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Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

core.prediction_snapshots

One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

689 rowsCSV — whole table, not this view

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asset_idtextas_of ↑datemarkettextoutcometextcategorytextresolves_attimestamp with time zonemid_pricenumericbest_bidnumericbest_asknumericspreadnumerictotal_liquiditynumericbook_tstimestamp with time zonelast_pricenumericvolumenumericunusual_scorenumericseen_viatextsourcetextendpointtextrequest_paramsjsonbvintage_tstimestamp with time zoneretrieved_attimestamp with time zone
964668730158312118324843609936891427216117752161356597162…2026-09-15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9435000.9430000.9440000.0010001659815.392026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"96466873015831211832484360993689142721611775216135659716230744624514485341911"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
949094972047914222189533269894338488040637872598538898451…2026-09-15Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.8090000.8060000.8120000.00600013279137.852026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"94909497204791422218953326989433848804063787259853889845128791095089809741999"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
919981947261369276324504834246140128906914465092627504521…2026-09-15Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September…NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:550.9865000.9860000.9870000.0010002083201.752026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91998194726136927632450483424614012890691446509262750452187052878486812367191"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
919489933790667506036363084442152945389645504745752279412…2026-09-15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9705000.9700000.9710000.0010001643363.132026-09-15 20:43———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91948993379066750603636308444215294538964550474575227941265783859080165323026"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
917430962400008281527885718568527360130152811774137593239…2026-09-15Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9920000.9910000.9930000.0020005857330.202026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91743096240000828152788571856852736013015281177413759323948075481950472145047"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
904645066021363507677847067831895067278279517569415780154…2026-09-15Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9290000.9230000.9350000.012000204005.612026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"90464506602136350767784706783189506727827951756941578015494993747105229931522"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
889129265334939884277192916989476881540427209583106323165…2026-09-15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the…YesPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.0085000.0080000.0090000.00100025937058.942026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"88912926533493988427719291698947688154042720958310632316541141466409683822293"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
880953920883800189888111289050566854206816842477002442212…2026-09-15Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elec…NoPolitics2026-09-19 20:000.9225000.9220000.9230000.001000989739.402026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"88095392088380018988811128905056685420681684247700244221273733002608971216833"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
877129206732522975092001510453910152624490557648806599077…2026-09-15US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.3250000.3200000.3300000.0100002750384.372026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"87712920673252297509200151045391015262449055764880659907762503287643101055970"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
861696285480389960883557370425791124139023517457431911390…2026-09-15Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market …NoFinance2026-09-30 19:590.8750000.8730000.8770000.0040002896508.792026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86169628548038996088355737042579112413902351745743191139025173124156572670231"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
860112292879503650435191178520416146517674558893246821126…2026-09-15US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.6250000.6220000.6280000.00600019129084.692026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
857798513793417764583300368515481143811760939532025428635…2026-09-15Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?YesFinance2026-12-08 19:000.8850000.8800000.8900000.010000438051.562026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"85779851379341776458330036851548114381176093953202542863538086591922931585951"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
857235160700777308831059090493880615970491732816132019100…2026-09-15Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?NoFinance2027-06-30 20:000.4400000.4300000.4500000.020000128007.342026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"85723516070077730883105909049388061597049173281613201910087943908235778734129"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
837834894546594208076797235748400326600023267100451238655…2026-09-15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.1750000.1700000.1800000.0100005482703.242026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"83783489454659420807679723574840032660002326710045123865554753994450797728825"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
834382159788561801458728058213909198406214350871041318486…2026-09-15Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.6050000.5800000.6300000.05000015444.312026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"8343821597885618014587280582139091984062143508710413184869540112147713995559"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
824518776291711202158630957865362129942237799595235544686…2026-09-15Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.4650000.4600000.4700000.010000427512.762026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"82451877629171120215863095786536212994223779959523554468642312484613145998263"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
814704650806561500884828862983567836210628029191100967630…2026-09-15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the…NoPolitics2026-09-15 20:00—0.999000——28597167.592026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"81470465080656150088482886298356783621062802919110096763062861781139262816347"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
786323950833106707343152055020612496023190696539159323201…2026-09-15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.6250000.6200000.6300000.0100002548641.882026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"78632395083310670734315205502061249602319069653915932320155846460019107676757"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
777376030497043714019851430302035511306245207849258154732…2026-09-15US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.6750000.6700000.6800000.0100002746009.372026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"77737603049704371401985143030203551130624520784925815473217168646825527075459"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
759490790723005116356036002065672277387031608559005477780…2026-09-15US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.3650000.3600000.3700000.010000891773.942026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"75949079072300511635603600206567227738703160855900547778099294726738851616000"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
741952205861292373492588031790826345422845035383200006379…2026-09-15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the…NoPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.9915000.9910000.9920000.00100025937058.942026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"74195220586129237349258803179082634542284503538320000637909015632982564961602"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
740765688468667141425038470267607027135556437780387902204…2026-09-15Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8650000.8600000.8700000.0100002987310.502026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"74076568846866714142503847026760702713555643778038790220454009063912340064073"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
736219880206384639899751465585761631088358740412345817490…2026-09-15Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.5350000.5300000.5400000.010000427422.762026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"73621988020638463989975146558576163108835874041234581749056831089553559830214"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
733235589739108047748976128926669728895843930926410187299…2026-09-15Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?YesPolitics2026-09-18 23:590.9890000.9880000.9900000.002000179646.002026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"73323558973910804774897612892666972889584393092641018729960853480391859765967"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
730563024980408563549639986990576937229430271615903444732…2026-09-15Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9615000.9610000.9620000.00100012130915.602026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"7305630249804085635496399869905769372294302716159034447326228509068694952392"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
639152872719406880648701729914364897755875413354573703553…2026-09-15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.3650000.3600000.3700000.010000438862.312026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"63915287271940688064870172991436489775587541335457370355314489349033951709373"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
622278478531323029432702918801560608806962262451080224857…2026-09-15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?YesFinance2026-09-30 23:590.4850000.4700000.5000000.030000838092.402026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"6222784785313230294327029188015606088069622624510802248578044329127504364661"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
619623807350458713513525639477460371897673980699607764550…2026-09-15Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in …NoPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.7585000.7550000.7620000.007000977564.012026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61962380735045871351352563947746037189767398069960776455040567750304235670037"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
619560485363314289163847070597824802415581416085257056714…2026-09-15Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.1600000.1500000.1700000.020000164683.962026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61956048536331428916384707059782480241558141608525705671477344792920313779730"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
582122695178968840153384697752946899762026824309718829049…2026-09-15US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:59————0.002026-09-15 14:03———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"58212269517896884015338469775294689976202682430971882904931336575860619991827"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
578762142969530407059149543522197424236289121736534094226…2026-09-15Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the nex…NoPolitics2027-04-29 20:000.8880000.8810000.8950000.014000310096.282026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57876214296953040705914954352219742423628912173653409422651199206441027151468"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
577481380850227197603457723100407038485673778224001328420…2026-09-15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the …YesPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.0015000.0010000.0020000.00100027981819.592026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57748138085022719760345772310040703848567377822400132842014290209986511882046"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
572162725645295484646864636912368119919560322012937867903…2026-09-15Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9685000.9680000.9690000.0010005350956.502026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57216272564529548464686463691236811991956032201293786790337952253964682584376"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
564659332200820228357008170639461746359097255077344162485…2026-09-15US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.8650000.8600000.8700000.0100001919440.342026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"56465933220082022835700817063946174635909725507734416248556389304448520396318"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
561528276087598523186850800805695987623853689664331506391…2026-09-15Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the S…YesPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.1150000.1100000.1200000.0100008691529.072026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"5615282760875985231868508008056959876238536896643315063916840237042205273721"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
559714704163462506831607357043995702470111093353314067521…2026-09-15Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?YesFinance2026-12-08 19:000.9050000.9000000.9100000.0100001983614.672026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"55971470416346250683160735704399570247011109335331406752116975462530324793173"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
551597227614180130441264142766806022703180008416906896848…2026-09-15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …YesPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.3750000.3700000.3800000.0100002548641.882026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"55159722761418013044126414276680602270318000841690689684819994448621694923050"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
551337802515919133770431646071004302666890163620451140238…2026-09-15Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8250000.8200000.8300000.010000766347.712026-09-15 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"5513378025159191337704316460710043026668901636204511402381351948151562535480"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
545359399362524949902377235799883362379103362810082918083…2026-09-15Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.8150000.8000000.8300000.030000220206.512026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54535939936252494990237723579988336237910336281008291808351435211825298252708"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
540572489883630359741431801948090827930110925108994000873…2026-09-15Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Ru…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9910000.9900000.9920000.00200022557049.372026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54057248988363035974143180194809082793011092510899400087326333477908849736030"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
540183727272525707669144952049465545783017838520968652115…2026-09-15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9550000.9500000.9600000.010000297972.182026-09-15 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54018372727252570766914495204946554578301783852096865211527480718618130665409"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
502305252920113973616660321285575666878111844985156935639…2026-09-15Trump out as President by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.9935000.9930000.9940000.0010001594575.752026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"50230525292011397361666032128557566687811184498515693563902400561445822555625"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
498210651814734197981469572674800155061027111606607186366…2026-09-15Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first…YesPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.7550000.7500000.7600000.010000577645.662026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"49821065181473419798146957267480015506102711160660718636601116902870701340131"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
489970745072403596167117480645971014290842208022732690429…2026-09-15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.7700000.7510000.7890000.038000967442.292026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"48997074507240359616711748064597101429084220802273269042911597047117219823609"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
487274313143330882436930169296233637104889801528335441569…2026-09-15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8250000.8200000.8300000.0100005495203.242026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
481532081438944336054066229267133997016025181446263698597…2026-09-15Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?NoPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.9935000.9930000.9940000.001000196351.012026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"48153208143894433605406622926713399701602518144626369859726576312729177555328"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
451525146492131703771068342371472086444956779088956852157…2026-09-15Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T a…NoFinance2026-12-31 18:550.7685000.7680000.7690000.001000107299.702026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"45152514649213170377106834237147208644495677908895685215785984082704434230216"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
439765119022681110416338667995550373303174273154540568470…2026-09-15Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.2200000.2100000.2300000.020000389845.202026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"43976511902268111041633866799555037330317427315454056847054364885183934986197"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
432276661560081946332291951174751235006336742500725879276…2026-09-15Iran leadership change by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9780000.9760000.9800000.0040005086132.992026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"43227666156008194633229195117475123500633674250072587927676970641387990170901"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
420387758661982126154916501148818182196651399817632076991…2026-09-15Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.3950000.3900000.4000000.0100003423868.642026-09-15 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"42038775866198212615491650114881818219665139981763207699110491615333273795415"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45