30-day implied minus the 21-session volatility subsequently realised. Positive means implied overpaid, which it did on 59% of measured rows. DATED BY WHEN IT BECAME KNOWABLE, not by the day it describes: the realised leg closes 28-33 sessions later, and a percentile over rows dated by their window start would read a month into its own future.
40 of 40 with a reading on or before 2026-09-25. Each row is that name against its own history — core.metric_context(), one query for all of them — not a rank among them.
2025-10-10241 obs2026-09-25
| -16.8 pts |
| 4.4% | 4.4% | 9.6% | -1.95 |
| 241 |
| CRWD | -43.7 pts | 8.5% | 8.5% | 26.4% | -2.43 | 241 |
| META | -14.6 pts | 14.3% | 14.3% | 19.2% | -1.33 | 241 |
| XLF | +0.4 pts | 22.6% | 22.6% | 35.0% | -0.67 | 241 |
| SMH | -1.2 pts | 25.5% | 25.5% | 52.6% | -0.59 | 241 |
| DIA | +0.1 pts | 26.3% | 26.3% | 18.6% | -0.67 | 241 |
| SPCX | +7.3 pts | 28.4% | 28.4% | 50.1% | -0.58 | 51 |
| DELL | -11.5 pts | 31.7% | 31.7% | 55.5% | -0.60 | 241 |
| XOM | -0.2 pts | 33.0% | 33.0% | 46.0% | -0.47 | 241 |
| INTC | -10.9 pts | 33.4% | 33.4% | 47.1% | -0.25 | 241 |
| SPY | +1.2 pts | 35.9% | 35.9% | 37.1% | -0.29 | 241 |
| AMZN | +1.0 pts | 39.2% | 39.2% | 56.4% | -0.20 | 241 |
| MSFT | -0.1 pts | 42.1% | 42.1% | 55.4% | -0.33 | 241 |
| GOOG | +1.6 pts | 42.5% | 42.5% | 44.2% | -0.26 | 241 |
| QQQ | +1.9 pts | 43.4% | 43.4% | 63.4% | -0.24 | 241 |
| DE | -0.6 pts | 44.6% | 44.6% | 49.9% | -0.24 | 241 |
| PLTR | -2.8 pts | 47.5% | 47.5% | 61.5% | -0.04 | 241 |
| AMD | -3.0 pts | 47.9% | 47.9% | 63.0% | -0.07 | 241 |
| XLU | +2.0 pts | 47.9% | 47.9% | 40.1% | -0.05 | 241 |
| SOXX | -1.0 pts | 48.8% | 48.8% | 54.6% | -0.06 | 241 |
| AAPL | +2.8 pts | 49.6% | 49.6% | 63.9% | -0.00 | 241 |
| XLK | +2.0 pts | 51.7% | 51.7% | 63.5% | 0.03 | 241 |
| IWM | +3.6 pts | 53.3% | 53.3% | 38.0% | 0.06 | 241 |
| XLE | +3.1 pts | 54.6% | 54.6% | 50.2% | 0.12 | 241 |
| SNDK | -2.2 pts | 58.3% | 58.3% | 56.0% | 0.17 | 241 |
| XLY | +2.7 pts | 58.3% | 58.3% | 51.4% | 0.19 | 241 |
| CRSR | +19.4 pts | 58.8% | 58.8% | 71.1% | 0.24 | 239 |
| LMT | +3.3 pts | 60.4% | 60.4% | 63.7% | 0.24 | 241 |
| XLI | +3.5 pts | 69.5% | 69.5% | 56.0% | 0.56 | 241 |
| XLV | +2.5 pts | 73.2% | 73.2% | 58.5% | 0.52 | 241 |
| STX | +14.2 pts | 74.1% | 74.1% | 69.7% | 0.63 | 241 |
| MRVL | +10.6 pts | 74.9% | 74.9% | 85.6% | 0.70 | 241 |
| ORCL | +18.6 pts | 84.0% | 84.0% | 75.9% | 1.51 | 241 |
| XLP | +3.7 pts | 85.7% | 85.7% | 76.1% | 0.91 | 241 |
| MU | +10.5 pts | 87.8% | 87.8% | 67.3% | 1.26 | 241 |
| WDC | +21.8 pts | 88.2% | 88.2% | 72.5% | 1.18 | 241 |
| AVGO | +16.5 pts | 88.6% | 88.6% | 79.1% | 1.22 | 241 |
| CAT | +8.8 pts | 89.0% | 89.0% | 77.6% | 1.26 | 241 |
| RSP | +2.7 pts | insufficient data (n=9) | insufficient data (n=9) | insufficient data (n=9) | insufficient data (n=9) | 9 |
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