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Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

core.prediction_snapshots

One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

895 rowsCSV — whole table, not this view

Sources in this table

uw_predictions895 rowsexportable

active:outcome = Yes×

asset_idtext	as_of ↓date	markettext	outcometext	categorytext	resolves_attimestamp with time zone	mid_pricenumeric	best_bidnumeric	best_asknumeric	spread

111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462…	2026-09-14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…	Yes	Politics	2026-10-28 19:59	0.615000	0.610000	0.620000	0.010000	3026455.21	2026-09-14 18:32	0.620000	28822.5601	0.349290	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
110531092871817326177676615981488848062239024242021648855…	2026-09-14	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-04 19:59	0.958000	0.955000	0.961000	0.006000	480458.08	2026-09-14 18:32	0.950000	185561.1979	2.737674	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"110531092871817326177676615981488848062239024242021648855998953959660629545985"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
110124369154659006328320349797831539154282530245624469518…	2026-09-14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-30 19:59	0.915000	0.910000	0.920000	0.010000	650375.06	2026-09-14 18:32	0.920000	13022.1308	0.240000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"110124369154659006328320349797831539154282530245624469518430389053088403535939"}
106865169592299548286587696300190957552253330566906307858…	2026-09-14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	Yes	Finance	2026-09-30 23:59	0.509000	0.508000	0.510000	0.002000	2710219.25	2026-09-14 18:32	0.508000	8622.7327	1.624637	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"106865169592299548286587696300190957552253330566906307858266701916595931430747"}	2026-09-14 18:32
106186969588053884502739828065662756020867203952742643544…	2026-09-14	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by Se…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-30 19:59	0.904000	0.900000	0.908000	0.008000	411456.90	2026-09-14 18:32	0.902000	10173.3941	0.334718	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"10618696958805388450273982806566275602086720395274264354492776873006123003601"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
105964405201093262772405016621866393230668268590147803590…	2026-09-14	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-11 19:59	0.952500	0.952000	0.953000	0.001000	386732.76	2026-09-14 18:32	0.949000	38349.2321	1.407843	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"105964405201093262772405016621866393230668268590147803590929677280620246045766"}	2026-09-14 18:32
102682832966209969978965796495958715590593079468512867290…	2026-09-14	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state el…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-19 20:00	0.635000	0.630000	0.640000	0.010000	471257.64	2026-09-14 18:32	0.630000	5737.3586	1.284222	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"102682832966209969978965796495958715590593079468512867290824407541600306279619"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
101040420236481079077393026772174192261262803877417817462…	2026-09-14	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.967000	0.965000	0.969000	0.004000	659770.57	2026-09-14 18:32	0.966000	73230.9313	0.161237	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"101040420236481079077393026772174192261262803877417817462744147440746788606483"}	2026-09-14 18:32