Simplify Analytics
← Data Explorer

Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

core.prediction_snapshots

One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

529 rowsCSV

Sources in this table

as_ofto
column equals (exact text)
sort
chart against as_of
reset
asset_idtextas_of ↓datemarkettextoutcometextcategorytextresolves_attimestamp with time zonemid_pricenumericbest_bidnumericbest_asknumericspreadnumerictotal_liquiditynumericbook_tstimestamp with time zonelast_pricenumericvolumenumericunusual_scorenumericseen_viatextsourcetextendpointtextrequest_paramsjsonbvintage_tstimestamp with time zoneretrieved_attimestamp with time zone
370901285665075099136305894603726203520137665548863807854…2026-09-19Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.5040000.4700000.5380000.0680001860120.882026-09-19 20:440.4320008566.65491.232600unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
365955751971998463982674819723851806439519858225051874777…2026-09-19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.8050000.8000000.8100000.010000567216.512026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"36595575197199846398267481972385180643951985822505187477756829088194676076340"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
362502716815050001322405734737902286252635598084107031033…2026-09-19Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 20…NoPolitics2026-10-04 20:000.9765000.9710000.9820000.011000384740.242026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"36250271681505000132240573473790228625263559808410703103366953147685418684739"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
354804859281476944225223172981600811946037668651024881549…2026-09-19Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?YesFinance2027-06-30 20:000.0470000.0450000.0490000.004000377073.792026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"35480485928147694422522317298160081194603766865102488154902775756915955129166"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
347329888869815101678743898457088328086272843798401313512…2026-09-19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.6350000.6200000.6500000.030000412137.582026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"34732988886981510167874389845708832808627284379840131351229635795767825787404"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
315060014092775233121926514701955241670901019430800632739…2026-09-19Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-30 14:300.9965000.9960000.9970000.0010001326933.272026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"31506001409277523312192651470195524167090101943080063273985704767232411431594"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
311380583542820966302653682644519869049750637804238147946…2026-09-19Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next R…NoPolitics2026-09-19 20:000.9920000.9910000.9930000.002000447620.802026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"3113805835428209663026536826445198690497506378042381479460524760612035145599"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
237055837363487065339885108397594338210531138140257664220…2026-09-19Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market…YesFinance2026-09-30 19:590.9795000.9780000.9810000.0030001762144.602026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"23705583736348706533988510839759433821053113814025766422082583385077433681175"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
215274460051627226687021468478068379447864179867949255927…2026-09-19Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.4960000.4620000.5300000.0680001860120.882026-09-19 20:440.4970007931.14383.875742unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"21527446005162722668702146847806837944786417986794925592709069062391666573103"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
209157695206498922538911521168146450670700242231855179567…2026-09-19Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.8000000.7900000.8100000.0200002961693.202026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
206372177129978645538674756692782387273268587041930910401…2026-09-19Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first roun…YesPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.3640000.3600000.3680000.0080001032389.062026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"20637217712997864553867475669278238727326858704193091040111183987981733729683"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
153894475090918342047491329540319882878749345013263323043…2026-09-19US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?YesPolitics2026-09-20 19:590.9135000.9110000.9160000.0050003929336.362026-09-19 20:440.91400010103.23402.226250unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"15389447509091834204749132954031988287874934501326332304373365566120620891640"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
146966591495774779415947353517201867864922403144882182880…2026-09-19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?YesFinance2026-09-30 23:590.1300000.1200000.1400000.020000354364.962026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"1469665914957747794159473535172018678649224031448821828800084553716875180650"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
132892191280217821455206880329924942261509280652160414586…2026-09-19US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.5950000.5900000.6000000.010000723775.342026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"13289219128021782145520688032992494226150928065216041458658097032141632174656"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
129333854624450512195480398076312789215174692116177557737…2026-09-19US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9500000.9400000.9600000.020000473065.082026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"12933385462445051219548039807631278921517469211617755773732773415883384410827"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
115795233740774863406258493898716328116984203386201722351…2026-09-19Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.1875000.1850000.1900000.0050004464822.092026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"11579523374077486340625849389871632811698420338620172235121664865203221472748"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289…2026-09-19Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.2000000.1900000.2100000.0200002961693.202026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289798775482755919708780"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
112428165813371561912833460698436648539922320261306010177…2026-09-19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?NoPolitics2026-10-30 20:000.9350000.9300000.9400000.0100003269430.882026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"112428165813371561912833460698436648539922320261306010177252036814838759682453"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
111939275359890975032145018655554206790945794404155831247…2026-09-19Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in …NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.8450000.8400000.8500000.010000428844.762026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"111939275359890975032145018655554206790945794404155831247918168011182151346383"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
111344475342969784116702975577723982549674037196345086059…2026-09-19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9915000.9910000.9920000.0010005341806.372026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"111344475342969784116702975577723982549674037196345086059563486202499238579830"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462…2026-09-19Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…YesPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.4350000.4300000.4400000.0100006282312.892026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
110888499829195123034987289109543572302716575133123608254…2026-09-19Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the …NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.9945000.9940000.9950000.00100018684699.872026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"110888499829195123034987289109543572302716575133123608254293945182185650232552"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
110124369154659006328320349797831539154282530245624469518…2026-09-19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.9050000.9000000.9100000.010000537774.902026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"110124369154659006328320349797831539154282530245624469518430389053088403535939"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
108318438641119276756487723540426498152248706490125830253…2026-09-19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.8700000.8600000.8800000.020000354864.962026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"108318438641119276756487723540426498152248706490125830253351171007133496926091"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
108308183073891946533642360856234559374146268200961511650…2026-09-19Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30…NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.9955000.9950000.9960000.001000668460.712026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"108308183073891946533642360856234559374146268200961511650206295005007824881339"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
107382335729882584132242622392619126691496748186166138439…2026-09-19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.5965000.5960000.5970000.0010002887047.392026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"107382335729882584132242622392619126691496748186166138439329887743369753286473"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
106865169592299548286587696300190957552253330566906307858…2026-09-19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?YesFinance2026-09-30 23:590.4035000.4030000.4040000.0010002887047.392026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"106865169592299548286587696300190957552253330566906307858266701916595931430747"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
106560772629713122434527877371376465451017804649676159774…2026-09-19Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elec…NoPolitics2026-09-19 20:000.6950000.6900000.7000000.010000449786.332026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"106560772629713122434527877371376465451017804649676159774752466805733265212731"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
106186969588053884502739828065662756020867203952742643544…2026-09-19Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by Se…YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.8545000.8520000.8570000.005000718788.062026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"10618696958805388450273982806566275602086720395274264354492776873006123003601"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
104534765027523369590815225621511873074758721530222532840…2026-09-19US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?YesPolitics2026-09-25 19:590.7900000.7800000.8000000.020000183938.982026-09-19 20:440.7900009764.02711.996888unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"104534765027523369590815225621511873074758721530222532840328708626224222881939"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
103997221867352584036694268795051058245305885496635764341…2026-09-19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9685000.9640000.9730000.0090001535524.192026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"10399722186735258403669426879505105824530588549663576434140165306684479906966"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
103216878146106839176259085892501749169837749326876123361…2026-09-19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9350000.9300000.9400000.010000328860.992026-09-19 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"103216878146106839176259085892501749169837749326876123361316747114893299247057"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
102682832966209969978965796495958715590593079468512867290…2026-09-19Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state el…YesPolitics2026-09-19 20:000.6550000.6500000.6600000.010000569955.692026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"102682832966209969978965796495958715590593079468512867290824407541600306279619"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
102402679475426110774044851720817690724908108674246723425…2026-09-19US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.8650000.8600000.8700000.010000597480.252026-09-19 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"102402679475426110774044851720817690724908108674246723425637890637120301946959"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
101040420236481079077393026772174192261262803877417817462…2026-09-19Israel closes its airspace by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9755000.9710000.9800000.009000576839.092026-09-19 20:450.9710005434.02500.126796unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"101040420236481079077393026772174192261262803877417817462744147440746788606483"}2026-09-19 20:452026-09-19 20:45
998624084800916908187125803907393722693880743269959570345…2026-09-18US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-21 19:590.9850000.9820000.9880000.0060006677012.882026-09-18 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"99862408480091690818712580390739372269388074326995957034508591909408581976106"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
964668730158312118324843609936891427216117752161356597162…2026-09-18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9860000.9840000.9880000.0040001803267.512026-09-18 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"96466873015831211832484360993689142721611775216135659716230744624514485341911"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
949094972047914222189533269894338488040637872598538898451…2026-09-18Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.7775000.7760000.7790000.0030001250941.142026-09-18 20:440.76900029845.67371.580833unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"94909497204791422218953326989433848804063787259853889845128791095089809741999"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
919981947261369276324504834246140128906914465092627504521…2026-09-18Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September…NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:550.9925000.9920000.9930000.0010001885256.872026-09-18 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91998194726136927632450483424614012890691446509262750452187052878486812367191"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
919489933790667506036363084442152945389645504745752279412…2026-09-18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9910000.9880000.9940000.0060001739662.372026-09-18 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91948993379066750603636308444215294538964550474575227941265783859080165323026"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
917430962400008281527885718568527360130152811774137593239…2026-09-18Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9965000.9960000.9970000.0010005484625.292026-09-18 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"91743096240000828152788571856852736013015281177413759323948075481950472145047"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
904645066021363507677847067831895067278279517569415780154…2026-09-18Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9270000.9240000.9300000.006000354091.382026-09-18 20:440.9310008347.51230.133474unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"90464506602136350767784706783189506727827951756941578015494993747105229931522"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
880953920883800189888111289050566854206816842477002442212…2026-09-18Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elec…NoPolitics2026-09-19 20:000.9595000.9560000.9630000.007000754620.702026-09-18 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"88095392088380018988811128905056685420681684247700244221273733002608971216833"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
877129206732522975092001510453910152624490557648806599077…2026-09-18US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.3250000.3200000.3300000.0100002771574.962026-09-18 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"87712920673252297509200151045391015262449055764880659907762503287643101055970"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
861696285480389960883557370425791124139023517457431911390…2026-09-18Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market …NoFinance2026-09-30 19:590.9810000.9780000.9840000.0060002695233.452026-09-18 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86169628548038996088355737042579112413902351745743191139025173124156572670231"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
860112292879503650435191178520416146517674558893246821126…2026-09-18US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.5965000.5950000.5980000.00300019172547.102026-09-18 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
857235160700777308831059090493880615970491732816132019100…2026-09-18Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?NoFinance2027-06-30 20:000.9545000.9500000.9590000.009000273789.442026-09-18 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"85723516070077730883105909049388061597049173281613201910087943908235778734129"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
837834894546594208076797235748400326600023267100451238655…2026-09-18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.1750000.1700000.1800000.0100005746203.162026-09-18 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"83783489454659420807679723574840032660002326710045123865554753994450797728825"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
834382159788561801458728058213909198406214350871041318486…2026-09-18Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.6250000.5600000.6900000.1300005711.612026-09-18 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"8343821597885618014587280582139091984062143508710413184869540112147713995559"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45
824518776291711202158630957865362129942237799595235544686…2026-09-18Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.4200000.4100000.4300000.020000617902.352026-09-18 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"82451877629171120215863095786536212994223779959523554468642312484613145998263"}2026-09-18 20:452026-09-18 20:45