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Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

core.prediction_snapshots

One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

613 rowsCSV — whole table, not this view

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asset_idtextas_of ↓datemarkettextoutcometextcategorytextresolves_attimestamp with time zonemid_pricenumericbest_bidnumericbest_asknumericspreadnumerictotal_liquiditynumericbook_tstimestamp with time zonelast_pricenumericvolumenumericunusual_scorenumericseen_viatextsourcetextendpointtextrequest_paramsjsonbvintage_tstimestamp with time zoneretrieved_attimestamp with time zone
777376030497043714019851430302035511306245207849258154732…2026-09-19US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.6750000.6700000.6800000.0100002684958.562026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"77737603049704371401985143030203551130624520784925815473217168646825527075459"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
759490790723005116356036002065672277387031608559005477780…2026-09-19US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.4050000.4000000.4100000.010000723696.342026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"75949079072300511635603600206567227738703160855900547778099294726738851616000"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
740765688468667141425038470267607027135556437780387902204…2026-09-19Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8550000.8500000.8600000.0100002832179.522026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"74076568846866714142503847026760702713555643778038790220454009063912340064073"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
736219880206384639899751465585761631088358740412345817490…2026-09-19Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.6550000.6500000.6600000.010000347841.462026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"73621988020638463989975146558576163108835874041234581749056831089553559830214"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
730563024980408563549639986990576937229430271615903444732…2026-09-19Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9595000.9590000.9600000.00100012940165.252026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"7305630249804085635496399869905769372294302716159034447326228509068694952392"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
702018518763323544392766040907026749748596319034869909746…2026-09-19Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31,…NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9150000.9100000.9200000.010000408951.772026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"70201851876332354439276604090702674974859631903486990974685797729205226013576"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
663889520107003954767172607681806967445832214262998517764…2026-09-19Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.5300000.5100000.5500000.040000754396.212026-09-19 20:440.52000012201.62161.834286unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"6638895201070039547671726076818069674458322142629985177641367819559425166288"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
639152872719406880648701729914364897755875413354573703553…2026-09-19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.3650000.3500000.3800000.030000412137.582026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"63915287271940688064870172991436489775587541335457370355314489349033951709373"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
619623807350458713513525639477460371897673980699607764550…2026-09-19Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in …NoPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.7360000.7340000.7380000.0040001107026.942026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61962380735045871351352563947746037189767398069960776455040567750304235670037"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
619560485363314289163847070597824802415581416085257056714…2026-09-19Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.0950000.0900000.1000000.010000142583.262026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61956048536331428916384707059782480241558141608525705671477344792920313779730"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
582122695178968840153384697752946899762026824309718829049…2026-09-19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:59————0.002026-09-15 14:03———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"58212269517896884015338469775294689976202682430971882904931336575860619991827"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
578762142969530407059149543522197424236289121736534094226…2026-09-19Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the nex…NoPolitics2027-04-29 20:000.8860000.8850000.8870000.002000719679.782026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57876214296953040705914954352219742423628912173653409422651199206441027151468"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
572162725645295484646864636912368119919560322012937867903…2026-09-19Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9680000.9670000.9690000.0020005119911.482026-09-19 20:440.97000016726.16410.020683unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57216272564529548464686463691236811991956032201293786790337952253964682584376"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
564659332200820228357008170639461746359097255077344162485…2026-09-19US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.9050000.9000000.9100000.0100001852537.042026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"56465933220082022835700817063946174635909725507734416248556389304448520396318"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
551597227614180130441264142766806022703180008416906896848…2026-09-19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …YesPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.5450000.5400000.5500000.0100004958510.722026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"55159722761418013044126414276680602270318000841690689684819994448621694923050"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
551337802515919133770431646071004302666890163620451140238…2026-09-19Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8850000.8800000.8900000.010000604641.992026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"5513378025159191337704316460710043026668901636204511402381351948151562535480"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
545359399362524949902377235799883362379103362810082918083…2026-09-19Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.8950000.8900000.9000000.010000190862.772026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54535939936252494990237723579988336237910336281008291808351435211825298252708"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
540572489883630359741431801948090827930110925108994000873…2026-09-19Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Ru…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9975000.9970000.9980000.0010001831460.522026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54057248988363035974143180194809082793011092510899400087326333477908849736030"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
540183727272525707669144952049465545783017838520968652115…2026-09-19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9775000.9670000.9880000.021000311725.032026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54018372727252570766914495204946554578301783852096865211527480718618130665409"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
502305252920113973616660321285575666878111844985156935639…2026-09-19Trump out as President by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.9935000.9930000.9940000.0010001113693.802026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"50230525292011397361666032128557566687811184498515693563902400561445822555625"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
498210651814734197981469572674800155061027111606607186366…2026-09-19Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first…YesPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.7250000.7200000.7300000.010000647139.342026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"49821065181473419798146957267480015506102711160660718636601116902870701340131"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
489970745072403596167117480645971014290842208022732690429…2026-09-19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9415000.9350000.9480000.0130001115732.752026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"48997074507240359616711748064597101429084220802273269042911597047117219823609"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
487274313143330882436930169296233637104889801528335441569…2026-09-19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8250000.8200000.8300000.0100005801356.822026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
457206545984274873453435231478681840320784812766441645509…2026-09-19Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?YesPolitics2026-09-24 19:590.9305000.9260000.9350000.009000296800.272026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"45720654598427487345343523147868184032078481276644164550917591817398343875097"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
451525146492131703771068342371472086444956779088956852157…2026-09-19Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T a…NoFinance2026-12-31 18:550.7630000.7600000.7660000.006000125939.112026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"45152514649213170377106834237147208644495677908895685215785984082704434230216"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
439765119022681110416338667995550373303174273154540568470…2026-09-19Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.2050000.2000000.2100000.010000336356.952026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"43976511902268111041633866799555037330317427315454056847054364885183934986197"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
432276661560081946332291951174751235006336742500725879276…2026-09-19Iran leadership change by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9850000.9840000.9860000.00200012617102.752026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"43227666156008194633229195117475123500633674250072587927676970641387990170901"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
420387758661982126154916501148818182196651399817632076991…2026-09-19Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.5650000.5600000.5700000.0100006285680.892026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"42038775866198212615491650114881818219665139981763207699110491615333273795415"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
418644974118781917669675814224329617508084409911740855163…2026-09-19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the…NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.9915000.9910000.9920000.00100038759937.182026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"41864497411878191766967581422432961750808440991174085516384293402629587721839"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
412968407557101875946978682306523943163401318363485304920…2026-09-19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9945000.9940000.9950000.0010003869656.022026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"41296840755710187594697868230652394316340131836348530492072496327848341834044"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
397053449283490515282354373201198287046390520453987045875…2026-09-19US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.7350000.7300000.7400000.010000192706.092026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"39705344928349051528235437320119828704639052045398704587587139370251349054590"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
391475245227075364569107479926216714330328381414391932648…2026-09-19US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.4040000.4030000.4050000.00200019193824.162026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"39147524522707536456910747992621671433032838141439193264830818731544404472030"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
390315897145723429662583059433495733284128632195230088657…2026-09-19Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9930000.9900000.9960000.0060003326834.782026-09-19 20:43———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"39031589714572342966258305943349573328412863219523008865771008806225362230155"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
386671969586024161374636285174395601193047657091045701924…2026-09-19Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.4700000.4500000.4900000.040000754396.212026-09-19 20:440.4500008466.01152.950833unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"38667196958602416137463628517439560119304765709104570192447644733106171420112"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
370901285665075099136305894603726203520137665548863807854…2026-09-19Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.5040000.4700000.5380000.0680001860120.882026-09-19 20:440.4320008566.65491.232600unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
365955751971998463982674819723851806439519858225051874777…2026-09-19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.8050000.8000000.8100000.010000567216.512026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"36595575197199846398267481972385180643951985822505187477756829088194676076340"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
362502716815050001322405734737902286252635598084107031033…2026-09-19Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 20…NoPolitics2026-10-04 20:000.9765000.9710000.9820000.011000384740.242026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"36250271681505000132240573473790228625263559808410703103366953147685418684739"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
354804859281476944225223172981600811946037668651024881549…2026-09-19Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?YesFinance2027-06-30 20:000.0470000.0450000.0490000.004000377073.792026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"35480485928147694422522317298160081194603766865102488154902775756915955129166"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
347329888869815101678743898457088328086272843798401313512…2026-09-19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.6350000.6200000.6500000.030000412137.582026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"34732988886981510167874389845708832808627284379840131351229635795767825787404"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
315060014092775233121926514701955241670901019430800632739…2026-09-19Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-30 14:300.9965000.9960000.9970000.0010001326933.272026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"31506001409277523312192651470195524167090101943080063273985704767232411431594"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
311380583542820966302653682644519869049750637804238147946…2026-09-19Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next R…NoPolitics2026-09-19 20:000.9920000.9910000.9930000.002000447620.802026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"3113805835428209663026536826445198690497506378042381479460524760612035145599"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
237055837363487065339885108397594338210531138140257664220…2026-09-19Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market…YesFinance2026-09-30 19:590.9795000.9780000.9810000.0030001762144.602026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"23705583736348706533988510839759433821053113814025766422082583385077433681175"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
215274460051627226687021468478068379447864179867949255927…2026-09-19Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.4960000.4620000.5300000.0680001860120.882026-09-19 20:440.4970007931.14383.875742unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"21527446005162722668702146847806837944786417986794925592709069062391666573103"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
209157695206498922538911521168146450670700242231855179567…2026-09-19Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.8000000.7900000.8100000.0200002961693.202026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
206372177129978645538674756692782387273268587041930910401…2026-09-19Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first roun…YesPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.3640000.3600000.3680000.0080001032389.062026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"20637217712997864553867475669278238727326858704193091040111183987981733729683"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
153894475090918342047491329540319882878749345013263323043…2026-09-19US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?YesPolitics2026-09-20 19:590.9135000.9110000.9160000.0050003929336.362026-09-19 20:440.91400010103.23402.226250unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"15389447509091834204749132954031988287874934501326332304373365566120620891640"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
146966591495774779415947353517201867864922403144882182880…2026-09-19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?YesFinance2026-09-30 23:590.1300000.1200000.1400000.020000354364.962026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"1469665914957747794159473535172018678649224031448821828800084553716875180650"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
132892191280217821455206880329924942261509280652160414586…2026-09-19US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.5950000.5900000.6000000.010000723775.342026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"13289219128021782145520688032992494226150928065216041458658097032141632174656"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
129333854624450512195480398076312789215174692116177557737…2026-09-19US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9500000.9400000.9600000.020000473065.082026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"12933385462445051219548039807631278921517469211617755773732773415883384410827"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
115795233740774863406258493898716328116984203386201722351…2026-09-19Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.1875000.1850000.1900000.0050004464822.092026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"11579523374077486340625849389871632811698420338620172235121664865203221472748"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45