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Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

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One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

613 rowsCSV — whole table, not this view

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asset_idtextas_of ↓datemarkettextoutcometextcategorytextresolves_attimestamp with time zonemid_pricenumericbest_bidnumericbest_asknumericspreadnumerictotal_liquiditynumericbook_tstimestamp with time zonelast_pricenumericvolumenumericunusual_scorenumericseen_viatextsourcetextendpointtextrequest_paramsjsonbvintage_tstimestamp with time zoneretrieved_attimestamp with time zone
420387758661982126154916501148818182196651399817632076991…2026-09-20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.5550000.5500000.5600000.0100005813454.902026-09-20 20:440.55000018981.18900.919048unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"42038775866198212615491650114881818219665139981763207699110491615333273795415"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
209157695206498922538911521168146450670700242231855179567…2026-09-20Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9825000.9810000.9840000.0030005345727.562026-09-20 20:440.98200012532.11035.733550unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462…2026-09-20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…YesPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.4450000.4400000.4500000.0100005813454.902026-09-20 20:440.4400006006.27760.400000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
663889520107003954767172607681806967445832214262998517764…2026-09-19Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.5300000.5100000.5500000.040000754396.212026-09-19 20:440.52000012201.62161.834286unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"6638895201070039547671726076818069674458322142629985177641367819559425166288"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
572162725645295484646864636912368119919560322012937867903…2026-09-19Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9680000.9670000.9690000.0020005119911.482026-09-19 20:440.97000016726.16410.020683unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57216272564529548464686463691236811991956032201293786790337952253964682584376"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
386671969586024161374636285174395601193047657091045701924…2026-09-19Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.4700000.4500000.4900000.040000754396.212026-09-19 20:440.4500008466.01152.950833unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"38667196958602416137463628517439560119304765709104570192447644733106171420112"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
370901285665075099136305894603726203520137665548863807854…2026-09-19Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.5040000.4700000.5380000.0680001860120.882026-09-19 20:440.4320008566.65491.232600unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
215274460051627226687021468478068379447864179867949255927…2026-09-19Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.4960000.4620000.5300000.0680001860120.882026-09-19 20:440.4970007931.14383.875742unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"21527446005162722668702146847806837944786417986794925592709069062391666573103"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
153894475090918342047491329540319882878749345013263323043…2026-09-19US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?YesPolitics2026-09-20 19:590.9135000.9110000.9160000.0050003929336.362026-09-19 20:440.91400010103.23402.226250unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"15389447509091834204749132954031988287874934501326332304373365566120620891640"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
104534765027523369590815225621511873074758721530222532840…2026-09-19US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?YesPolitics2026-09-25 19:590.7900000.7800000.8000000.020000183938.982026-09-19 20:440.7900009764.02711.996888unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"104534765027523369590815225621511873074758721530222532840328708626224222881939"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
101040420236481079077393026772174192261262803877417817462…2026-09-19Israel closes its airspace by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9755000.9710000.9800000.009000576839.092026-09-19 20:450.9710005434.02500.126796unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"101040420236481079077393026772174192261262803877417817462744147440746788606483"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
949094972047914222189533269894338488040637872598538898451…2026-09-18Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.7775000.7760000.7790000.0030001250941.142026-09-18 20:440.76900029845.67371.580833unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"94909497204791422218953326989433848804063787259853889845128791095089809741999"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
904645066021363507677847067831895067278279517569415780154…2026-09-18Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9270000.9240000.9300000.006000354091.382026-09-18 20:440.9310008347.51230.133474unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"90464506602136350767784706783189506727827951756941578015494993747105229931522"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
702018518763323544392766040907026749748596319034869909746…2026-09-18Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31,…NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9050000.9000000.9100000.010000395148.162026-09-18 20:440.93000050085.84240.070922unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"70201851876332354439276604090702674974859631903486990974685797729205226013576"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
457206545984274873453435231478681840320784812766441645509…2026-09-18Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?YesPolitics2026-09-24 19:590.9025000.8960000.9090000.013000306854.042026-09-18 20:440.9190007688.17300.414608unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"45720654598427487345343523147868184032078481276644164550917591817398343875097"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
390315897145723429662583059433495733284128632195230088657…2026-09-18Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9950000.9940000.9960000.0020003297967.012026-09-18 20:430.99400011009.85950.006700unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"39031589714572342966258305943349573328412863219523008865771008806225362230155"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
209157695206498922538911521168146450670700242231855179567…2026-09-18Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.7450000.7400000.7500000.0100001467955.162026-09-18 20:430.750000428857.55678.022570unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
115795233740774863406258493898716328116984203386201722351…2026-09-18Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.2225000.2210000.2240000.0030001245152.862026-09-18 20:430.23200013027.83837.840000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"11579523374077486340625849389871632811698420338620172235121664865203221472748"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289…2026-09-18Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.2550000.2500000.2600000.0100001285367.632026-09-18 20:440.25000046434.80038.294386unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289798775482755919708780"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
412968407557101875946978682306523943163401318363485304920…2026-09-17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9930000.9920000.9940000.0020003994906.782026-09-17 20:440.9920009894.87260.260222unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"41296840755710187594697868230652394316340131836348530492072496327848341834044"}2026-09-17 20:452026-09-17 20:45
209157695206498922538911521168146450670700242231855179567…2026-09-17Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.7650000.7600000.7700000.0100005351979.062026-09-17 20:420.77000027643.77066.420000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878"}2026-09-17 20:452026-09-17 20:45
129333854624450512195480398076312789215174692116177557737…2026-09-17US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9450000.9400000.9500000.010000532282.462026-09-17 20:450.95000064710.12150.070922unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"12933385462445051219548039807631278921517469211617755773732773415883384410827"}2026-09-17 20:452026-09-17 20:45
115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289…2026-09-17Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.2350000.2300000.2400000.0100005358450.062026-09-17 20:420.2300005264.99585.500000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289798775482755919708780"}2026-09-17 20:452026-09-17 20:45
730623658924743772861303751237460587438735927240238482341…2026-09-16Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?NoPolitics2026-09-15 19:590.9890000.9880000.9900000.002000127257.222026-09-16 20:440.98000010098.18990.827299unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"73062365892474377286130375123746058743873592724023848234122415930442067907575"}2026-09-16 20:452026-09-16 20:45
365955751971998463982674819723851806439519858225051874777…2026-09-16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.7850000.7800000.7900000.010000284011.432026-09-16 20:440.7900006421.11380.084388unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"36595575197199846398267481972385180643951985822505187477756829088194676076340"}2026-09-16 20:452026-09-16 20:45
998624084800916908187125803907393722693880743269959570345…2026-09-15US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-21 19:590.9450000.9390000.9510000.0120001178597.362026-09-15 20:440.9400006325.32600.306946unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"99862408480091690818712580390739372269388074326995957034508591909408581976106"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
970509217404161929963898066937425756081113288191854931631…2026-09-15Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the S…NoPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.8850000.8800000.8900000.0100008695868.572026-09-15 20:440.880000169518.60050.994906unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"97050921740416192996389806693742575608111328819185493163189880975611314813724"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
688818401091142455217972750255962569283846132511084298084…2026-09-15Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?NoPolitics2026-09-12 20:000.9345000.9200000.9490000.029000115756.212026-09-15 20:440.9090005216.28920.059259unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"68881840109114245521797275025596256928384613251108429808491092208111156621485"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
638425290687100057161693253803154703590477497866107786473…2026-09-15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …YesPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.8750000.8700000.8800000.0100007224654.312026-09-15 20:440.870000106121.27294.075758unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"63842529068710005716169325380315470359047749786610778647370693404952498013178"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
288195718996381969070989938731295127198607690575770111451…2026-09-15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …NoPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.1250000.1200000.1300000.0100007224654.312026-09-15 20:440.1200006235.72497.406061unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"2881957189963819690709899387312951271986076905757701114514025622922000576600"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
111344475342969784116702975577723982549674037196345086059…2026-09-15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9855000.9850000.9860000.0010005440030.962026-09-15 20:440.9850005260.83160.006761unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"111344475342969784116702975577723982549674037196345086059563486202499238579830"}2026-09-15 20:452026-09-15 20:45
998624084800916908187125803907393722693880743269959570345…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-21 19:590.9350000.9300000.9400000.010000306830.162026-09-14 18:320.93000014918.79810.590877unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"99862408480091690818712580390739372269388074326995957034508591909408581976106"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
971077701875876835068156269748881633246228369880140330220…2026-09-14Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?NoPolitics2026-06-29 20:000.9500000.9400000.9600000.020000563513.532026-09-14 18:320.9500007978.13950.120000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"97107770187587683506815626974888163324622836988014033022064807674186740440043"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
970509217404161929963898066937425756081113288191854931631…2026-09-14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the S…NoPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.8750000.8700000.8800000.0100005398590.932026-09-14 18:320.8700002522621.60714.372248unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"97050921740416192996389806693742575608111328819185493163189880975611314813724"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
964668730158312118324843609936891427216117752161356597162…2026-09-14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9515000.9510000.9520000.0010001694627.222026-09-14 18:320.95100042242.48360.247018unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"96466873015831211832484360993689142721611775216135659716230744624514485341911"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
949094972047914222189533269894338488040637872598538898451…2026-09-14Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.7975000.7940000.8010000.00700013181616.812026-09-14 18:320.79400021510.98100.687345unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"94909497204791422218953326989433848804063787259853889845128791095089809741999"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
919981947261369276324504834246140128906914465092627504521…2026-09-14Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September…NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:550.9870000.9860000.9880000.0020001875379.822026-09-14 18:320.98800046191.56220.120000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91998194726136927632450483424614012890691446509262750452187052878486812367191"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
919489933790667506036363084442152945389645504745752279412…2026-09-14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9755000.9750000.9760000.0010001665378.652026-09-14 18:320.97500050965.39550.181538unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91948993379066750603636308444215294538964550474575227941265783859080165323026"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
917430962400008281527885718568527360130152811774137593239…2026-09-14Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9905000.9900000.9910000.0010005797195.922026-09-14 18:320.9910008357.72230.120000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91743096240000828152788571856852736013015281177413759323948075481950472145047"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
904645066021363507677847067831895067278279517569415780154…2026-09-14Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9335000.9330000.9340000.001000214834.402026-09-14 18:320.94900011008.39290.362963unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"90464506602136350767784706783189506727827951756941578015494993747105229931522"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
890464555071734997565252070477518833781914095052903114895…2026-09-14Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz bet…NoPolitics2026-09-13 19:590.9495000.9310000.9680000.03700086267.522026-09-14 18:320.93000014111.32260.222222unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"89046455507173499756525207047751883378191409505290311489587600504516758912800"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
889129265334939884277192916989476881540427209583106323165…2026-09-14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the…YesPolitics2026-09-15 20:000.0075000.0070000.0080000.00100028511397.322026-09-14 18:320.00800023517.95583.921905unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"88912926533493988427719291698947688154042720958310632316541141466409683822293"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
880953920883800189888111289050566854206816842477002442212…2026-09-14Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elec…NoPolitics2026-09-19 20:000.9095000.9090000.9100000.001000331894.362026-09-14 18:320.90900010670.75961.940399unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"88095392088380018988811128905056685420681684247700244221273733002608971216833"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
877129206732522975092001510453910152624490557648806599077…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.3450000.3400000.3500000.0100002510834.882026-09-14 18:320.3400009079.64462.408889unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"87712920673252297509200151045391015262449055764880659907762503287643101055970"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
865296202871211191411713694886296708980339823000447091102…2026-09-14Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to Se…YesPolitics2026-09-15 12:000.2350000.2300000.2400000.01000055537.982026-09-14 18:320.24000025508.36414.080000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86529620287121119141171369488629670898033982300044709110262344635337180284727"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
861696285480389960883557370425791124139023517457431911390…2026-09-14Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market …NoFinance2026-09-30 19:590.8430000.8380000.8480000.0100002561382.562026-09-14 18:320.8410005021.05180.810351unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86169628548038996088355737042579112413902351745743191139025173124156572670231"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
860112292879503650435191178520416146517674558893246821126…2026-09-14US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.6310000.6270000.6350000.00800018919238.992026-09-14 18:320.6260005907.17161.317778unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
857798513793417764583300368515481143811760939532025428635…2026-09-14Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?YesFinance2026-12-08 19:000.8800000.8700000.8900000.020000230708.652026-09-14 18:320.8800006928.97550.798291unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"85779851379341776458330036851548114381176093953202542863538086591922931585951"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
857235160700777308831059090493880615970491732816132019100…2026-09-14Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?NoFinance2027-06-30 20:000.4250000.4200000.4300000.01000082794.052026-09-14 18:310.4100006128.99941.020000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"85723516070077730883105909049388061597049173281613201910087943908235778734129"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32
838837340927581334036618189606374018289865425944236527455…2026-09-14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?YesPolitics2026-09-07 19:590.9425000.9370000.9480000.011000335941.262026-09-14 18:320.95100032636.71531.240952unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"83883734092758133403661818960637401828986542594423652745565198052267379022496"}2026-09-14 18:322026-09-14 18:32