09-14Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8450000.8400000.8500000.010000487320.122026-09-14 18:310.8400005954.40280.349885unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"5513378025159191337704316460710043026668901636204511402381351948151562535480"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
545359399362524949902377235799883362379103362810082918083…2026-09-14Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.7800000.7700000.7900000.020000208472.932026-09-14 18:320.79000010974.95831.304609unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54535939936252494990237723579988336237910336281008291808351435211825298252708"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
540183727272525707669144952049465545783017838520968652115…2026-09-14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9450000.9300000.9600000.030000286979.752026-09-14 18:320.95000010070.42510.120000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54018372727252570766914495204946554578301783852096865211527480718618130665409"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
502305252920113973616660321285575666878111844985156935639…2026-09-14Trump out as President by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.9950000.9940000.9960000.0020001241089.342026-09-14 18:330.99500025177.07690.126727unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"50230525292011397361666032128557566687811184498515693563902400561445822555625"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
499522872446145757347239137576490879020243392380071875856…2026-09-14Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sw…NoPolitics2026-09-12 20:000.1250000.1200000.1300000.010000331318.762026-09-14 18:320.1200008580.65963.666061unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"49952287244614575734723913757649087902024339238007187585607375183859292977482"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
496801044077036599910134990819084835354450017698659671393…2026-09-14Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to Se…NoPolitics2026-09-15 12:000.7650000.7600000.7700000.01000055537.982026-09-14 18:320.77000024238.58193.828634unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"49680104407703659991013499081908483535445001769865967139333008259807233372469"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
489970745072403596167117480645971014290842208022732690429…2026-09-14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.7935000.7870000.8000000.013000980078.812026-09-14 18:320.7910005414.80011.027196unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"48997074507240359616711748064597101429084220802273269042911597047117219823609"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
487274313143330882436930169296233637104889801528335441569…2026-09-14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8250000.8200000.8300000.0100004997095.492026-09-14 18:320.82000023325.77991.320321unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
481532081438944336054066229267133997016025181446263698597…2026-09-14Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?NoPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.9745000.9660000.9830000.017000240005.542026-09-14 18:320.9700006847.05070.923295unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"48153208143894433605406622926713399701602518144626369859726576312729177555328"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
451525146492131703771068342371472086444956779088956852157…2026-09-14Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T a…NoFinance2026-12-31 18:550.7685000.7680000.7690000.001000116226.882026-09-14 18:320.7650005498.65190.119812unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"45152514649213170377106834237147208644495677908895685215785984082704434230216"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
432276661560081946332291951174751235006336742500725879276…2026-09-14Iran leadership change by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9765000.9750000.9780000.0030002520004.582026-09-14 18:320.98000013386.80710.323074unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"43227666156008194633229195117475123500633674250072587927676970641387990170901"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
420387758661982126154916501148818182196651399817632076991…2026-09-14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.3850000.3800000.3900000.0100003026455.212026-09-14 18:320.38000018541.74820.120000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"42038775866198212615491650114881818219665139981763207699110491615333273795415"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
418644974118781917669675814224329617508084409911740855163…2026-09-14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the…NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.9910000.9900000.9920000.00200027919453.322026-09-14 18:320.9920006835.77760.006727unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"41864497411878191766967581422432961750808440991174085516384293402629587721839"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
412968407557101875946978682306523943163401318363485304920…2026-09-14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9860000.9840000.9880000.0040003888276.772026-09-14 18:320.98800020650.66100.167571unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"41296840755710187594697868230652394316340131836348530492072496327848341834044"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
397053449283490515282354373201198287046390520453987045875…2026-09-14US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.7950000.7900000.8000000.010000211655.452026-09-14 18:320.8000008543.85280.162602unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"39705344928349051528235437320119828704639052045398704587587139370251349054590"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
391475245227075364569107479926216714330328381414391932648…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.3690000.3650000.3730000.00800018919238.992026-09-14 18:320.3680007756.91281.293198unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"39147524522707536456910747992621671433032838141439193264830818731544404472030"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
362502716815050001322405734737902286252635598084107031033…2026-09-14Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 20…NoPolitics2026-10-04 20:000.9655000.9590000.9720000.013000232721.262026-09-14 18:330.9700009490.74200.006944unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"36250271681505000132240573473790228625263559808410703103366953147685418684739"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
352027851756244737431333253503369396971453932457335003009…2026-09-14Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?NoPolitics2026-09-12 20:000.8850000.8800000.8900000.010000278741.162026-09-14 18:320.890000111169.95421.035758unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"35202785175624473743133325350336939697145393245733500300951742752216521350176"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
315060014092775233121926514701955241670901019430800632739…2026-09-14Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-30 14:300.9935000.9930000.9940000.0010001379297.372026-09-14 18:320.99300024450.94160.006720unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"31506001409277523312192651470195524167090101943080063273985704767232411431594"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32