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Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

core.prediction_snapshots

One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

613 rowsCSV — whole table, not this view

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asset_idtextas_of ↓datemarkettextoutcometextcategorytextresolves_attimestamp with time zonemid_pricenumericbest_bidnumericbest_asknumericspreadnumerictotal_liquiditynumericbook_tstimestamp with time zonelast_pricenumericvolumenumericunusual_scorenumericseen_viatextsourcetextendpointtextrequest_paramsjsonbvintage_tstimestamp with time zoneretrieved_attimestamp with time zone
904645066021363507677847067831895067278279517569415780154…2026-09-20Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9550000.9500000.9600000.010000338837.632026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"90464506602136350767784706783189506727827951756941578015494993747105229931522"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
877129206732522975092001510453910152624490557648806599077…2026-09-20US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.3350000.3300000.3400000.0100002681975.642026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"87712920673252297509200151045391015262449055764880659907762503287643101055970"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
860112292879503650435191178520416146517674558893246821126…2026-09-20US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.6010000.5960000.6060000.01000019155125.762026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
837834894546594208076797235748400326600023267100451238655…2026-09-20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.1750000.1700000.1800000.0100005600154.422026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"83783489454659420807679723574840032660002326710045123865554753994450797728825"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
824518776291711202158630957865362129942237799595235544686…2026-09-20Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.3000000.2900000.3100000.020000215970.612026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"82451877629171120215863095786536212994223779959523554468642312484613145998263"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
759490790723005116356036002065672277387031608559005477780…2026-09-20US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.4350000.4300000.4400000.010000802779.162026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"75949079072300511635603600206567227738703160855900547778099294726738851616000"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
619560485363314289163847070597824802415581416085257056714…2026-09-20Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.0600000.0500000.0700000.020000180703.622026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61956048536331428916384707059782480241558141608525705671477344792920313779730"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
582122695178968840153384697752946899762026824309718829049…2026-09-20US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:59————0.002026-09-15 14:03———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"58212269517896884015338469775294689976202682430971882904931336575860619991827"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
551597227614180130441264142766806022703180008416906896848…2026-09-20Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …YesPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.5450000.5400000.5500000.0100004700054.592026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"55159722761418013044126414276680602270318000841690689684819994448621694923050"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
540572489883630359741431801948090827930110925108994000873…2026-09-20Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Ru…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9980000.9970000.9990000.0020004252333.612026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54057248988363035974143180194809082793011092510899400087326333477908849736030"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
498210651814734197981469572674800155061027111606607186366…2026-09-20Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first…YesPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.7200000.7100000.7300000.020000670854.762026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"49821065181473419798146957267480015506102711160660718636601116902870701340131"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
457206545984274873453435231478681840320784812766441645509…2026-09-20Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?YesPolitics2026-09-24 19:590.9375000.9320000.9430000.011000250564.102026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"45720654598427487345343523147868184032078481276644164550917591817398343875097"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
439765119022681110416338667995550373303174273154540568470…2026-09-20Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.1900000.1800000.2000000.020000338830.542026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"43976511902268111041633866799555037330317427315454056847054364885183934986197"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
386671969586024161374636285174395601193047657091045701924…2026-09-20Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.3850000.3700000.4000000.030000823145.752026-09-20 20:43———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"38667196958602416137463628517439560119304765709104570192447644733106171420112"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
370901285665075099136305894603726203520137665548863807854…2026-09-20Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.5885000.5780000.5990000.0210002027275.822026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
365955751971998463982674819723851806439519858225051874777…2026-09-20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.7950000.7900000.8000000.010000554118.102026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"36595575197199846398267481972385180643951985822505187477756829088194676076340"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
354804859281476944225223172981600811946037668651024881549…2026-09-20Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?YesFinance2027-06-30 20:000.0480000.0460000.0500000.004000353238.432026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"35480485928147694422522317298160081194603766865102488154902775756915955129166"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
347329888869815101678743898457088328086272843798401313512…2026-09-20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.6250000.6200000.6300000.010000474058.962026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"34732988886981510167874389845708832808627284379840131351229635795767825787404"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
237055837363487065339885108397594338210531138140257664220…2026-09-20Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market…YesFinance2026-09-30 19:590.9745000.9700000.9790000.0090001776981.562026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"23705583736348706533988510839759433821053113814025766422082583385077433681175"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
209157695206498922538911521168146450670700242231855179567…2026-09-20Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9825000.9810000.9840000.0030005345727.562026-09-20 20:440.98200012532.11035.733550unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
206372177129978645538674756692782387273268587041930910401…2026-09-20Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first roun…YesPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.3255000.3250000.3260000.0010001436749.002026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"20637217712997864553867475669278238727326858704193091040111183987981733729683"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
153894475090918342047491329540319882878749345013263323043…2026-09-20US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?YesPolitics2026-09-20 19:59—0.999000——178431.302026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"15389447509091834204749132954031988287874934501326332304373365566120620891640"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
146966591495774779415947353517201867864922403144882182880…2026-09-20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?YesFinance2026-09-30 23:590.1100000.1000000.1200000.020000286713.912026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"1469665914957747794159473535172018678649224031448821828800084553716875180650"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
115795233740774863406258493898716328116984203386201722351…2026-09-20Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.0155000.0130000.0180000.0050001397912.912026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"11579523374077486340625849389871632811698420338620172235121664865203221472748"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462…2026-09-20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…YesPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.4450000.4400000.4500000.0100005813454.902026-09-20 20:440.4400006006.27760.400000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
110124369154659006328320349797831539154282530245624469518…2026-09-20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.9250000.9200000.9300000.010000628459.132026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"110124369154659006328320349797831539154282530245624469518430389053088403535939"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
106865169592299548286587696300190957552253330566906307858…2026-09-20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?YesFinance2026-09-30 23:590.5070000.4990000.5150000.0160002641021.692026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"106865169592299548286587696300190957552253330566906307858266701916595931430747"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
106186969588053884502739828065662756020867203952742643544…2026-09-20Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by Se…YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.8625000.8620000.8630000.001000690955.662026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"10618696958805388450273982806566275602086720395274264354492776873006123003601"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
104534765027523369590815225621511873074758721530222532840…2026-09-20US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?YesPolitics2026-09-25 19:590.8850000.8800000.8900000.010000293355.772026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"104534765027523369590815225621511873074758721530222532840328708626224222881939"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
102682832966209969978965796495958715590593079468512867290…2026-09-20Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state el…YesPolitics2026-09-19 20:000.9965000.9950000.9980000.003000167807.172026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"102682832966209969978965796495958715590593079468512867290824407541600306279619"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
904645066021363507677847067831895067278279517569415780154…2026-09-19Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9455000.9380000.9530000.015000295475.442026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"90464506602136350767784706783189506727827951756941578015494993747105229931522"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
877129206732522975092001510453910152624490557648806599077…2026-09-19US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.3250000.3200000.3300000.0100002684958.562026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"87712920673252297509200151045391015262449055764880659907762503287643101055970"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
860112292879503650435191178520416146517674558893246821126…2026-09-19US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.5960000.5950000.5970000.00200019177461.162026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
837834894546594208076797235748400326600023267100451238655…2026-09-19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.1750000.1700000.1800000.0100005801356.822026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"83783489454659420807679723574840032660002326710045123865554753994450797728825"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
824518776291711202158630957865362129942237799595235544686…2026-09-19Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.3450000.3400000.3500000.010000347841.462026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"82451877629171120215863095786536212994223779959523554468642312484613145998263"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
759490790723005116356036002065672277387031608559005477780…2026-09-19US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.4050000.4000000.4100000.010000723696.342026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"75949079072300511635603600206567227738703160855900547778099294726738851616000"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
619560485363314289163847070597824802415581416085257056714…2026-09-19Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.0950000.0900000.1000000.010000142583.262026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61956048536331428916384707059782480241558141608525705671477344792920313779730"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
582122695178968840153384697752946899762026824309718829049…2026-09-19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:59————0.002026-09-15 14:03———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"58212269517896884015338469775294689976202682430971882904931336575860619991827"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
551597227614180130441264142766806022703180008416906896848…2026-09-19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …YesPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.5450000.5400000.5500000.0100004958510.722026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"55159722761418013044126414276680602270318000841690689684819994448621694923050"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
540572489883630359741431801948090827930110925108994000873…2026-09-19Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Ru…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9975000.9970000.9980000.0010001831460.522026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54057248988363035974143180194809082793011092510899400087326333477908849736030"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
498210651814734197981469572674800155061027111606607186366…2026-09-19Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first…YesPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.7250000.7200000.7300000.010000647139.342026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"49821065181473419798146957267480015506102711160660718636601116902870701340131"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
457206545984274873453435231478681840320784812766441645509…2026-09-19Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?YesPolitics2026-09-24 19:590.9305000.9260000.9350000.009000296800.272026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"45720654598427487345343523147868184032078481276644164550917591817398343875097"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
439765119022681110416338667995550373303174273154540568470…2026-09-19Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.2050000.2000000.2100000.010000336356.952026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"43976511902268111041633866799555037330317427315454056847054364885183934986197"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
386671969586024161374636285174395601193047657091045701924…2026-09-19Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.4700000.4500000.4900000.040000754396.212026-09-19 20:440.4500008466.01152.950833unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"38667196958602416137463628517439560119304765709104570192447644733106171420112"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
370901285665075099136305894603726203520137665548863807854…2026-09-19Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.5040000.4700000.5380000.0680001860120.882026-09-19 20:440.4320008566.65491.232600unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
365955751971998463982674819723851806439519858225051874777…2026-09-19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.8050000.8000000.8100000.010000567216.512026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"36595575197199846398267481972385180643951985822505187477756829088194676076340"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
354804859281476944225223172981600811946037668651024881549…2026-09-19Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?YesFinance2027-06-30 20:000.0470000.0450000.0490000.004000377073.792026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"35480485928147694422522317298160081194603766865102488154902775756915955129166"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
347329888869815101678743898457088328086272843798401313512…2026-09-19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.6350000.6200000.6500000.030000412137.582026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"34732988886981510167874389845708832808627284379840131351229635795767825787404"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
237055837363487065339885108397594338210531138140257664220…2026-09-19Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market…YesFinance2026-09-30 19:590.9795000.9780000.9810000.0030001762144.602026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"23705583736348706533988510839759433821053113814025766422082583385077433681175"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
209157695206498922538911521168146450670700242231855179567…2026-09-19Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.8000000.7900000.8100000.0200002961693.202026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45