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Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

core.prediction_snapshots

One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

689 rowsCSV — whole table, not this view

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asset_idtextas_of ↓datemarkettextoutcometextcategorytextresolves_attimestamp with time zonemid_pricenumericbest_bidnumericbest_asknumericspreadnumerictotal_liquiditynumericbook_tstimestamp with time zonelast_pricenumericvolumenumericunusual_scorenumericseen_viatextsourcetextendpointtextrequest_paramsjsonbvintage_tstimestamp with time zoneretrieved_attimestamp with time zone
998624084800916908187125803907393722693880743269959570345…2026-09-21US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-21 19:590.9985000.9980000.9990000.001000253254.462026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"99862408480091690818712580390739372269388074326995957034508591909408581976106"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
964668730158312118324843609936891427216117752161356597162…2026-09-21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9900000.9890000.9910000.0020001727881.732026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"96466873015831211832484360993689142721611775216135659716230744624514485341911"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
919981947261369276324504834246140128906914465092627504521…2026-09-21Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September…NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:550.9940000.9930000.9950000.0020001704310.462026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91998194726136927632450483424614012890691446509262750452187052878486812367191"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
919489933790667506036363084442152945389645504745752279412…2026-09-21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9945000.9930000.9960000.0030001705495.372026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91948993379066750603636308444215294538964550474575227941265783859080165323026"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
917430962400008281527885718568527360130152811774137593239…2026-09-21Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9955000.9950000.9960000.0010005154277.232026-09-21 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91743096240000828152788571856852736013015281177413759323948075481950472145047"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
904645066021363507677847067831895067278279517569415780154…2026-09-21Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9960000.9950000.9970000.002000256229.262026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"90464506602136350767784706783189506727827951756941578015494993747105229931522"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
877129206732522975092001510453910152624490557648806599077…2026-09-21US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.3850000.3800000.3900000.0100002513555.132026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"87712920673252297509200151045391015262449055764880659907762503287643101055970"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
861696285480389960883557370425791124139023517457431911390…2026-09-21Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market …NoFinance2026-09-30 19:590.9910000.9900000.9920000.0020002491697.472026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86169628548038996088355737042579112413902351745743191139025173124156572670231"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
860112292879503650435191178520416146517674558893246821126…2026-09-21US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.6355000.6330000.6380000.00500019512649.372026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
857235160700777308831059090493880615970491732816132019100…2026-09-21Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?NoFinance2027-06-30 20:000.9595000.9590000.9600000.001000277078.822026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"85723516070077730883105909049388061597049173281613201910087943908235778734129"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
837834894546594208076797235748400326600023267100451238655…2026-09-21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.1950000.1900000.2000000.0100005185550.562026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"83783489454659420807679723574840032660002326710045123865554753994450797728825"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
834382159788561801458728058213909198406214350871041318486…2026-09-21Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.4600000.4500000.4700000.0200002407.042026-09-21 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"8343821597885618014587280582139091984062143508710413184869540112147713995559"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
824518776291711202158630957865362129942237799595235544686…2026-09-21Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.3000000.2900000.3100000.020000108659.012026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"82451877629171120215863095786536212994223779959523554468642312484613145998263"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
786323950833106707343152055020612496023190696539159323201…2026-09-21Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.4750000.4700000.4800000.0100004392669.612026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"78632395083310670734315205502061249602319069653915932320155846460019107676757"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
777376030497043714019851430302035511306245207849258154732…2026-09-21US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.6150000.6100000.6200000.0100002513547.132026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"77737603049704371401985143030203551130624520784925815473217168646825527075459"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
763268757111476970763537073315322279294867224158003964697…2026-09-21NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.6550000.6500000.6600000.0100002661648.772026-09-21 20:440.66000010502.92160.700000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"76326875711147697076353707331532227929486722415800396469798548611383212234361"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
759490790723005116356036002065672277387031608559005477780…2026-09-21US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.4700000.4600000.4800000.020000578567.862026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"75949079072300511635603600206567227738703160855900547778099294726738851616000"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
740765688468667141425038470267607027135556437780387902204…2026-09-21Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8650000.8600000.8700000.0100002680656.092026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"74076568846866714142503847026760702713555643778038790220454009063912340064073"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
736219880206384639899751465585761631088358740412345817490…2026-09-21Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.7000000.6900000.7100000.020000108060.062026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"73621988020638463989975146558576163108835874041234581749056831089553559830214"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
730563024980408563549639986990576937229430271615903444732…2026-09-21Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9565000.9560000.9570000.00100013203559.192026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"7305630249804085635496399869905769372294302716159034447326228509068694952392"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
702018518763323544392766040907026749748596319034869909746…2026-09-21Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31,…NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9250000.9200000.9300000.010000199324.112026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"70201851876332354439276604090702674974859631903486990974685797729205226013576"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
667971768368654066446750502481942649520015791797035275376…2026-09-21NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-10-30 20:000.7750000.7700000.7800000.010000766468.402026-09-21 20:440.77000013641.63590.325203unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"66797176836865406644675050248194264952001579179703527537658211196864343226792"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
663889520107003954767172607681806967445832214262998517764…2026-09-21Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.5500000.5400000.5600000.020000734428.772026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"6638895201070039547671726076818069674458322142629985177641367819559425166288"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
639152872719406880648701729914364897755875413354573703553…2026-09-21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.3150000.3100000.3200000.010000167572.472026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"63915287271940688064870172991436489775587541335457370355314489349033951709373"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
619623807350458713513525639477460371897673980699607764550…2026-09-21Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in …NoPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.6930000.6880000.6980000.010000826111.612026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61962380735045871351352563947746037189767398069960776455040567750304235670037"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
619560485363314289163847070597824802415581416085257056714…2026-09-21Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.0450000.0400000.0500000.010000161718.952026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61956048536331428916384707059782480241558141608525705671477344792920313779730"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
582122695178968840153384697752946899762026824309718829049…2026-09-21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:59————0.002026-09-15 14:03———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"58212269517896884015338469775294689976202682430971882904931336575860619991827"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
578762142969530407059149543522197424236289121736534094226…2026-09-21Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the nex…NoPolitics2027-04-29 20:000.8815000.8710000.8920000.021000178582.232026-09-21 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57876214296953040705914954352219742423628912173653409422651199206441027151468"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
572162725645295484646864636912368119919560322012937867903…2026-09-21Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9715000.9710000.9720000.0010005099014.722026-09-21 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57216272564529548464686463691236811991956032201293786790337952253964682584376"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
564659332200820228357008170639461746359097255077344162485…2026-09-21US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.8950000.8900000.9000000.0100001667423.902026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"56465933220082022835700817063946174635909725507734416248556389304448520396318"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
551597227614180130441264142766806022703180008416906896848…2026-09-21Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …YesPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.5250000.5200000.5300000.0100004392444.612026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"55159722761418013044126414276680602270318000841690689684819994448621694923050"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
551337802515919133770431646071004302666890163620451140238…2026-09-21Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8850000.8800000.8900000.010000342370.522026-09-21 20:43———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"5513378025159191337704316460710043026668901636204511402381351948151562535480"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
545359399362524949902377235799883362379103362810082918083…2026-09-21Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.8850000.8800000.8900000.010000191735.512026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54535939936252494990237723579988336237910336281008291808351435211825298252708"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
540183727272525707669144952049465545783017838520968652115…2026-09-21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9600000.9520000.9680000.016000291198.372026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54018372727252570766914495204946554578301783852096865211527480718618130665409"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
502305252920113973616660321285575666878111844985156935639…2026-09-21Trump out as President by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.9955000.9950000.9960000.001000742888.042026-09-21 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"50230525292011397361666032128557566687811184498515693563902400561445822555625"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
498210651814734197981469572674800155061027111606607186366…2026-09-21Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first…YesPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.7000000.6900000.7100000.020000265043.992026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"49821065181473419798146957267480015506102711160660718636601116902870701340131"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
489970745072403596167117480645971014290842208022732690429…2026-09-21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9780000.9770000.9790000.002000910325.722026-09-21 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"48997074507240359616711748064597101429084220802273269042911597047117219823609"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
487274313143330882436930169296233637104889801528335441569…2026-09-21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8050000.8000000.8100000.0100005172217.562026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
457206545984274873453435231478681840320784812766441645509…2026-09-21Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?YesPolitics2026-09-24 19:590.9945000.9940000.9950000.001000260509.362026-09-21 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"45720654598427487345343523147868184032078481276644164550917591817398343875097"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
451525146492131703771068342371472086444956779088956852157…2026-09-21Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T a…NoFinance2026-12-31 18:550.7585000.7580000.7590000.001000139812.002026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"45152514649213170377106834237147208644495677908895685215785984082704434230216"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
439765119022681110416338667995550373303174273154540568470…2026-09-21Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.1750000.1700000.1800000.010000442236.282026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"43976511902268111041633866799555037330317427315454056847054364885183934986197"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
432276661560081946332291951174751235006336742500725879276…2026-09-21Iran leadership change by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9925000.9920000.9930000.0010004363302.742026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"43227666156008194633229195117475123500633674250072587927676970641387990170901"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
420387758661982126154916501148818182196651399817632076991…2026-09-21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.5350000.5300000.5400000.0100005607795.262026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"42038775866198212615491650114881818219665139981763207699110491615333273795415"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
418644974118781917669675814224329617508084409911740855163…2026-09-21Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the…NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.9915000.9910000.9920000.00100038736361.932026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"41864497411878191766967581422432961750808440991174085516384293402629587721839"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
412968407557101875946978682306523943163401318363485304920…2026-09-21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9965000.9960000.9970000.0010003811171.402026-09-21 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"41296840755710187594697868230652394316340131836348530492072496327848341834044"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
397053449283490515282354373201198287046390520453987045875…2026-09-21US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.6550000.6500000.6600000.010000229230.602026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"39705344928349051528235437320119828704639052045398704587587139370251349054590"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
391475245227075364569107479926216714330328381414391932648…2026-09-21US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.3645000.3620000.3670000.00500019510547.372026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"39147524522707536456910747992621671433032838141439193264830818731544404472030"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
390315897145723429662583059433495733284128632195230088657…2026-09-21Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9955000.9950000.9960000.0010003131753.132026-09-21 20:43———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"39031589714572342966258305943349573328412863219523008865771008806225362230155"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
386671969586024161374636285174395601193047657091045701924…2026-09-21Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.4500000.4400000.4600000.020000735605.992026-09-21 20:43———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"38667196958602416137463628517439560119304765709104570192447644733106171420112"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45
370901285665075099136305894603726203520137665548863807854…2026-09-21Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.5455000.5400000.5510000.0110002033958.862026-09-21 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231"}2026-09-21 20:452026-09-21 20:45