Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

core.prediction_snapshots

One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

1,315 rowsCSV — whole table, not this view

Sources in this table

uw_predictions1,315 rowsexportable

active:outcome = No×seen_via = unusual×

asset_idtext	as_of ↓date	markettext	outcometext	categorytext	resolves_attimestamp with time zone	mid_pricenumeric	best_bidnumeric	best_asknumeric

540183727272525707669144952049465545783017838520968652115…	2026-09-29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	No	Finance	2026-09-30 23:59	0.997000	0.996000	0.998000	0.002000	689263.64	2026-09-29 20:43	0.997000	9758.0378	0.983830	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"54018372727252570766914495204946554578301783852096865211527480718618130665409"}	2026-09-29 20:45	2026-09-29 20:45
564659332200820228357008170639461746359097255077344162485…	2026-09-28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-09-30 19:59	0.964000	0.963000	0.965000	0.002000	13382480.50	2026-09-28 20:44	0.966000	16837.3528	1.278681	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"56465933220082022835700817063946174635909725507734416248556389304448520396318"}
212511984212817033417803451913667178629698534907667215873…	2026-09-28	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T a…	No	Finance	2026-12-31 18:55	0.685000	0.680000	0.690000	0.010000	96001.92	2026-09-28 20:44	0.680000	6694.1639	0.533333	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"21251198421281703341780345191366717862969853490766721587319647736805690656115"}	2026-09-28 20:45	2026-09-28 20:45
315060014092775233121926514701955241670901019430800632739…	2026-09-27	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-09-30 14:30	—	0.999000	—	—	1291855.72	2026-09-27 20:44	0.999000	28393.5580	0.571429	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"31506001409277523312192651470195524167090101943080063273985704767232411431594"}
390315897145723429662583059433495733284128632195230088657…	2026-09-26	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.997000	0.996000	0.998000	0.002000	2879541.36	2026-09-26 20:42	0.998000	13831.7845	0.727646	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"39031589714572342966258305943349573328412863219523008865771008806225362230155"}
919981947261369276324504834246140128906914465092627504521…	2026-09-25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September…	No	Politics	2026-09-30 19:55	0.996500	0.996000	0.997000	0.001000	1574458.82	2026-09-25 20:44	0.997000	5446.4013	0.532401	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"91998194726136927632450483424614012890691446509262750452187052878486812367191"}	2026-09-25 20:45	2026-09-25 20:45
786323950833106707343152055020612496023190696539159323201…	2026-09-25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …	No	Politics	2026-10-28 19:59	0.365000	0.360000	0.370000	0.010000	4789897.66	2026-09-25 20:45	0.360000	24755.7198	0.200000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"78632395083310670734315205502061249602319069653915932320155846460019107676757"}	2026-09-25 20:45	2026-09-25 20:45
777376030497043714019851430302035511306245207849258154732…	2026-09-25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-10-31 19:59	0.755000	0.750000	0.760000	0.010000	2565225.14	2026-09-25 20:44	0.740000	5391.2401	1.760513	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"77737603049704371401985143030203551130624520784925815473217168646825527075459"}
692062653495835261003107619081069243989263778463753094458…	2026-09-25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	Finance	2026-09-30 23:59	0.918500	0.901000	0.936000	0.035000	1015453.61	2026-09-25 20:45	0.908000	11637.5382	0.618480	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"69206265349583526100310761908106924398926377846375309445881584443418316159959"}
564659332200820228357008170639461746359097255077344162485…	2026-09-25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-09-30 19:59	0.945000	0.940000	0.950000	0.010000	492272.28	2026-09-25 20:44	0.950000	19840.5149	0.724868	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"56465933220082022835700817063946174635909725507734416248556389304448520396318"}
551337802515919133770431646071004302666890163620451140238…	2026-09-25	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.885000	0.880000	0.890000	0.010000	582644.48	2026-09-25 20:44	0.870000	8305.7553	0.434906	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"5513378025159191337704316460710043026668901636204511402381351948151562535480"}
487274313143330882436930169296233637104889801528335441569…	2026-09-25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.795000	0.790000	0.800000	0.010000	5218897.33	2026-09-25 20:45	0.790000	64793.6036	1.648148	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311"}
420387758661982126154916501148818182196651399817632076991…	2026-09-25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…	No	Politics	2026-10-28 19:59	0.645000	0.640000	0.650000	0.010000	5949957.09	2026-09-25 20:45	0.640000	24375.8352	0.520000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"42038775866198212615491650114881818219665139981763207699110491615333273795415"}	2026-09-25 20:45	2026-09-25 20:45
336762352497424355657295324831222628003693787748927103878…	2026-09-25	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-09-30 19:59	0.895000	0.890000	0.900000	0.010000	1604198.23	2026-09-25 20:45	0.900000	32219.5518	0.622646	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"33676235249742435565729532483122262800369378774892710387888607855248244773045"}
102889253954710685326332888973058235896261933470542599345…	2026-09-25	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	Politics	2026-09-30 19:59	0.909500	0.890000	0.929000	0.039000	869619.38	2026-09-25 20:44	0.926000	6299.5294	1.422357	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"10288925395471068532633288897305823589626193347054259934532654744789205254779"}
288628523712628430568480993006936592138303884057333523753…	2026-09-24	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	No	Politics	2026-09-24 23:59	0.375000	0.360000	0.390000	0.030000	113914.57	2026-09-24 20:44	0.350000	6915.9279	3.621754	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"28862852371262843056848099300693659213830388405733352375380640104596796754149"}
500851646544570770211804416672077147052244697067733288825…	2026-09-23	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.996500	0.995000	0.998000	0.003000	680711.06	2026-09-23 20:44	0.997000	11612.2432	0.285714	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"50085164654457077021180441667207714705224469706773328882519583735294659477266"}
487274313143330882436930169296233637104889801528335441569…	2026-09-23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.795000	0.790000	0.800000	0.010000	5261961.97	2026-09-23 20:44	0.800000	13105.3600	1.000000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311"}
763268757111476970763537073315322279294867224158003964697…	2026-09-21	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.655000	0.650000	0.660000	0.010000	2661648.77	2026-09-21 20:44	0.660000	10502.9216	0.700000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"76326875711147697076353707331532227929486722415800396469798548611383212234361"}
667971768368654066446750502481942649520015791797035275376…	2026-09-21	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-10-30 20:00	0.775000	0.770000	0.780000	0.010000	766468.40	2026-09-21 20:44	0.770000	13641.6359	0.325203	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"66797176836865406644675050248194264952001579179703527537658211196864343226792"}
420387758661982126154916501148818182196651399817632076991…	2026-09-20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…	No	Politics	2026-10-28 19:59	0.555000	0.550000	0.560000	0.010000	5813454.90	2026-09-20 20:44	0.550000	18981.1890	0.919048	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"42038775866198212615491650114881818219665139981763207699110491615333273795415"}	2026-09-20 20:45	2026-09-20 20:45
663889520107003954767172607681806967445832214262998517764…	2026-09-19	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.530000	0.510000	0.550000	0.040000	754396.21	2026-09-19 20:44	0.520000	12201.6216	1.834286	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"6638895201070039547671726076818069674458322142629985177641367819559425166288"}
572162725645295484646864636912368119919560322012937867903…	2026-09-19	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.968000	0.967000	0.969000	0.002000	5119911.48	2026-09-19 20:44	0.970000	16726.1641	0.020683	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"57216272564529548464686463691236811991956032201293786790337952253964682584376"}
215274460051627226687021468478068379447864179867949255927…	2026-09-19	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.496000	0.462000	0.530000	0.068000	1860120.88	2026-09-19 20:44	0.497000	7931.1438	3.875742	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"21527446005162722668702146847806837944786417986794925592709069062391666573103"}
949094972047914222189533269894338488040637872598538898451…	2026-09-18	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.777500	0.776000	0.779000	0.003000	1250941.14	2026-09-18 20:44	0.769000	29845.6737	1.580833	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"94909497204791422218953326989433848804063787259853889845128791095089809741999"}	2026-09-18 20:45	2026-09-18 20:45
702018518763323544392766040907026749748596319034869909746…	2026-09-18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31,…	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.905000	0.900000	0.910000	0.010000	395148.16	2026-09-18 20:44	0.930000	50085.8424	0.070922	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"70201851876332354439276604090702674974859631903486990974685797729205226013576"}	2026-09-18 20:45	2026-09-18 20:45
390315897145723429662583059433495733284128632195230088657…	2026-09-18	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.995000	0.994000	0.996000	0.002000	3297967.01	2026-09-18 20:43	0.994000	11009.8595	0.006700	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"39031589714572342966258305943349573328412863219523008865771008806225362230155"}
115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289…	2026-09-18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.255000	0.250000	0.260000	0.010000	1285367.63	2026-09-18 20:44	0.250000	46434.8003	8.294386	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289798775482755919708780"}	2026-09-18 20:45	2026-09-18 20:45
412968407557101875946978682306523943163401318363485304920…	2026-09-17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	Finance	2026-09-30 23:59	0.993000	0.992000	0.994000	0.002000	3994906.78	2026-09-17 20:44	0.992000	9894.8726	0.260222	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"41296840755710187594697868230652394316340131836348530492072496327848341834044"}
129333854624450512195480398076312789215174692116177557737…	2026-09-17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.945000	0.940000	0.950000	0.010000	532282.46	2026-09-17 20:45	0.950000	64710.1215	0.070922	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"12933385462445051219548039807631278921517469211617755773732773415883384410827"}
115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289…	2026-09-17	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.235000	0.230000	0.240000	0.010000	5358450.06	2026-09-17 20:42	0.230000	5264.9958	5.500000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289798775482755919708780"}	2026-09-17 20:45	2026-09-17 20:45
730623658924743772861303751237460587438735927240238482341…	2026-09-16	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	Politics	2026-09-15 19:59	0.989000	0.988000	0.990000	0.002000	127257.22	2026-09-16 20:44	0.980000	10098.1899	0.827299	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"73062365892474377286130375123746058743873592724023848234122415930442067907575"}
998624084800916908187125803907393722693880743269959570345…	2026-09-15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-09-21 19:59	0.945000	0.939000	0.951000	0.012000	1178597.36	2026-09-15 20:44	0.940000	6325.3260	0.306946	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"99862408480091690818712580390739372269388074326995957034508591909408581976106"}
970509217404161929963898066937425756081113288191854931631…	2026-09-15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the S…	No	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	0.885000	0.880000	0.890000	0.010000	8695868.57	2026-09-15 20:44	0.880000	169518.6005	0.994906	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"97050921740416192996389806693742575608111328819185493163189880975611314813724"}	2026-09-15 20:45	2026-09-15 20:45
688818401091142455217972750255962569283846132511084298084…	2026-09-15	Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	No	Politics	2026-09-12 20:00	0.934500	0.920000	0.949000	0.029000	115756.21	2026-09-15 20:44	0.909000	5216.2892	0.059259	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"68881840109114245521797275025596256928384613251108429808491092208111156621485"}
288195718996381969070989938731295127198607690575770111451…	2026-09-15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …	No	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	0.125000	0.120000	0.130000	0.010000	7224654.31	2026-09-15 20:44	0.120000	6235.7249	7.406061	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"2881957189963819690709899387312951271986076905757701114514025622922000576600"}	2026-09-15 20:45	2026-09-15 20:45
111344475342969784116702975577723982549674037196345086059…	2026-09-15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.985500	0.985000	0.986000	0.001000	5440030.96	2026-09-15 20:44	0.985000	5260.8316	0.006761	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"111344475342969784116702975577723982549674037196345086059563486202499238579830"}
998624084800916908187125803907393722693880743269959570345…	2026-09-14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-09-21 19:59	0.935000	0.930000	0.940000	0.010000	306830.16	2026-09-14 18:32	0.930000	14918.7981	0.590877	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"99862408480091690818712580390739372269388074326995957034508591909408581976106"}
971077701875876835068156269748881633246228369880140330220…	2026-09-14	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	Politics	2026-06-29 20:00	0.950000	0.940000	0.960000	0.020000	563513.53	2026-09-14 18:32	0.950000	7978.1395	0.120000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"97107770187587683506815626974888163324622836988014033022064807674186740440043"}
970509217404161929963898066937425756081113288191854931631…	2026-09-14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the S…	No	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	0.875000	0.870000	0.880000	0.010000	5398590.93	2026-09-14 18:32	0.870000	2522621.6071	4.372248	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"97050921740416192996389806693742575608111328819185493163189880975611314813724"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
964668730158312118324843609936891427216117752161356597162…	2026-09-14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	Finance	2026-09-30 23:59	0.951500	0.951000	0.952000	0.001000	1694627.22	2026-09-14 18:32	0.951000	42242.4836	0.247018	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"96466873015831211832484360993689142721611775216135659716230744624514485341911"}
949094972047914222189533269894338488040637872598538898451…	2026-09-14	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.797500	0.794000	0.801000	0.007000	13181616.81	2026-09-14 18:32	0.794000	21510.9810	0.687345	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"94909497204791422218953326989433848804063787259853889845128791095089809741999"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
919981947261369276324504834246140128906914465092627504521…	2026-09-14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September…	No	Politics	2026-09-30 19:55	0.987000	0.986000	0.988000	0.002000	1875379.82	2026-09-14 18:32	0.988000	46191.5622	0.120000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"91998194726136927632450483424614012890691446509262750452187052878486812367191"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
919489933790667506036363084442152945389645504745752279412…	2026-09-14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	No	Finance	2026-09-30 23:59	0.975500	0.975000	0.976000	0.001000	1665378.65	2026-09-14 18:32	0.975000	50965.3955	0.181538	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"91948993379066750603636308444215294538964550474575227941265783859080165323026"}
917430962400008281527885718568527360130152811774137593239…	2026-09-14	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.990500	0.990000	0.991000	0.001000	5797195.92	2026-09-14 18:32	0.991000	8357.7223	0.120000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"91743096240000828152788571856852736013015281177413759323948075481950472145047"}
890464555071734997565252070477518833781914095052903114895…	2026-09-14	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz bet…	No	Politics	2026-09-13 19:59	0.949500	0.931000	0.968000	0.037000	86267.52	2026-09-14 18:32	0.930000	14111.3226	0.222222	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"89046455507173499756525207047751883378191409505290311489587600504516758912800"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
880953920883800189888111289050566854206816842477002442212…	2026-09-14	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elec…	No	Politics	2026-09-19 20:00	0.909500	0.909000	0.910000	0.001000	331894.36	2026-09-14 18:32	0.909000	10670.7596	1.940399	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"88095392088380018988811128905056685420681684247700244221273733002608971216833"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
861696285480389960883557370425791124139023517457431911390…	2026-09-14	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market …	No	Finance	2026-09-30 19:59	0.843000	0.838000	0.848000	0.010000	2561382.56	2026-09-14 18:32	0.841000	5021.0518	0.810351	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"86169628548038996088355737042579112413902351745743191139025173124156572670231"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
857235160700777308831059090493880615970491732816132019100…	2026-09-14	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	Finance	2027-06-30 20:00	0.425000	0.420000	0.430000	0.010000	82794.05	2026-09-14 18:31	0.410000	6128.9994	1.020000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"85723516070077730883105909049388061597049173281613201910087943908235778734129"}
834382159788561801458728058213909198406214350871041318486…	2026-09-14	Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	No	Politics	2026-12-31 18:59	0.720000	0.700000	0.740000	0.040000	4410.37	2026-09-14 18:32	0.670000	17897.0550	0.899221	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"8343821597885618014587280582139091984062143508710413184869540112147713995559"}