30-day implied minus the 21-session volatility subsequently realised. Positive means implied overpaid, which it did on 59% of measured rows. DATED BY WHEN IT BECAME KNOWABLE, not by the day it describes: the realised leg closes 28-33 sessions later, and a percentile over rows dated by their window start would read a month into its own future.
39 of 39 with a reading on or before 2026-09-22. Each row is that name against its own history — core.metric_context(), one query for all of them — not a rank among them.
2025-10-10238 obs2026-09-22
| 91.4% | 91.4% | 68.4% | 1.36 |
| 238 |
| AVGO | +16.4 pts | 88.9% | 88.9% | 79.0% | 1.25 | 238 |
| WDC | +19.6 pts | 85.9% | 85.9% | 70.0% | 1.09 | 238 |
| ORCL | +18.7 pts | 85.5% | 85.5% | 76.2% | 1.57 | 238 |
| XLP | +3.5 pts | 85.1% | 85.1% | 74.6% | 0.85 | 238 |
| IWM | +6.0 pts | 83.0% | 83.0% | 51.5% | 0.70 | 238 |
| XLI | +4.3 pts | 82.1% | 82.1% | 62.0% | 0.89 | 238 |
| XLV | +2.9 pts | 76.3% | 76.3% | 60.5% | 0.67 | 238 |
| MRVL | +9.7 pts | 72.9% | 72.9% | 84.7% | 0.65 | 238 |
| XLU | +3.5 pts | 72.9% | 72.9% | 51.2% | 0.53 | 238 |
| SNDK | +3.2 pts | 67.0% | 67.0% | 62.0% | 0.37 | 238 |
| STX | +9.5 pts | 67.0% | 67.0% | 62.6% | 0.40 | 238 |
| XLK | +3.6 pts | 67.0% | 67.0% | 68.7% | 0.37 | 238 |
| XLY | +3.5 pts | 67.0% | 67.0% | 55.4% | 0.40 | 238 |
| SPCX | +16.8 pts | 65.6% | 65.6% | 69.9% | 0.44 | 48 |
| QQQ | +3.9 pts | 63.2% | 63.2% | 71.7% | 0.27 | 238 |
| LMT | +3.1 pts | 59.9% | 59.9% | 63.1% | 0.22 | 238 |
| AAPL | +3.9 pts | 59.5% | 59.5% | 67.8% | 0.16 | 238 |
| SOXX | +0.5 pts | 57.8% | 57.8% | 57.2% | 0.15 | 238 |
| MSFT | +3.7 pts | 57.4% | 57.4% | 65.0% | 0.14 | 238 |
| SPY | +2.8 pts | 56.1% | 56.1% | 46.8% | 0.16 | 238 |
| GOOG | +6.6 pts | 55.3% | 55.3% | 59.8% | 0.23 | 238 |
| AMZN | +3.0 pts | 53.2% | 53.2% | 60.5% | 0.06 | 238 |
| DE | +1.1 pts | 51.1% | 51.1% | 55.6% | 0.04 | 238 |
| XLE | +2.7 pts | 50.2% | 50.2% | 48.4% | 0.00 | 238 |
| DIA | +1.8 pts | 47.7% | 47.7% | 31.7% | -0.03 | 238 |
| PLTR | -3.3 pts | 46.8% | 46.8% | 60.9% | -0.15 | 238 |
| INTC | -8.5 pts | 44.3% | 44.3% | 49.8% | -0.17 | 238 |
| DELL | -6.0 pts | 43.5% | 43.5% | 61.4% | -0.22 | 238 |
| CRSR | +7.1 pts | 42.2% | 42.2% | 63.4% | -0.22 | 236 |
| AMD | -4.8 pts | 41.4% | 41.4% | 60.8% | -0.23 | 238 |
| SMH | +0.3 pts | 35.1% | 35.1% | 56.0% | -0.33 | 238 |
| XOM | -0.6 pts | 30.5% | 30.5% | 44.0% | -0.57 | 238 |
| XLF | +0.7 pts | 24.6% | 24.6% | 36.2% | -0.59 | 238 |
| META | -9.6 pts | 22.9% | 22.9% | 31.3% | -0.90 | 238 |
| NVDA | -3.9 pts | 14.1% | 14.1% | 16.7% | -0.94 | 238 |
| CRWD | -31.8 pts | 12.4% | 12.4% | 39.3% | -1.80 | 238 |
| PANW | -14.8 pts | 6.5% | 6.5% | 14.1% | -1.76 | 238 |
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