30-day implied minus the 21-session volatility subsequently realised. Positive means implied overpaid, which it did on 59% of measured rows. DATED BY WHEN IT BECAME KNOWABLE, not by the day it describes: the realised leg closes 28-33 sessions later, and a percentile over rows dated by their window start would read a month into its own future.
2026-09-2110 obs2026-10-02
41 of 41 with a reading on or before 2026-10-02. Each row is that name against its own history — core.metric_context(), one query for all of them — not a rank among them.
| +12.2 pts |
| 92.1% | 92.1% | 69.3% | 1.30 |
| 246 |
| DE | +8.3 pts | 89.2% | 89.2% | 80.1% | 1.12 | 246 |
| XLK | +6.5 pts | 88.0% | 88.0% | 78.3% | 0.96 | 246 |
| XLP | +3.5 pts | 82.3% | 82.3% | 74.5% | 0.82 | 246 |
| XLI | +4.4 pts | 81.5% | 81.5% | 62.4% | 0.83 | 246 |
| ORCL | +16.0 pts | 80.7% | 80.7% | 70.9% | 1.19 | 246 |
| NVDA | +7.6 pts | 77.8% | 77.8% | 53.1% | 0.84 | 246 |
| AMZN | +7.3 pts | 75.8% | 75.8% | 69.3% | 0.67 | 246 |
| PLTR | +7.2 pts | 75.0% | 75.0% | 75.4% | 0.75 | 246 |
| IWM | +5.4 pts | 74.2% | 74.2% | 48.0% | 0.54 | 246 |
| XLE | +3.8 pts | 68.9% | 68.9% | 53.7% | 0.38 | 246 |
| LMT | +6.2 pts | 67.3% | 67.3% | 74.0% | 0.57 | 246 |
| XLV | +1.6 pts | 61.2% | 61.2% | 53.4% | 0.23 | 246 |
| XOM | +2.8 pts | 56.7% | 56.7% | 59.1% | 0.14 | 246 |
| CRSR | +17.4 pts | 54.3% | 54.3% | 69.8% | 0.15 | 244 |
| WDC | +3.8 pts | 54.3% | 54.3% | 51.7% | 0.12 | 246 |
| MRVL | +3.5 pts | 52.2% | 52.2% | 78.4% | 0.05 | 246 |
| SNDK | -5.6 pts | 51.0% | 51.0% | 52.3% | 0.04 | 246 |
| XLY | +2.0 pts | 49.8% | 49.8% | 47.7% | -0.01 | 246 |
| GOOG | +2.5 pts | 47.0% | 47.0% | 47.0% | -0.11 | 246 |
| QQQ | +2.3 pts | 46.5% | 46.5% | 65.2% | -0.12 | 246 |
| DELL | -5.6 pts | 45.7% | 45.7% | 61.8% | -0.13 | 246 |
| MSFT | +0.8 pts | 45.3% | 45.3% | 57.6% | -0.21 | 246 |
| SOXX | -2.0 pts | 45.3% | 45.3% | 52.8% | -0.17 | 246 |
| STX | -0.6 pts | 45.3% | 45.3% | 47.4% | -0.13 | 246 |
| AAPL | +1.5 pts | 42.9% | 42.9% | 59.5% | -0.17 | 246 |
| AVGO | +2.2 pts | 42.5% | 42.5% | 51.4% | -0.13 | 246 |
| AMD | -6.5 pts | 37.2% | 37.2% | 58.6% | -0.35 | 246 |
| SMH | +0.5 pts | 37.2% | 37.2% | 56.3% | -0.27 | 246 |
| CRWD | -7.3 pts | 36.8% | 36.8% | 66.1% | -0.30 | 246 |
| XLF | +1.7 pts | 36.8% | 36.8% | 41.8% | -0.28 | 246 |
| SPY | +1.1 pts | 35.6% | 35.6% | 36.5% | -0.32 | 246 |
| DIA | +0.4 pts | 31.5% | 31.5% | 20.9% | -0.56 | 246 |
| XLU | +0.5 pts | 29.9% | 29.9% | 29.0% | -0.62 | 246 |
| INTC | -15.7 pts | 26.2% | 26.2% | 41.8% | -0.41 | 246 |
| PANW | -10.0 pts | 16.1% | 16.1% | 24.6% | -1.17 | 246 |
| SPCX | -0.7 pts | 15.2% | 15.2% | 33.5% | -1.22 | 56 |
| META | -19.6 pts | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.4% | -1.70 | 246 |
| RSP | +2.9 pts | insufficient data (n=14) | insufficient data (n=14) | insufficient data (n=14) | insufficient data (n=14) | 14 |
| TSM | +3.8 pts | insufficient data (n=10) | insufficient data (n=10) | insufficient data (n=10) | insufficient data (n=10) | 10 |
