Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

core.prediction_snapshots

One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

1,106 rowsCSV — whole table, not this view

Sources in this table

uw_predictions1,106 rowsexportable

active:outcome = Yes×seen_via = unusual×

asset_idtext	as_of ↓date	markettext	outcometext	categorytext	resolves_attimestamp with time zone	mid_pricenumeric	best_bidnumeric	best_asknumeric

877129206732522975092001510453910152624490557648806599077…	2026-09-25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-10-31 19:59	0.245000	0.240000	0.250000	0.010000	2565225.14	2026-09-25 20:44	0.250000	5942.1949	3.224762	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"87712920673252297509200151045391015262449055764880659907762503287643101055970"}	2026-09-25 20:45	2026-09-25 20:45
860112292879503650435191178520416146517674558893246821126…	2026-09-25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-31 18:59	0.583500	0.576000	0.591000	0.015000	20529310.45	2026-09-25 20:44	0.580000	12173.7853	0.811824	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368"}
837834894546594208076797235748400326600023267100451238655…	2026-09-25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.205000	0.200000	0.210000	0.010000	5220008.52	2026-09-25 20:45	0.200000	7254.5284	2.201481	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"83783489454659420807679723574840032660002326710045123865554753994450797728825"}
181083547444686012940258536010304251883952119279268708855…	2026-09-25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-30 19:59	0.860000	0.850000	0.870000	0.020000	423203.14	2026-09-25 20:44	0.820000	8819.7346	2.155238	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"18108354744468601294025853601030425188395211927926870885542758981304523217919"}
111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462…	2026-09-25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…	Yes	Politics	2026-10-28 19:59	0.355000	0.350000	0.360000	0.010000	5948857.09	2026-09-25 20:42	0.360000	37566.3125	2.485185	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748"}	2026-09-25 20:45	2026-09-25 20:45
113295199581099404930536196107913957388792975679597875901…	2026-09-24	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-24 23:59	0.625000	0.610000	0.640000	0.030000	113914.57	2026-09-24 20:44	0.630000	31752.5201	2.080000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"113295199581099404930536196107913957388792975679597875901426158736167761805407"}
209157695206498922538911521168146450670700242231855179567…	2026-09-20	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.982500	0.981000	0.984000	0.003000	5345727.56	2026-09-20 20:44	0.982000	12532.1103	5.733550	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878"}	2026-09-20 20:45	2026-09-20 20:45
111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462…	2026-09-20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…	Yes	Politics	2026-10-28 19:59	0.445000	0.440000	0.450000	0.010000	5813454.90	2026-09-20 20:44	0.440000	6006.2776	0.400000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748"}	2026-09-20 20:45	2026-09-20 20:45
386671969586024161374636285174395601193047657091045701924…	2026-09-19	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.470000	0.450000	0.490000	0.040000	754396.21	2026-09-19 20:44	0.450000	8466.0115	2.950833	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"38667196958602416137463628517439560119304765709104570192447644733106171420112"}
370901285665075099136305894603726203520137665548863807854…	2026-09-19	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.504000	0.470000	0.538000	0.068000	1860120.88	2026-09-19 20:44	0.432000	8566.6549	1.232600	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231"}
153894475090918342047491329540319882878749345013263323043…	2026-09-19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-20 19:59	0.913500	0.911000	0.916000	0.005000	3929336.36	2026-09-19 20:44	0.914000	10103.2340	2.226250	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"15389447509091834204749132954031988287874934501326332304373365566120620891640"}
104534765027523369590815225621511873074758721530222532840…	2026-09-19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-25 19:59	0.790000	0.780000	0.800000	0.020000	183938.98	2026-09-19 20:44	0.790000	9764.0271	1.996888	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"104534765027523369590815225621511873074758721530222532840328708626224222881939"}
101040420236481079077393026772174192261262803877417817462…	2026-09-19	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.975500	0.971000	0.980000	0.009000	576839.09	2026-09-19 20:45	0.971000	5434.0250	0.126796	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"101040420236481079077393026772174192261262803877417817462744147440746788606483"}
904645066021363507677847067831895067278279517569415780154…	2026-09-18	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.927000	0.924000	0.930000	0.006000	354091.38	2026-09-18 20:44	0.931000	8347.5123	0.133474	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"90464506602136350767784706783189506727827951756941578015494993747105229931522"}
457206545984274873453435231478681840320784812766441645509…	2026-09-18	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-24 19:59	0.902500	0.896000	0.909000	0.013000	306854.04	2026-09-18 20:44	0.919000	7688.1730	0.414608	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"45720654598427487345343523147868184032078481276644164550917591817398343875097"}
209157695206498922538911521168146450670700242231855179567…	2026-09-18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.745000	0.740000	0.750000	0.010000	1467955.16	2026-09-18 20:43	0.750000	428857.5567	8.022570	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878"}	2026-09-18 20:45	2026-09-18 20:45
115795233740774863406258493898716328116984203386201722351…	2026-09-18	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.222500	0.221000	0.224000	0.003000	1245152.86	2026-09-18 20:43	0.232000	13027.8383	7.840000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"11579523374077486340625849389871632811698420338620172235121664865203221472748"}	2026-09-18 20:45	2026-09-18 20:45
209157695206498922538911521168146450670700242231855179567…	2026-09-17	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.765000	0.760000	0.770000	0.010000	5351979.06	2026-09-17 20:42	0.770000	27643.7706	6.420000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878"}	2026-09-17 20:45	2026-09-17 20:45
365955751971998463982674819723851806439519858225051874777…	2026-09-16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	Politics	2026-10-31 19:59	0.785000	0.780000	0.790000	0.010000	284011.43	2026-09-16 20:44	0.790000	6421.1138	0.084388	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"36595575197199846398267481972385180643951985822505187477756829088194676076340"}
638425290687100057161693253803154703590477497866107786473…	2026-09-15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …	Yes	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	0.875000	0.870000	0.880000	0.010000	7224654.31	2026-09-15 20:44	0.870000	106121.2729	4.075758	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"63842529068710005716169325380315470359047749786610778647370693404952498013178"}	2026-09-15 20:45	2026-09-15 20:45
904645066021363507677847067831895067278279517569415780154…	2026-09-14	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.933500	0.933000	0.934000	0.001000	214834.40	2026-09-14 18:32	0.949000	11008.3929	0.362963	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"90464506602136350767784706783189506727827951756941578015494993747105229931522"}
889129265334939884277192916989476881540427209583106323165…	2026-09-14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	0.007500	0.007000	0.008000	0.001000	28511397.32	2026-09-14 18:32	0.008000	23517.9558	3.921905	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"88912926533493988427719291698947688154042720958310632316541141466409683822293"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
877129206732522975092001510453910152624490557648806599077…	2026-09-14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-10-31 19:59	0.345000	0.340000	0.350000	0.010000	2510834.88	2026-09-14 18:32	0.340000	9079.6446	2.408889	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"87712920673252297509200151045391015262449055764880659907762503287643101055970"}
865296202871211191411713694886296708980339823000447091102…	2026-09-14	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to Se…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-15 12:00	0.235000	0.230000	0.240000	0.010000	55537.98	2026-09-14 18:32	0.240000	25508.3641	4.080000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"86529620287121119141171369488629670898033982300044709110262344635337180284727"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
860112292879503650435191178520416146517674558893246821126…	2026-09-14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-31 18:59	0.631000	0.627000	0.635000	0.008000	18919238.99	2026-09-14 18:32	0.626000	5907.1716	1.317778	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368"}
857798513793417764583300368515481143811760939532025428635…	2026-09-14	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	Finance	2026-12-08 19:00	0.880000	0.870000	0.890000	0.020000	230708.65	2026-09-14 18:32	0.880000	6928.9755	0.798291	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"85779851379341776458330036851548114381176093953202542863538086591922931585951"}
838837340927581334036618189606374018289865425944236527455…	2026-09-14	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-07 19:59	0.942500	0.937000	0.948000	0.011000	335941.26	2026-09-14 18:32	0.951000	32636.7153	1.240952	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"83883734092758133403661818960637401828986542594423652745565198052267379022496"}
837834894546594208076797235748400326600023267100451238655…	2026-09-14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.175000	0.170000	0.180000	0.010000	4997095.49	2026-09-14 18:32	0.180000	9006.3229	1.450370	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"83783489454659420807679723574840032660002326710045123865554753994450797728825"}
824518776291711202158630957865362129942237799595235544686…	2026-09-14	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-30 23:59	0.515000	0.510000	0.520000	0.010000	407601.56	2026-09-14 18:32	0.530000	17819.2232	2.675932	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"82451877629171120215863095786536212994223779959523554468642312484613145998263"}
814559954595877758213114204886657589906815946151130795188…	2026-09-14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-30 16:29	0.989500	0.987000	0.992000	0.005000	146145.47	2026-09-14 18:32	0.987000	11015.9479	0.222564	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"81455995459587775821311420488665758990681594615113079518876286804187992055554"}
794073683123256426491296632810215051369749191237850621851…	2026-09-14	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats i…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-12 20:00	—	0.999000	—	—	127093.56	2026-09-14 18:33	0.999000	6362.4451	0.033568	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"79407368312325642649129663281021505136974919123785062185108115301590083588838"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
759490790723005116356036002065672277387031608559005477780…	2026-09-14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.405000	0.400000	0.410000	0.010000	675880.55	2026-09-14 18:32	0.400000	7279.4079	1.025116	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"75949079072300511635603600206567227738703160855900547778099294726738851616000"}
733235589739108047748976128926669728895843930926410187299…	2026-09-14	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-18 23:59	0.890000	0.870000	0.910000	0.040000	119295.71	2026-09-14 18:32	0.880000	6203.5644	2.482646	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"73323558973910804774897612892666972889584393092641018729960853480391859765967"}
711994909579240418867354111619572767777786859915364155267…	2026-09-14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	Finance	2026-09-30 23:59	0.715000	0.711000	0.719000	0.008000	521136.14	2026-09-14 18:32	0.710000	64508.8089	0.811324	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"71199490957924041886735411161957276777778685991536415526722488030509401889440"}
676188477881608354275335053977961720108459466423472965578…	2026-09-14	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sw…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-12 20:00	0.875000	0.870000	0.880000	0.010000	280422.24	2026-09-14 18:32	0.880000	132661.7154	1.254906	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"6761884778816083542753350539779617201084594664234729655783875952381923983097"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
638425290687100057161693253803154703590477497866107786473…	2026-09-14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …	Yes	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	0.875000	0.870000	0.880000	0.010000	6744433.82	2026-09-14 18:30	0.870000	1343760.1249	6.706374	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"63842529068710005716169325380315470359047749786610778647370693404952498013178"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
622278478531323029432702918801560608806962262451080224857…	2026-09-14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	Yes	Finance	2026-09-30 23:59	0.730000	0.720000	0.740000	0.020000	763561.47	2026-09-14 18:32	0.750000	7882.2978	0.600000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"6222784785313230294327029188015606088069622624510802248578044329127504364661"}
619560485363314289163847070597824802415581416085257056714…	2026-09-14	Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-30 23:59	0.135000	0.130000	0.140000	0.010000	159903.93	2026-09-14 18:32	0.140000	6360.4487	0.656667	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"61956048536331428916384707059782480241558141608525705671477344792920313779730"}
582122695178968840153384697752946899762026824309718829049…	2026-09-14	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?	Yes	Politics	2026-09-30 19:59	0.974500	0.972000	0.977000	0.005000	258968.78	2026-09-14 18:32	0.972000	10488.0374	0.584086	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"58212269517896884015338469775294689976202682430971882904931336575860619991827"}
577481380850227197603457723100407038485673778224001328420…	2026-09-14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the …	Yes	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	0.002500	0.002000	0.003000	0.001000	27623249.09	2026-09-14 18:32	0.002000	11443.9007	3.977143	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"57748138085022719760345772310040703848567377822400132842014290209986511882046"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
561528276087598523186850800805695987623853689664331506391…	2026-09-14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the S…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-15 20:00	0.125000	0.120000	0.130000	0.010000	5398596.03	2026-09-14 18:30	0.120000	325729.4140	12.957143	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"5615282760875985231868508008056959876238536896643315063916840237042205273721"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
559714704163462506831607357043995702470111093353314067521…	2026-09-14	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	Finance	2026-12-08 19:00	0.885000	0.880000	0.890000	0.010000	1698827.35	2026-09-14 18:32	0.870000	19858.1272	0.601928	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"55971470416346250683160735704399570247011109335331406752116975462530324793173"}
551597227614180130441264142766806022703180008416906896848…	2026-09-14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …	Yes	Politics	2026-10-28 19:59	0.365000	0.360000	0.370000	0.010000	1995171.84	2026-09-14 18:32	0.370000	6191.5952	0.520000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"55159722761418013044126414276680602270318000841690689684819994448621694923050"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
540572489883630359741431801948090827930110925108994000873…	2026-09-14	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Ru…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-29 20:00	0.990500	0.990000	0.991000	0.001000	22450236.12	2026-09-14 18:33	0.990000	5674.5613	0.013482	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"54057248988363035974143180194809082793011092510899400087326333477908849736030"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
523348780188146859725470148750091600547171201711003480696…	2026-09-14	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in …	Yes	Politics	2026-09-12 20:00	—	0.999000	—	—	125646.83	2026-09-14 18:32	0.999000	5853.2152	0.146801	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"52334878018814685972547014875009160054717120171100348069688980422350429906466"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
502021450557510225228837012720236299131376560046509961185…	2026-09-14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to Se…	Yes	Politics	2026-09-15 12:00	0.091500	0.091000	0.092000	0.001000	167881.09	2026-09-14 18:32	0.092000	9376.8464	4.440000	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"50202145055751022522883701272023629913137656004650996118519929154953683657035"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
498210651814734197981469572674800155061027111606607186366…	2026-09-14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first…	Yes	Politics	2026-10-03 20:00	0.755000	0.750000	0.760000	0.010000	381606.36	2026-09-14 18:32	0.750000	15805.0531	1.507719	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"49821065181473419798146957267480015506102711160660718636601116902870701340131"}	2026-09-14 18:32	2026-09-14 18:32
439765119022681110416338667995550373303174273154540568470…	2026-09-14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-30 19:00	0.225000	0.220000	0.230000	0.010000	430152.67	2026-09-14 18:32	0.230000	8201.1411	0.863030	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"43976511902268111041633866799555037330317427315454056847054364885183934986197"}
354804859281476944225223172981600811946037668651024881549…	2026-09-14	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	Finance	2027-06-30 20:00	0.575000	0.570000	0.580000	0.010000	62681.88	2026-09-14 18:30	0.590000	8605.1708	0.218579	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"35480485928147694422522317298160081194603766865102488154902775756915955129166"}
347329888869815101678743898457088328086272843798401313512…	2026-09-14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	Politics	2026-12-31 18:59	0.645000	0.640000	0.650000	0.010000	502450.28	2026-09-14 18:32	0.650000	10128.0153	0.451640	unusual	uw_predictions	/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity	{"asset_id":"34732988886981510167874389845708832808627284379840131351229635795767825787404"}