Simplify Analytics
← Data Explorer

Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

core.prediction_snapshots

One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

613 rowsCSV — whole table, not this view

Sources in this table

as_ofto
column equals (exact text)
sort
chart against as_of
reset
active:outcome = Yes×source = uw_predictions×sorted by as_of ↑×
asset_idtextas_of ↑datemarkettextoutcometextcategorytextresolves_attimestamp with time zonemid_pricenumericbest_bidnumericbest_asknumericspreadnumerictotal_liquiditynumericbook_tstimestamp with time zonelast_pricenumericvolumenumericunusual_scorenumericseen_viatextsourcetextendpointtextrequest_paramsjsonbvintage_tstimestamp with time zoneretrieved_attimestamp with time zone
904645066021363507677847067831895067278279517569415780154…2026-09-14Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9335000.9330000.9340000.001000214834.402026-09-14 18:320.94900011008.39290.362963unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"90464506602136350767784706783189506727827951756941578015494993747105229931522"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
889129265334939884277192916989476881540427209583106323165…2026-09-14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the…YesPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.0075000.0070000.0080000.00100028511397.322026-09-14 18:320.00800023517.95583.921905unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"88912926533493988427719291698947688154042720958310632316541141466409683822293"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
877129206732522975092001510453910152624490557648806599077…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.3450000.3400000.3500000.0100002510834.882026-09-14 18:320.3400009079.64462.408889unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"87712920673252297509200151045391015262449055764880659907762503287643101055970"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
865296202871211191411713694886296708980339823000447091102…2026-09-14Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to Se…YesPolitics2026-09-15 12:000.2350000.2300000.2400000.01000055537.982026-09-14 18:320.24000025508.36414.080000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86529620287121119141171369488629670898033982300044709110262344635337180284727"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
860112292879503650435191178520416146517674558893246821126…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.6310000.6270000.6350000.00800018919238.992026-09-14 18:320.6260005907.17161.317778unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
857798513793417764583300368515481143811760939532025428635…2026-09-14Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?YesFinance2026-12-08 19:000.8800000.8700000.8900000.020000230708.652026-09-14 18:320.8800006928.97550.798291unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"85779851379341776458330036851548114381176093953202542863538086591922931585951"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
838837340927581334036618189606374018289865425944236527455…2026-09-14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?YesPolitics2026-09-07 19:590.9425000.9370000.9480000.011000335941.262026-09-14 18:320.95100032636.71531.240952unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"83883734092758133403661818960637401828986542594423652745565198052267379022496"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
837834894546594208076797235748400326600023267100451238655…2026-09-14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.1750000.1700000.1800000.0100004997095.492026-09-14 18:320.1800009006.32291.450370unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"83783489454659420807679723574840032660002326710045123865554753994450797728825"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
824518776291711202158630957865362129942237799595235544686…2026-09-14Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.5150000.5100000.5200000.010000407601.562026-09-14 18:320.53000017819.22322.675932unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"82451877629171120215863095786536212994223779959523554468642312484613145998263"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
814559954595877758213114204886657589906815946151130795188…2026-09-14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?YesPolitics2026-09-30 16:290.9895000.9870000.9920000.005000146145.472026-09-14 18:320.98700011015.94790.222564unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"81455995459587775821311420488665758990681594615113079518876286804187992055554"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
794073683123256426491296632810215051369749191237850621851…2026-09-14Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats i…YesPolitics2026-09-12 20:00—0.999000——127093.562026-09-14 18:330.9990006362.44510.033568unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"79407368312325642649129663281021505136974919123785062185108115301590083588838"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
759490790723005116356036002065672277387031608559005477780…2026-09-14US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.4050000.4000000.4100000.010000675880.552026-09-14 18:320.4000007279.40791.025116unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"75949079072300511635603600206567227738703160855900547778099294726738851616000"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
733235589739108047748976128926669728895843930926410187299…2026-09-14Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?YesPolitics2026-09-18 23:590.8900000.8700000.9100000.040000119295.712026-09-14 18:320.8800006203.56442.482646unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"73323558973910804774897612892666972889584393092641018729960853480391859765967"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
711994909579240418867354111619572767777786859915364155267…2026-09-14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?YesFinance2026-09-30 23:590.7150000.7110000.7190000.008000521136.142026-09-14 18:320.71000064508.80890.811324unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"71199490957924041886735411161957276777778685991536415526722488030509401889440"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
676188477881608354275335053977961720108459466423472965578…2026-09-14Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sw…YesPolitics2026-09-12 20:000.8750000.8700000.8800000.010000280422.242026-09-14 18:320.880000132661.71541.254906unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"6761884778816083542753350539779617201084594664234729655783875952381923983097"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
638425290687100057161693253803154703590477497866107786473…2026-09-14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …YesPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.8750000.8700000.8800000.0100006744433.822026-09-14 18:300.8700001343760.12496.706374unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"63842529068710005716169325380315470359047749786610778647370693404952498013178"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
622278478531323029432702918801560608806962262451080224857…2026-09-14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?YesFinance2026-09-30 23:590.7300000.7200000.7400000.020000763561.472026-09-14 18:320.7500007882.29780.600000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"6222784785313230294327029188015606088069622624510802248578044329127504364661"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
619560485363314289163847070597824802415581416085257056714…2026-09-14Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.1350000.1300000.1400000.010000159903.932026-09-14 18:320.1400006360.44870.656667unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61956048536331428916384707059782480241558141608525705671477344792920313779730"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
582122695178968840153384697752946899762026824309718829049…2026-09-14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.9745000.9720000.9770000.005000258968.782026-09-14 18:320.97200010488.03740.584086unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"58212269517896884015338469775294689976202682430971882904931336575860619991827"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
577481380850227197603457723100407038485673778224001328420…2026-09-14Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the …YesPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.0025000.0020000.0030000.00100027623249.092026-09-14 18:320.00200011443.90073.977143unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57748138085022719760345772310040703848567377822400132842014290209986511882046"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
561528276087598523186850800805695987623853689664331506391…2026-09-14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the S…YesPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.1250000.1200000.1300000.0100005398596.032026-09-14 18:300.120000325729.414012.957143unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"5615282760875985231868508008056959876238536896643315063916840237042205273721"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
559714704163462506831607357043995702470111093353314067521…2026-09-14Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?YesFinance2026-12-08 19:000.8850000.8800000.8900000.0100001698827.352026-09-14 18:320.87000019858.12720.601928unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"55971470416346250683160735704399570247011109335331406752116975462530324793173"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
551597227614180130441264142766806022703180008416906896848…2026-09-14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …YesPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.3650000.3600000.3700000.0100001995171.842026-09-14 18:320.3700006191.59520.520000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"55159722761418013044126414276680602270318000841690689684819994448621694923050"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
540572489883630359741431801948090827930110925108994000873…2026-09-14Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Ru…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9905000.9900000.9910000.00100022450236.122026-09-14 18:330.9900005674.56130.013482unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54057248988363035974143180194809082793011092510899400087326333477908849736030"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
523348780188146859725470148750091600547171201711003480696…2026-09-14Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in …YesPolitics2026-09-12 20:00—0.999000——125646.832026-09-14 18:320.9990005853.21520.146801unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"52334878018814685972547014875009160054717120171100348069688980422350429906466"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
502021450557510225228837012720236299131376560046509961185…2026-09-14Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to Se…YesPolitics2026-09-15 12:000.0915000.0910000.0920000.001000167881.092026-09-14 18:320.0920009376.84644.440000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"50202145055751022522883701272023629913137656004650996118519929154953683657035"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
498210651814734197981469572674800155061027111606607186366…2026-09-14Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first…YesPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.7550000.7500000.7600000.010000381606.362026-09-14 18:320.75000015805.05311.507719unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"49821065181473419798146957267480015506102711160660718636601116902870701340131"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
439765119022681110416338667995550373303174273154540568470…2026-09-14Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.2250000.2200000.2300000.010000430152.672026-09-14 18:320.2300008201.14110.863030unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"43976511902268111041633866799555037330317427315454056847054364885183934986197"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
354804859281476944225223172981600811946037668651024881549…2026-09-14Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?YesFinance2027-06-30 20:000.5750000.5700000.5800000.01000062681.882026-09-14 18:300.5900008605.17080.218579unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"35480485928147694422522317298160081194603766865102488154902775756915955129166"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
347329888869815101678743898457088328086272843798401313512…2026-09-14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.6450000.6400000.6500000.010000502450.282026-09-14 18:320.65000010128.01530.451640unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"34732988886981510167874389845708832808627284379840131351229635795767825787404"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
339304231760843286935644703542305621309901033522794960840…2026-09-14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?YesPolitics2026-09-18 19:590.9740000.9720000.9760000.004000245741.282026-09-14 18:320.97200016058.77761.201905unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"33930423176084328693564470354230562130990103352279496084032098459555430581042"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
237055837363487065339885108397594338210531138140257664220…2026-09-14Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market…YesFinance2026-09-30 19:590.8095000.8090000.8100000.0010001511993.132026-09-14 18:320.8100008320.80090.959530unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"23705583736348706533988510839759433821053113814025766422082583385077433681175"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
209157695206498922538911521168146450670700242231855179567…2026-09-14Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.7550000.7500000.7600000.0100004646272.802026-09-14 18:300.75000067172.46574.976667unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
206372177129978645538674756692782387273268587041930910401…2026-09-14Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first roun…YesPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.4545000.4480000.4610000.013000599005.782026-09-14 18:320.46400010182.04651.386953unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"20637217712997864553867475669278238727326858704193091040111183987981733729683"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
198842022043630905918459743649275134324193945372295946830…2026-09-14Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?YesPolitics2026-09-12 20:000.1150000.1100000.1200000.010000285241.162026-09-14 18:320.1200008781.68416.706061unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"19884202204363090591845974364927513432419394537229594683046302661092511466716"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
146966591495774779415947353517201867864922403144882182880…2026-09-14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?YesFinance2026-09-30 23:590.3850000.3700000.4000000.030000507854.032026-09-14 18:320.36000014788.83621.892121unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"1469665914957747794159473535172018678649224031448821828800084553716875180650"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
114063883841008656259693417982724538644229511180554005883…2026-09-14Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to Se…YesPolitics2026-09-15 12:000.6650000.6600000.6700000.01000048478.532026-09-14 18:310.67000018095.74264.320000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"114063883841008656259693417982724538644229511180554005883119336066247267433029"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
111298138377563993092134225975136320189301451429785490480…2026-09-14Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?YesPolitics2026-09-12 20:00—0.999000——229477.562026-09-14 18:320.99900025557.01970.926801unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"111298138377563993092134225975136320189301451429785490480960975987235797764793"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462…2026-09-14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…YesPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.6150000.6100000.6200000.0100003026455.212026-09-14 18:320.62000028822.56010.349290unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
110531092871817326177676615981488848062239024242021648855…2026-09-14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?YesPolitics2026-09-04 19:590.9580000.9550000.9610000.006000480458.082026-09-14 18:320.950000185561.19792.737674unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"110531092871817326177676615981488848062239024242021648855998953959660629545985"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
110124369154659006328320349797831539154282530245624469518…2026-09-14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.9150000.9100000.9200000.010000650375.062026-09-14 18:320.92000013022.13080.240000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"110124369154659006328320349797831539154282530245624469518430389053088403535939"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
106865169592299548286587696300190957552253330566906307858…2026-09-14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?YesFinance2026-09-30 23:590.5090000.5080000.5100000.0020002710219.252026-09-14 18:320.5080008622.73271.624637unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"106865169592299548286587696300190957552253330566906307858266701916595931430747"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
106186969588053884502739828065662756020867203952742643544…2026-09-14Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by Se…YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.9040000.9000000.9080000.008000411456.902026-09-14 18:320.90200010173.39410.334718unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"10618696958805388450273982806566275602086720395274264354492776873006123003601"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
105964405201093262772405016621866393230668268590147803590…2026-09-14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?YesPolitics2026-09-11 19:590.9525000.9520000.9530000.001000386732.762026-09-14 18:320.94900038349.23211.407843unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"105964405201093262772405016621866393230668268590147803590929677280620246045766"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
102682832966209969978965796495958715590593079468512867290…2026-09-14Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state el…YesPolitics2026-09-19 20:000.6350000.6300000.6400000.010000471257.642026-09-14 18:320.6300005737.35861.284222unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"102682832966209969978965796495958715590593079468512867290824407541600306279619"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
101040420236481079077393026772174192261262803877417817462…2026-09-14Israel closes its airspace by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9670000.9650000.9690000.004000659770.572026-09-14 18:320.96600073230.93130.161237unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"101040420236481079077393026772174192261262803877417817462744147440746788606483"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
904645066021363507677847067831895067278279517569415780154…2026-09-15Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9290000.9230000.9350000.012000204005.612026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"90464506602136350767784706783189506727827951756941578015494993747105229931522"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
889129265334939884277192916989476881540427209583106323165…2026-09-15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the…YesPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.0085000.0080000.0090000.00100025937058.942026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"88912926533493988427719291698947688154042720958310632316541141466409683822293"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
877129206732522975092001510453910152624490557648806599077…2026-09-15US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.3250000.3200000.3300000.0100002750384.372026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"87712920673252297509200151045391015262449055764880659907762503287643101055970"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
860112292879503650435191178520416146517674558893246821126…2026-09-15US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.6250000.6220000.6280000.00600019129084.692026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45