Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

core.prediction_snapshots

One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

1,106 rowsCSV — whole table, not this view

Sources in this table

uw_predictions1,106 rowsexportable

active:category = Politics×seen_via = unusual×

asset_idtext	as_of ↓date	markettext	outcometext	categorytext	resolves_attimestamp with time zone	mid_pricenumeric	best_bidnumeric	best_ask

315060014092775233121926514701955241670901019430800632739…	2026-09-27	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-09-30 14:30	—	0.999000	—	—	1291855.72	2026-09-27 20:44	0.999000	28393.5580	0.571429	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"31506001409277523312192651470195524167090101943080063273985704767232411431594"}	2026-09-27 20:45	2026-09-27 20:45
390315897145723429662583059433495733284128632195230088657…	2026-09-26	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.997000	0.996000	0.998000	0.002000	2879541.36	2026-09-26 20:42	0.998000	13831.7845	0.727646	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"39031589714572342966258305943349573328412863219523008865771008806225362230155"}
919981947261369276324504834246140128906914465092627504521…	2026-09-25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September…	No	Politics	2026-09-30 19:55	0.996500	0.996000	0.997000	0.001000	1574458.82	2026-09-25 20:44	0.997000	5446.4013	0.532401	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"91998194726136927632450483424614012890691446509262750452187052878486812367191"}	2026-09-25 20:45	2026-09-25 20:45
877129206732522975092001510453910152624490557648806599077…	2026-09-25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-10-31 19:59	0.245000	0.240000	0.250000	0.010000	2565225.14	2026-09-25 20:44	0.250000	5942.1949	3.224762	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"87712920673252297509200151045391015262449055764880659907762503287643101055970"}
860112292879503650435191178520416146517674558893246821126…	2026-09-25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-31 18:59	0.583500	0.576000	0.591000	0.015000	20529310.45	2026-09-25 20:44	0.580000	12173.7853	0.811824	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368"}
837834894546594208076797235748400326600023267100451238655…	2026-09-25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.205000	0.200000	0.210000	0.010000	5220008.52	2026-09-25 20:45	0.200000	7254.5284	2.201481	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"83783489454659420807679723574840032660002326710045123865554753994450797728825"}
786323950833106707343152055020612496023190696539159323201…	2026-09-25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …	No	Politics	2026-10-28 19:59	0.365000	0.360000	0.370000	0.010000	4789897.66	2026-09-25 20:45	0.360000	24755.7198	0.200000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"78632395083310670734315205502061249602319069653915932320155846460019107676757"}	2026-09-25 20:45	2026-09-25 20:45
777376030497043714019851430302035511306245207849258154732…	2026-09-25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-10-31 19:59	0.755000	0.750000	0.760000	0.010000	2565225.14	2026-09-25 20:44	0.740000	5391.2401	1.760513	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"77737603049704371401985143030203551130624520784925815473217168646825527075459"}
564659332200820228357008170639461746359097255077344162485…	2026-09-25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-09-30 19:59	0.945000	0.940000	0.950000	0.010000	492272.28	2026-09-25 20:44	0.950000	19840.5149	0.724868	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"56465933220082022835700817063946174635909725507734416248556389304448520396318"}
551337802515919133770431646071004302666890163620451140238…	2026-09-25	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.885000	0.880000	0.890000	0.010000	582644.48	2026-09-25 20:44	0.870000	8305.7553	0.434906	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"5513378025159191337704316460710043026668901636204511402381351948151562535480"}
487274313143330882436930169296233637104889801528335441569…	2026-09-25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.795000	0.790000	0.800000	0.010000	5218897.33	2026-09-25 20:45	0.790000	64793.6036	1.648148	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311"}
420387758661982126154916501148818182196651399817632076991…	2026-09-25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…	No	Politics	2026-10-28 19:59	0.645000	0.640000	0.650000	0.010000	5949957.09	2026-09-25 20:45	0.640000	24375.8352	0.520000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"42038775866198212615491650114881818219665139981763207699110491615333273795415"}	2026-09-25 20:45	2026-09-25 20:45
336762352497424355657295324831222628003693787748927103878…	2026-09-25	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-09-30 19:59	0.895000	0.890000	0.900000	0.010000	1604198.23	2026-09-25 20:45	0.900000	32219.5518	0.622646	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"33676235249742435565729532483122262800369378774892710387888607855248244773045"}
181083547444686012940258536010304251883952119279268708855…	2026-09-25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-30 19:59	0.860000	0.850000	0.870000	0.020000	423203.14	2026-09-25 20:44	0.820000	8819.7346	2.155238	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"18108354744468601294025853601030425188395211927926870885542758981304523217919"}
111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462…	2026-09-25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…	Yes	Politics	2026-10-28 19:59	0.355000	0.350000	0.360000	0.010000	5948857.09	2026-09-25 20:42	0.360000	37566.3125	2.485185	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748"}	2026-09-25 20:45	2026-09-25 20:45
102889253954710685326332888973058235896261933470542599345…	2026-09-25	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	Politics	2026-09-30 19:59	0.909500	0.890000	0.929000	0.039000	869619.38	2026-09-25 20:44	0.926000	6299.5294	1.422357	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"10288925395471068532633288897305823589626193347054259934532654744789205254779"}
288628523712628430568480993006936592138303884057333523753…	2026-09-24	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	No	Politics	2026-09-24 23:59	0.375000	0.360000	0.390000	0.030000	113914.57	2026-09-24 20:44	0.350000	6915.9279	3.621754	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"28862852371262843056848099300693659213830388405733352375380640104596796754149"}
113295199581099404930536196107913957388792975679597875901…	2026-09-24	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-24 23:59	0.625000	0.610000	0.640000	0.030000	113914.57	2026-09-24 20:44	0.630000	31752.5201	2.080000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"113295199581099404930536196107913957388792975679597875901426158736167761805407"}
500851646544570770211804416672077147052244697067733288825…	2026-09-23	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.996500	0.995000	0.998000	0.003000	680711.06	2026-09-23 20:44	0.997000	11612.2432	0.285714	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"50085164654457077021180441667207714705224469706773328882519583735294659477266"}
487274313143330882436930169296233637104889801528335441569…	2026-09-23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.795000	0.790000	0.800000	0.010000	5261961.97	2026-09-23 20:44	0.800000	13105.3600	1.000000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311"}
763268757111476970763537073315322279294867224158003964697…	2026-09-21	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.655000	0.650000	0.660000	0.010000	2661648.77	2026-09-21 20:44	0.660000	10502.9216	0.700000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"76326875711147697076353707331532227929486722415800396469798548611383212234361"}
667971768368654066446750502481942649520015791797035275376…	2026-09-21	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-10-30 20:00	0.775000	0.770000	0.780000	0.010000	766468.40	2026-09-21 20:44	0.770000	13641.6359	0.325203	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"66797176836865406644675050248194264952001579179703527537658211196864343226792"}
420387758661982126154916501148818182196651399817632076991…	2026-09-20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…	No	Politics	2026-10-28 19:59	0.555000	0.550000	0.560000	0.010000	5813454.90	2026-09-20 20:44	0.550000	18981.1890	0.919048	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"42038775866198212615491650114881818219665139981763207699110491615333273795415"}	2026-09-20 20:45	2026-09-20 20:45
209157695206498922538911521168146450670700242231855179567…	2026-09-20	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.982500	0.981000	0.984000	0.003000	5345727.56	2026-09-20 20:44	0.982000	12532.1103	5.733550	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878"}	2026-09-20 20:45	2026-09-20 20:45
111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462…	2026-09-20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…	Yes	Politics	2026-10-28 19:59	0.445000	0.440000	0.450000	0.010000	5813454.90	2026-09-20 20:44	0.440000	6006.2776	0.400000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748"}	2026-09-20 20:45	2026-09-20 20:45
663889520107003954767172607681806967445832214262998517764…	2026-09-19	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.530000	0.510000	0.550000	0.040000	754396.21	2026-09-19 20:44	0.520000	12201.6216	1.834286	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"6638895201070039547671726076818069674458322142629985177641367819559425166288"}
572162725645295484646864636912368119919560322012937867903…	2026-09-19	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.968000	0.967000	0.969000	0.002000	5119911.48	2026-09-19 20:44	0.970000	16726.1641	0.020683	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"57216272564529548464686463691236811991956032201293786790337952253964682584376"}
386671969586024161374636285174395601193047657091045701924…	2026-09-19	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.470000	0.450000	0.490000	0.040000	754396.21	2026-09-19 20:44	0.450000	8466.0115	2.950833	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"38667196958602416137463628517439560119304765709104570192447644733106171420112"}
370901285665075099136305894603726203520137665548863807854…	2026-09-19	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.504000	0.470000	0.538000	0.068000	1860120.88	2026-09-19 20:44	0.432000	8566.6549	1.232600	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231"}
215274460051627226687021468478068379447864179867949255927…	2026-09-19	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.496000	0.462000	0.530000	0.068000	1860120.88	2026-09-19 20:44	0.497000	7931.1438	3.875742	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"21527446005162722668702146847806837944786417986794925592709069062391666573103"}
153894475090918342047491329540319882878749345013263323043…	2026-09-19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-20 19:59	0.913500	0.911000	0.916000	0.005000	3929336.36	2026-09-19 20:44	0.914000	10103.2340	2.226250	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"15389447509091834204749132954031988287874934501326332304373365566120620891640"}
104534765027523369590815225621511873074758721530222532840…	2026-09-19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-25 19:59	0.790000	0.780000	0.800000	0.020000	183938.98	2026-09-19 20:44	0.790000	9764.0271	1.996888	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"104534765027523369590815225621511873074758721530222532840328708626224222881939"}
101040420236481079077393026772174192261262803877417817462…	2026-09-19	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.975500	0.971000	0.980000	0.009000	576839.09	2026-09-19 20:45	0.971000	5434.0250	0.126796	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"101040420236481079077393026772174192261262803877417817462744147440746788606483"}
949094972047914222189533269894338488040637872598538898451…	2026-09-18	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.777500	0.776000	0.779000	0.003000	1250941.14	2026-09-18 20:44	0.769000	29845.6737	1.580833	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"94909497204791422218953326989433848804063787259853889845128791095089809741999"}	2026-09-18 20:45	2026-09-18 20:45
904645066021363507677847067831895067278279517569415780154…	2026-09-18	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.927000	0.924000	0.930000	0.006000	354091.38	2026-09-18 20:44	0.931000	8347.5123	0.133474	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"90464506602136350767784706783189506727827951756941578015494993747105229931522"}
702018518763323544392766040907026749748596319034869909746…	2026-09-18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31,…	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.905000	0.900000	0.910000	0.010000	395148.16	2026-09-18 20:44	0.930000	50085.8424	0.070922	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"70201851876332354439276604090702674974859631903486990974685797729205226013576"}	2026-09-18 20:45	2026-09-18 20:45
457206545984274873453435231478681840320784812766441645509…	2026-09-18	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-24 19:59	0.902500	0.896000	0.909000	0.013000	306854.04	2026-09-18 20:44	0.919000	7688.1730	0.414608	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"45720654598427487345343523147868184032078481276644164550917591817398343875097"}
390315897145723429662583059433495733284128632195230088657…	2026-09-18	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.995000	0.994000	0.996000	0.002000	3297967.01	2026-09-18 20:43	0.994000	11009.8595	0.006700	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"39031589714572342966258305943349573328412863219523008865771008806225362230155"}
209157695206498922538911521168146450670700242231855179567…	2026-09-18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.745000	0.740000	0.750000	0.010000	1467955.16	2026-09-18 20:43	0.750000	428857.5567	8.022570	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878"}	2026-09-18 20:45	2026-09-18 20:45
115795233740774863406258493898716328116984203386201722351…	2026-09-18	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.222500	0.221000	0.224000	0.003000	1245152.86	2026-09-18 20:43	0.232000	13027.8383	7.840000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"11579523374077486340625849389871632811698420338620172235121664865203221472748"}	2026-09-18 20:45	2026-09-18 20:45
115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289…	2026-09-18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.255000	0.250000	0.260000	0.010000	1285367.63	2026-09-18 20:44	0.250000	46434.8003	8.294386	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289798775482755919708780"}	2026-09-18 20:45	2026-09-18 20:45
209157695206498922538911521168146450670700242231855179567…	2026-09-17	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.765000	0.760000	0.770000	0.010000	5351979.06	2026-09-17 20:42	0.770000	27643.7706	6.420000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878"}	2026-09-17 20:45	2026-09-17 20:45
129333854624450512195480398076312789215174692116177557737…	2026-09-17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.945000	0.940000	0.950000	0.010000	532282.46	2026-09-17 20:45	0.950000	64710.1215	0.070922	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"12933385462445051219548039807631278921517469211617755773732773415883384410827"}
115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289…	2026-09-17	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.235000	0.230000	0.240000	0.010000	5358450.06	2026-09-17 20:42	0.230000	5264.9958	5.500000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289798775482755919708780"}	2026-09-17 20:45	2026-09-17 20:45
730623658924743772861303751237460587438735927240238482341…	2026-09-16	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	Politics	2026-09-15 19:59	0.989000	0.988000	0.990000	0.002000	127257.22	2026-09-16 20:44	0.980000	10098.1899	0.827299	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"73062365892474377286130375123746058743873592724023848234122415930442067907575"}
365955751971998463982674819723851806439519858225051874777…	2026-09-16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	Politics	2026-10-31 19:59	0.785000	0.780000	0.790000	0.010000	284011.43	2026-09-16 20:44	0.790000	6421.1138	0.084388	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"36595575197199846398267481972385180643951985822505187477756829088194676076340"}
998624084800916908187125803907393722693880743269959570345…	2026-09-15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-09-21 19:59	0.945000	0.939000	0.951000	0.012000	1178597.36	2026-09-15 20:44	0.940000	6325.3260	0.306946	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"99862408480091690818712580390739372269388074326995957034508591909408581976106"}
970509217404161929963898066937425756081113288191854931631…	2026-09-15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the S…	No	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	0.885000	0.880000	0.890000	0.010000	8695868.57	2026-09-15 20:44	0.880000	169518.6005	0.994906	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"97050921740416192996389806693742575608111328819185493163189880975611314813724"}	2026-09-15 20:45	2026-09-15 20:45
688818401091142455217972750255962569283846132511084298084…	2026-09-15	Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	No	Politics	2026-09-12 20:00	0.934500	0.920000	0.949000	0.029000	115756.21	2026-09-15 20:44	0.909000	5216.2892	0.059259	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"68881840109114245521797275025596256928384613251108429808491092208111156621485"}
638425290687100057161693253803154703590477497866107786473…	2026-09-15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …	Yes	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	0.875000	0.870000	0.880000	0.010000	7224654.31	2026-09-15 20:44	0.870000	106121.2729	4.075758	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"63842529068710005716169325380315470359047749786610778647370693404952498013178"}	2026-09-15 20:45	2026-09-15 20:45