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Prediction markets (Finance/Politics)

core.prediction_snapshots

One price per market per day, from first sighting on UW's unusual list to resolution. seen_via says whether the market was on the list that day.

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asset_idtextas_of ↓datemarkettextoutcometextcategorytextresolves_attimestamp with time zonemid_pricenumericbest_bidnumericbest_asknumericspreadnumerictotal_liquiditynumericbook_tstimestamp with time zonelast_pricenumericvolumenumericunusual_scorenumericseen_viatextsourcetextendpointtextrequest_paramsjsonbvintage_tstimestamp with time zoneretrieved_attimestamp with time zone
619623807350458713513525639477460371897673980699607764550…2026-09-20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in …NoPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.7305000.7260000.7350000.0090001038858.842026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61962380735045871351352563947746037189767398069960776455040567750304235670037"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
619560485363314289163847070597824802415581416085257056714…2026-09-20Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?YesPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.0600000.0500000.0700000.020000180703.622026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"61956048536331428916384707059782480241558141608525705671477344792920313779730"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
582122695178968840153384697752946899762026824309718829049…2026-09-20US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:59————0.002026-09-15 14:03———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"58212269517896884015338469775294689976202682430971882904931336575860619991827"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
578762142969530407059149543522197424236289121736534094226…2026-09-20Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the nex…NoPolitics2027-04-29 20:000.8930000.8880000.8980000.010000743167.522026-09-20 20:42———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57876214296953040705914954352219742423628912173653409422651199206441027151468"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
572162725645295484646864636912368119919560322012937867903…2026-09-20Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9680000.9670000.9690000.0020005108386.042026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"57216272564529548464686463691236811991956032201293786790337952253964682584376"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
564659332200820228357008170639461746359097255077344162485…2026-09-20US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.9050000.9000000.9100000.0100001713169.342026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"56465933220082022835700817063946174635909725507734416248556389304448520396318"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
551597227614180130441264142766806022703180008416906896848…2026-09-20Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the …YesPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.5450000.5400000.5500000.0100004700054.592026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"55159722761418013044126414276680602270318000841690689684819994448621694923050"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
551337802515919133770431646071004302666890163620451140238…2026-09-20Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8650000.8600000.8700000.010000531491.192026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"5513378025159191337704316460710043026668901636204511402381351948151562535480"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
545359399362524949902377235799883362379103362810082918083…2026-09-20Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.8650000.8500000.8800000.030000226723.832026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54535939936252494990237723579988336237910336281008291808351435211825298252708"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
540572489883630359741431801948090827930110925108994000873…2026-09-20Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Ru…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9980000.9970000.9990000.0020004252333.612026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54057248988363035974143180194809082793011092510899400087326333477908849736030"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
540183727272525707669144952049465545783017838520968652115…2026-09-20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9765000.9680000.9850000.017000239762.282026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"54018372727252570766914495204946554578301783852096865211527480718618130665409"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
502305252920113973616660321285575666878111844985156935639…2026-09-20Trump out as President by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-30 23:590.9950000.9940000.9960000.002000781928.222026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"50230525292011397361666032128557566687811184498515693563902400561445822555625"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
498210651814734197981469572674800155061027111606607186366…2026-09-20Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first…YesPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.7200000.7100000.7300000.020000670854.762026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"49821065181473419798146957267480015506102711160660718636601116902870701340131"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
489970745072403596167117480645971014290842208022732690429…2026-09-20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9530000.9470000.9590000.0120001165645.632026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"48997074507240359616711748064597101429084220802273269042911597047117219823609"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
487274313143330882436930169296233637104889801528335441569…2026-09-20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.8250000.8200000.8300000.0100005605779.422026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
457206545984274873453435231478681840320784812766441645509…2026-09-20Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?YesPolitics2026-09-24 19:590.9375000.9320000.9430000.011000250564.102026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"45720654598427487345343523147868184032078481276644164550917591817398343875097"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
451525146492131703771068342371472086444956779088956852157…2026-09-20Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T a…NoFinance2026-12-31 18:550.7590000.7580000.7600000.002000128934.082026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"45152514649213170377106834237147208644495677908895685215785984082704434230216"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
439765119022681110416338667995550373303174273154540568470…2026-09-20Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.1900000.1800000.2000000.020000338830.542026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"43976511902268111041633866799555037330317427315454056847054364885183934986197"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
432276661560081946332291951174751235006336742500725879276…2026-09-20Iran leadership change by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9865000.9860000.9870000.00100010629900.332026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"43227666156008194633229195117475123500633674250072587927676970641387990170901"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
420387758661982126154916501148818182196651399817632076991…2026-09-20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.5550000.5500000.5600000.0100005813454.902026-09-20 20:440.55000018981.18900.919048unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"42038775866198212615491650114881818219665139981763207699110491615333273795415"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
418644974118781917669675814224329617508084409911740855163…2026-09-20Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the…NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.9915000.9910000.9920000.00100038854025.622026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"41864497411878191766967581422432961750808440991174085516384293402629587721839"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
412968407557101875946978682306523943163401318363485304920…2026-09-20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.9955000.9940000.9970000.0030003800435.742026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"41296840755710187594697868230652394316340131836348530492072496327848341834044"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
397053449283490515282354373201198287046390520453987045875…2026-09-20US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.7200000.7100000.7300000.020000270641.642026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"39705344928349051528235437320119828704639052045398704587587139370251349054590"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
391475245227075364569107479926216714330328381414391932648…2026-09-20US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.3990000.3940000.4040000.01000019153607.102026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"39147524522707536456910747992621671433032838141439193264830818731544404472030"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
390315897145723429662583059433495733284128632195230088657…2026-09-20Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9920000.9900000.9940000.0040003202710.002026-09-20 20:43———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"39031589714572342966258305943349573328412863219523008865771008806225362230155"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
386671969586024161374636285174395601193047657091045701924…2026-09-20Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.3850000.3700000.4000000.030000823145.752026-09-20 20:43———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"38667196958602416137463628517439560119304765709104570192447644733106171420112"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
370901285665075099136305894603726203520137665548863807854…2026-09-20Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?YesPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.5885000.5780000.5990000.0210002027275.822026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
365955751971998463982674819723851806439519858225051874777…2026-09-20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?YesPolitics2026-10-31 19:590.7950000.7900000.8000000.010000554118.102026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"36595575197199846398267481972385180643951985822505187477756829088194676076340"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
362502716815050001322405734737902286252635598084107031033…2026-09-20Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 20…NoPolitics2026-10-04 20:000.9760000.9710000.9810000.010000395733.212026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"36250271681505000132240573473790228625263559808410703103366953147685418684739"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
354804859281476944225223172981600811946037668651024881549…2026-09-20Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?YesFinance2027-06-30 20:000.0480000.0460000.0500000.004000353238.432026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"35480485928147694422522317298160081194603766865102488154902775756915955129166"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
347329888869815101678743898457088328086272843798401313512…2026-09-20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?YesPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.6250000.6200000.6300000.010000474058.962026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"34732988886981510167874389845708832808627284379840131351229635795767825787404"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
315060014092775233121926514701955241670901019430800632739…2026-09-20Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?NoPolitics2026-09-30 14:300.9955000.9940000.9970000.0030001282082.592026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"31506001409277523312192651470195524167090101943080063273985704767232411431594"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
311380583542820966302653682644519869049750637804238147946…2026-09-20Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next R…NoPolitics2026-09-19 20:000.9985000.9980000.9990000.001000245117.852026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"3113805835428209663026536826445198690497506378042381479460524760612035145599"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
237055837363487065339885108397594338210531138140257664220…2026-09-20Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market…YesFinance2026-09-30 19:590.9745000.9700000.9790000.0090001776981.562026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"23705583736348706533988510839759433821053113814025766422082583385077433681175"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
215274460051627226687021468478068379447864179867949255927…2026-09-20Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.4115000.4010000.4220000.0210002027275.822026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"21527446005162722668702146847806837944786417986794925592709069062391666573103"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
209157695206498922538911521168146450670700242231855179567…2026-09-20Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9825000.9810000.9840000.0030005345727.562026-09-20 20:440.98200012532.11035.733550unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
206372177129978645538674756692782387273268587041930910401…2026-09-20Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first roun…YesPolitics2026-10-03 20:000.3255000.3250000.3260000.0010001436749.002026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"20637217712997864553867475669278238727326858704193091040111183987981733729683"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
153894475090918342047491329540319882878749345013263323043…2026-09-20US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?YesPolitics2026-09-20 19:59—0.999000——178431.302026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"15389447509091834204749132954031988287874934501326332304373365566120620891640"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
146966591495774779415947353517201867864922403144882182880…2026-09-20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?YesFinance2026-09-30 23:590.1100000.1000000.1200000.020000286713.912026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"1469665914957747794159473535172018678649224031448821828800084553716875180650"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
132892191280217821455206880329924942261509280652160414586…2026-09-20US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.5650000.5600000.5700000.010000802281.842026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"13289219128021782145520688032992494226150928065216041458658097032141632174656"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
129333854624450512195480398076312789215174692116177557737…2026-09-20US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?NoPolitics2026-12-30 19:000.9450000.9400000.9500000.010000465674.722026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"12933385462445051219548039807631278921517469211617755773732773415883384410827"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
115795233740774863406258493898716328116984203386201722351…2026-09-20Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russ…YesPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.0155000.0130000.0180000.0050001397912.912026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"11579523374077486340625849389871632811698420338620172235121664865203221472748"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289…2026-09-20Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next R…NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.0180000.0170000.0190000.0020005345906.182026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"115351075585746600277716377744935410125916932950844626289798775482755919708780"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
112428165813371561912833460698436648539922320261306010177…2026-09-20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?NoPolitics2026-10-30 20:000.9350000.9300000.9400000.0100003255902.822026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"112428165813371561912833460698436648539922320261306010177252036814838759682453"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
111939275359890975032145018655554206790945794404155831247…2026-09-20Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in …NoPolitics2026-12-31 18:590.8500000.8400000.8600000.020000342355.422026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"111939275359890975032145018655554206790945794404155831247918168011182151346383"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
111344475342969784116702975577723982549674037196345086059…2026-09-20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?NoPolitics2026-09-29 20:000.9910000.9900000.9920000.0020005292697.622026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"111344475342969784116702975577723982549674037196345086059563486202499238579830"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462…2026-09-20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the O…YesPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.4450000.4400000.4500000.0100005813454.902026-09-20 20:440.4400006006.27760.400000unusualuw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
110888499829195123034987289109543572302716575133123608254…2026-09-20Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the …NoPolitics2026-10-28 19:590.9945000.9940000.9950000.00100018522432.292026-09-20 20:45———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"110888499829195123034987289109543572302716575133123608254293945182185650232552"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
110124369154659006328320349797831539154282530245624469518…2026-09-20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?YesPolitics2026-09-30 19:590.9250000.9200000.9300000.010000628459.132026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"110124369154659006328320349797831539154282530245624469518430389053088403535939"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45
108318438641119276756487723540426498152248706490125830253…2026-09-20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?NoFinance2026-09-30 23:590.8900000.8800000.9000000.020000286713.912026-09-20 20:44———trackeduw_predictions/api/predictions/market/{asset_id}/liquidity{"asset_id":"108318438641119276756487723540426498152248706490125830253351171007133496926091"}2026-09-20 20:452026-09-20 20:45