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Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

core.prediction_snapshots

One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

689 rowsCSV — whole table, not this view

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asset_idtextas_of ↓datemarkettextoutcometextcategorytextresolves_attimestamp with time zonemid_pricenumericbest_bidnumericbest_asknumericspreadnumerictotal_liquiditynumericbook_tstimestamp with time zonelast_pricenumericvolumenumericunusual_scorenumericseen_viatextsourcetextendpointtextrequest_paramsjsonbvintage_tstimestamp with time zoneretrieved_attimestamp with time zone
108308183073891946533642360856234559374146268200961511650…2026-09-20Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30…NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.9975000.9970000.9980000.001000654694.392026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"108308183073891946533642360856234559374146268200961511650206295005007824881339"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
107382335729882584132242622392619126691496748186166138439…2026-09-20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.4930000.4850000.5010000.0160002641021.692026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"107382335729882584132242622392619126691496748186166138439329887743369753286473"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
106865169592299548286587696300190957552253330566906307858…2026-09-20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?YesFinance2026-09-30 23:590.5070000.4990000.5150000.0160002641021.692026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"106865169592299548286587696300190957552253330566906307858266701916595931430747"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
106560772629713122434527877371376465451017804649676159774…2026-09-20Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elec…NoPolitics2026-09-19 20:00—0.999000——110983.642026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"106560772629713122434527877371376465451017804649676159774752466805733265212731"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
106186969588053884502739828065662756020867203952742643544…2026-09-20Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by Se…YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.8625000.8620000.8630000.001000690955.662026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"10618696958805388450273982806566275602086720395274264354492776873006123003601"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
104534765027523369590815225621511873074758721530222532840…2026-09-20US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?YesPolitics2026-09-25 19:590.8850000.8800000.8900000.010000293355.772026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"104534765027523369590815225621511873074758721530222532840328708626224222881939"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
103997221867352584036694268795051058245305885496635764341…2026-09-20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9640000.9620000.9660000.0040001479797.412026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"10399722186735258403669426879505105824530588549663576434140165306684479906966"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
103216878146106839176259085892501749169837749326876123361…2026-09-20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9300000.9200000.9400000.020000261986.542026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"103216878146106839176259085892501749169837749326876123361316747114893299247057"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
102682832966209969978965796495958715590593079468512867290…2026-09-20Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state el…YesPolitics2026-09-19 20:000.9965000.9950000.9980000.003000167807.172026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"102682832966209969978965796495958715590593079468512867290824407541600306279619"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
102402679475426110774044851720817690724908108674246723425…2026-09-20US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.8650000.8600000.8700000.010000554900.162026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"102402679475426110774044851720817690724908108674246723425637890637120301946959"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
998624084800916908187125803907393722693880743269959570345…2026-09-19US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-21 19:590.9905000.9900000.9910000.0010003349490.252026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"99862408480091690818712580390739372269388074326995957034508591909408581976106"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
964668730158312118324843609936891427216117752161356597162…2026-09-19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9875000.9850000.9900000.0050001789610.272026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"96466873015831211832484360993689142721611775216135659716230744624514485341911"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
949094972047914222189533269894338488040637872598538898451…2026-09-19Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.8125000.8100000.8150000.0050004464847.752026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"94909497204791422218953326989433848804063787259853889845128791095089809741999"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
919981947261369276324504834246140128906914465092627504521…2026-09-19Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September…NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:550.9930000.9920000.9940000.0020001831988.702026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91998194726136927632450483424614012890691446509262750452187052878486812367191"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
919489933790667506036363084442152945389645504745752279412…2026-09-19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9910000.9900000.9920000.0020001748076.152026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91948993379066750603636308444215294538964550474575227941265783859080165323026"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
917430962400008281527885718568527360130152811774137593239…2026-09-19Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9945000.9930000.9960000.0030005337249.572026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91743096240000828152788571856852736013015281177413759323948075481950472145047"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
904645066021363507677847067831895067278279517569415780154…2026-09-19Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9455000.9380000.9530000.015000295475.442026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"90464506602136350767784706783189506727827951756941578015494993747105229931522"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
880953920883800189888111289050566854206816842477002442212…2026-09-19Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elec…NoPolitics2026-09-19 20:000.9455000.9420000.9490000.007000462544.332026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"88095392088380018988811128905056685420681684247700244221273733002608971216833"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
877129206732522975092001510453910152624490557648806599077…2026-09-19US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.3250000.3200000.3300000.0100002684958.562026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"87712920673252297509200151045391015262449055764880659907762503287643101055970"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
861696285480389960883557370425791124139023517457431911390…2026-09-19Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market …NoFinance2026-09-30 19:590.9815000.9790000.9840000.0050002730048.132026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86169628548038996088355737042579112413902351745743191139025173124156572670231"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
860112292879503650435191178520416146517674558893246821126…2026-09-19US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.5960000.5950000.5970000.00200019177461.162026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
857235160700777308831059090493880615970491732816132019100…2026-09-19Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?NoFinance2027-06-30 20:000.9530000.9510000.9550000.004000378711.792026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"85723516070077730883105909049388061597049173281613201910087943908235778734129"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
837834894546594208076797235748400326600023267100451238655…2026-09-19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.1750000.1700000.1800000.0100005801356.822026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"83783489454659420807679723574840032660002326710045123865554753994450797728825"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
834382159788561801458728058213909198406214350871041318486…2026-09-19Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.5400000.4300000.6500000.2200008518.912026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"8343821597885618014587280582139091984062143508710413184869540112147713995559"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
824518776291711202158630957865362129942237799595235544686…2026-09-19Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.3450000.3400000.3500000.010000347841.462026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"82451877629171120215863095786536212994223779959523554468642312484613145998263"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
786323950833106707343152055020612496023190696539159323201…2026-09-19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.4550000.4500000.4600000.0100004958510.722026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"78632395083310670734315205502061249602319069653915932320155846460019107676757"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
777376030497043714019851430302035511306245207849258154732…2026-09-19US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.6750000.6700000.6800000.0100002684958.562026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"77737603049704371401985143030203551130624520784925815473217168646825527075459"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
759490790723005116356036002065672277387031608559005477780…2026-09-19US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.4050000.4000000.4100000.010000723696.342026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"75949079072300511635603600206567227738703160855900547778099294726738851616000"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
740765688468667141425038470267607027135556437780387902204…2026-09-19Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8550000.8500000.8600000.0100002832179.522026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"74076568846866714142503847026760702713555643778038790220454009063912340064073"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
736219880206384639899751465585761631088358740412345817490…2026-09-19Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.6550000.6500000.6600000.010000347841.462026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"73621988020638463989975146558576163108835874041234581749056831089553559830214"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
730563024980408563549639986990576937229430271615903444732…2026-09-19Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9595000.9590000.9600000.00100012940165.252026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"7305630249804085635496399869905769372294302716159034447326228509068694952392"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
702018518763323544392766040907026749748596319034869909746…2026-09-19Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31,…NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9150000.9100000.9200000.010000408951.772026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"70201851876332354439276604090702674974859631903486990974685797729205226013576"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
663889520107003954767172607681806967445832214262998517764…2026-09-19Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.5300000.5100000.5500000.040000754396.212026-09-19 20:440.52000012201.62161.834286unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"6638895201070039547671726076818069674458322142629985177641367819559425166288"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
639152872719406880648701729914364897755875413354573703553…2026-09-19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.3650000.3500000.3800000.030000412137.582026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"63915287271940688064870172991436489775587541335457370355314489349033951709373"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
619623807350458713513525639477460371897673980699607764550…2026-09-19Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in …NoPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.7360000.7340000.7380000.0040001107026.942026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61962380735045871351352563947746037189767398069960776455040567750304235670037"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
619560485363314289163847070597824802415581416085257056714…2026-09-19Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.0950000.0900000.1000000.010000142583.262026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61956048536331428916384707059782480241558141608525705671477344792920313779730"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
582122695178968840153384697752946899762026824309718829049…2026-09-19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:59————0.002026-09-15 14:03———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"58212269517896884015338469775294689976202682430971882904931336575860619991827"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
578762142969530407059149543522197424236289121736534094226…2026-09-19Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the nex…NoPolitics2027-04-29 20:000.8860000.8850000.8870000.002000719679.782026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57876214296953040705914954352219742423628912173653409422651199206441027151468"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
572162725645295484646864636912368119919560322012937867903…2026-09-19Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9680000.9670000.9690000.0020005119911.482026-09-19 20:440.97000016726.16410.020683unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57216272564529548464686463691236811991956032201293786790337952253964682584376"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
564659332200820228357008170639461746359097255077344162485…2026-09-19US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.9050000.9000000.9100000.0100001852537.042026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"56465933220082022835700817063946174635909725507734416248556389304448520396318"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
551597227614180130441264142766806022703180008416906896848…2026-09-19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …YesPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.5450000.5400000.5500000.0100004958510.722026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"55159722761418013044126414276680602270318000841690689684819994448621694923050"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
551337802515919133770431646071004302666890163620451140238…2026-09-19Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8850000.8800000.8900000.010000604641.992026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"5513378025159191337704316460710043026668901636204511402381351948151562535480"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
545359399362524949902377235799883362379103362810082918083…2026-09-19Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.8950000.8900000.9000000.010000190862.772026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54535939936252494990237723579988336237910336281008291808351435211825298252708"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
540572489883630359741431801948090827930110925108994000873…2026-09-19Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Ru…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9975000.9970000.9980000.0010001831460.522026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54057248988363035974143180194809082793011092510899400087326333477908849736030"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
540183727272525707669144952049465545783017838520968652115…2026-09-19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9775000.9670000.9880000.021000311725.032026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54018372727252570766914495204946554578301783852096865211527480718618130665409"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
502305252920113973616660321285575666878111844985156935639…2026-09-19Trump out as President by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.9935000.9930000.9940000.0010001113693.802026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"50230525292011397361666032128557566687811184498515693563902400561445822555625"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
498210651814734197981469572674800155061027111606607186366…2026-09-19Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first…YesPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.7250000.7200000.7300000.010000647139.342026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"49821065181473419798146957267480015506102711160660718636601116902870701340131"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
489970745072403596167117480645971014290842208022732690429…2026-09-19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9415000.9350000.9480000.0130001115732.752026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"48997074507240359616711748064597101429084220802273269042911597047117219823609"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
487274313143330882436930169296233637104889801528335441569…2026-09-19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8250000.8200000.8300000.0100005801356.822026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
457206545984274873453435231478681840320784812766441645509…2026-09-19Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?YesPolitics2026-09-24 19:590.9305000.9260000.9350000.009000296800.272026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"45720654598427487345343523147868184032078481276644164550917591817398343875097"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45